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Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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Posted: #8551
Quote Originally Posted by Turbovtk:


That someone (mystery man was me lol) 

lol thanks turbo! and fyi man, go ahead and post your 2nd half picks, i remember your post long time ago, take it your trend you found has remained solid? figure like mavin said if there's a way you can post it 5 minutes before it starts, i'm sure SOMEONE will get it in in time, and if not, well u tried.
 
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Posted: #8552

Time

# Teams Spread Total Odds

4:05 PM

3601 1Q MILWAUKEE   PK-115   o50-130  

3602 1Q WASHINGTON   PK-115   u50EV  

4:05 PM

3603 1Q MIAMI   -2½-115   o49½-120  

3604 1Q PHILADELPHIA   +2½-115   u49½-110  

4:05 PM

3605 1Q MINNESOTA   +5-115   o47½-120  

3606 1Q INDIANA   -5-115   u47½-110  

4:35 PM

3607 1Q LA LAKERS   PK-120   o52½-115  

3608 1Q ATLANTA   PK-110   u52½-115


These lines are all fishy to me- the first two games have lines of 193 or so while the pacers are at 186 and the Lakers game at 204 all these lines are way to close within each other.

 
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Posted: #8553
So. I like the Lakers very much at this spot as the Hawks are a broken down toy and the line is so convenient. For me it is ok line and not a trap.

LA Lakers -1.5

I also like the Over in Sacramento. Why? The line movement when Cousin is question is making sure Vegas is there with both hands and legs.

Over 197 SAC Kings - CHI Bulls

I also like the Under at the Staples Center since it will be Memphis dragging after the Clips.

Under 186  LA Clippers - MEM Grizzlies

KingMidasTouch  10-5-1

LA Lakers -1.5

Over 197 SAC Kings - CHI Bulls

Under 186  LA Clippers - MEM Grizzlies
 
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Posted: #8554
Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:


lol thanks turbo! and fyi man, go ahead and post your 2nd half picks, i remember your post long time ago, take it your trend you found has remained solid? figure like mavin said if there's a way you can post it 5 minutes before it starts, i'm sure SOMEONE will get it in in time, and if not, well u tried.

I have been testing the pattern with $50 bets and have gone 10-2 should have probably opened an open parlay bet as the two loses were on back to back days after 5 wins then another 5 straight- I will continue to test and post for another week then will start open bets parlays on them.
 
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Posted: #8555
Quote Originally Posted by Turbovtk:

Time

# Teams Spread Total Odds

4:05 PM

3601 1Q MILWAUKEE   PK-115   o50-130  

3602 1Q WASHINGTON   PK-115   u50EV  

4:05 PM

3603 1Q MIAMI   -2½-115   o49½-120  

3604 1Q PHILADELPHIA   +2½-115   u49½-110  

4:05 PM

3605 1Q MINNESOTA   +5-115   o47½-120  

3606 1Q INDIANA   -5-115   u47½-110  

4:35 PM

3607 1Q LA LAKERS   PK-120   o52½-115  

3608 1Q ATLANTA   PK-110   u52½-115


These lines are all fishy to me- the first two games have lines of 193 or so while the pacers are at 186 and the Lakers game at 204 all these lines are way to close within each other.


i dono i'm terrible at predicting quarter to quarter honestly lol.. but all these totals are higher than the overall totals so i take from this that 1st qtr scores more pts than other qtrs on the average?
 
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Posts: 71
Posted: #8556
Quote Originally Posted by djavol:

 
The Celtics are due today.
So are Wizards.

I'm sorry, but that is terrible handicapping.
 
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Posts: 142
Posted: #8557
Lank66    26-19

Under 200 GS Warriors - DET Pistons

Over 213 HOU Rockets - PHO Suns

Houston -11.5

Reasoning

Like I said in previous posts, I'm riding the under train in Golden State until it derails.  The decision is made easier with Detroit seeming like they can't wait to get home or possibly can't wait for the season to end.  Detroit has had trouble putting points on the board this road trip and are going against a GS team that has a renewed focus on defense.  Golden State should score more than 100, but I see Detroit having trouble getting over 90.  I have the game between 190-195 total points.

Houston lost to Phoenix and have had a couple days to think about it.  A focused Houston team at home has the ability to score 130 points and I think they might do something like that tonight.  Phoenix has been showing that they don't mind running a little bit with Gortat out of the lineup and should post over 100 points as well.

See above - a well rested Houston team against a young Phoenix squad on the road.  Harden is ready to go and Asik has been cleared to patrol the paint.  Like how this game is shaping up and Houston should be motivated.   
 
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Posted: #8558
0-1-1 last night
1-1-1 last two days

tonight. rolling with public. lakers -1.5

yeah im aware line is -4 now due to some injuries and also lakers opened at +1.

vegas been killing public with college games today.

 
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Posts: 526
Posted: #8559
Quote Originally Posted by Turbovtk:

Time

# Teams Spread Total Odds

4:05 PM

3601 1Q MILWAUKEE   PK-115   o50-130  

3602 1Q WASHINGTON   PK-115   u50EV  

4:05 PM

3603 1Q MIAMI   -2½-115   o49½-120  

3604 1Q PHILADELPHIA   +2½-115   u49½-110  

4:05 PM

3605 1Q MINNESOTA   +5-115   o47½-120  

3606 1Q INDIANA   -5-115   u47½-110  

4:35 PM

3607 1Q LA LAKERS   PK-120   o52½-115  

3608 1Q ATLANTA   PK-110   u52½-115


These lines are all fishy to me- the first two games have lines of 193 or so while the pacers are at 186 and the Lakers game at 204 all these lines are way to close within each other.

funny how these games seem to be favored to go under by the public....I made a play outside of the contest on the over with minnesota and the pacers because there are 2 big time over refs playing this game, I didn't want to put it in the contest because last time I played them over it went under, but on the other hand they will probably get back to their over ways again, that's why  I made a small play on that game tonight, only other game I played though.Last night we saw a lot of unders, wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of overs tonight, especially those mentioned above.

 
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Posted: #8560
Quote Originally Posted by greengiants:

funny how these games seem to be favored to go under by the public....I made a play outside of the contest on the over with minnesota and the pacers because there are 2 big time over refs playing this game, I didn't want to put it in the contest because last time I played them over it went under, but on the other hand they will probably get back to their over ways again, that's why  I made a small play on that game tonight, only other game I played though.Last night we saw a lot of unders, wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of overs tonight, especially those mentioned above.

I should say favored or split, miami game and indiana are close to 50/50

 
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Posted: #8561
Lopelpickscom 21-14-1

UNDER 193 PHI 76ers - MIA Heat

I cannot see the 76ers scori g big here. The Heat are playing lights out and confident where as the 76ers are playing the exact opposite

OVER 185 IND Pacers - MIN Timberwolves

The Pacers will score and score a lot against this t-wolves defense. The t-wolves will push it over after the pacers let up in the 4th quarter due to blow out. 

WAS Wizards +1.5

Vegas nailed this line. It's perfect in this situation considering its both these teams are good in this spot. I'm just following line movement.  
 
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Posted: #8562
CP74  24-19-1

ATL Hawks +3.5
 
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Posted: #8563
Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:


i dono i'm terrible at predicting quarter to quarter honestly lol.. but all these totals are higher than the overall totals so i take from this that 1st qtr scores more pts than other qtrs on the average?

On average the totals do fade from 1Q to 4Q based on the original lines not actual results.
 
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Posted: #8564
Jpaco 16-20

MIA Heat -9

mia rolls and cannot be stopped by phi and mia on the road proves to play better def

OKC Thunder -13.5

okc will punish jazz tonight 13.5 i think will be covered at 1st half already


HOU Rockets -12

hou finally at home with revenge on their mind after losing in pho



BOL EVERYONE 
 
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Posted: #8565
SunsDevils 17-16

TOR Raptors +5

More picks to come, wanted to get this one in before it started. Huge RLM for TOR. Boston is bad when it comes to back to back games.
 
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Posted: #8566
Quote Originally Posted by Turbovtk:


On average the totals do fade from 1Q to 4Q based on the original lines not actual results.

Unfortunately, I've had to use this and live betting to turn my losses in to positive money. I have found as well, it is easier to predict by half as oppose to by quarters.  It's the NBA so teams go on runs. Most will even out closer to the full game totals in the end.

A couple of Phixer's totals bets were lop sided in the first half. My confidence in him as a capper allowed me to crush the second half total that would even it out to his bet. 

I'm new to anything other than full game bets, so maybe we can start a great dialogue for these bets as I see great value as well.



 
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Posted: #8567
SunsDevils 17-16

TOR Raptors +5
Under 206 DEN Nuggets - NY Knicks
Under 213.5 PHX Suns - HOU Rockets


DEN NYK under is another huge RLM. Knicks have had trouble scoring lately and I don't see how they are going to keep pace with DEN in the high altitude. DEN -8.5 looked appetizing as well.
Suns under is personal pick. The first game had 212 points, 16 of which were scored in the last 36 seconds. Suns were ready to go then. HOU had a few days off and rested. It is an important game to lose for the Suns as they need the Lakers to miss the playoffs. I don't see as good of an effort from them on the road.


 
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Posted: #8568
SunsDevils 17-16

TOR Raptors +5
Under 206 DEN Nuggets - NY Knicks
Under 213.5 HOU Rockets - PHX Suns

Sorry, didn't put the home team first, so reformatting.
 
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Posted: #8569
Quote Originally Posted by Lopelpickscom:

Lopelpickscom 21-14-1

UNDER 193 PHI 76ers - MIA Heat

I cannot see the 76ers scori g big here. The Heat are playing lights out and confident where as the 76ers are playing the exact opposite

OVER 185 IND Pacers - MIN Timberwolves

The Pacers will score and score a lot against this t-wolves defense. The t-wolves will push it over after the pacers let up in the 4th quarter due to blow out. 

WAS Wizards +1.5

Vegas nailed this line. It's perfect in this situation considering its both these teams are good in this spot. I'm just following line movement.  


well said bro and really looks what is exactly happening on the games on your picks nice call and like all your 3 picks spcially ur avatar 
 
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Posted: #8570
For example, I don't see anyone on it and I'm not either... But if you were on 76ers/Heat Over, it would be a good time to play 2nd Half Over 94. I'm not on that but it could go over that number and still hit Under for the game
 
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Posted: #8571
Quote Originally Posted by jpaco:



well said bro and really looks what is exactly happening on the games on your picks nice call and like all your 3 picks spcially ur avatar 

Better be careful before Mante Teo starts dating his avatar lol
 
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Posted: #8572
Quote Originally Posted by jpaco:



well said bro and really looks what is exactly happening on the games on your picks nice call and like all your 3 picks spcially ur avatar 

is it just me? or has lopel been on fire lately with that sexy record keeps getting better and better.. are you perhaps hotter than your avatar?? probably not ha ha, but im venturing to say it's closer than people would think good picks!
 
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Posted: #8573
Turbovtk  20-10-1

LA Clippers -6

DEN Nuggets -8.5

ATL Hawks +1.5

phixer 11-3

ATL Hawks  +1

WASH Wizards +1

Over 197.5. SAC Kings - CHI Bulls

BigUnit   21-13

LA Clippers -6

DET Pistons +12

Over 188 LA Clippers-MEM Grizzlies


Heads2134   16-9

Eryximaque  21-14

MIA Heat -8.5

DEN Nuggets -8.5

Lopelpickscom 21-14-1

UNDER 193 PHI 76ers - MIA Heat

OVER 185 IND Pacers - MIN Timberwolves

WAS Wizards +1.5

Lank66    26-19

Under 200 GS Warriors - DET Pistons

Over 213 HOU Rockets - PHO Suns

Houston -11.5


 
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Posted: #8574
Not for the contest but testing theory

Over 91 2H IND Pacers - MIN Timberwolves

Original total 186 moved ton184.5

1H actual score 54-62 = 116 that means 70 gets the game over the game total this means there is no real incentive in this game hit the line as the over is very likely to hit. The 20 pt discrepancy is because since they had great quarters the general thought is they will not continue to shoot at the same rate. The total came to this score in the 1H because of more shots not a huge FG they are making half their shots at around 52% each- if they had shot 600-700 I would reconsider.
 
 
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Posted: #8575
KJacobs203 12-6

KingMidasTouch  10-5-1

LA Lakers -1.5

Over 197 SAC Kings - CHI Bulls

Under 186  LA Clippers - MEM Grizzlies

CP74    24-19-1

OKC Thunder -12.5

ATL Hawks +3.5

muneemaker 5-2

DEN Nuggets -9

CHI Bulls -3

washhead 2-0

czaqtorres 17-15

Creep609  5-4
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