ok this will either be 0-3 or 3-0 in my opinion. this is purely based on the head to head matchups this season.
SA has only covered +4 in the first half once this season against the warriors, both regular season matchups in SA has gone under 205 and once because of OT in GS it went over, and after that outburst last game i think it goes under today. and SA has never covered +2 in the 1st all season.
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ridibets 8-1
Under 205 SA Spurs - GS Warriors
GS Warriors +2 1st qtr
GS Warriors +4 1st half
ok this will either be 0-3 or 3-0 in my opinion. this is purely based on the head to head matchups this season.
SA has only covered +4 in the first half once this season against the warriors, both regular season matchups in SA has gone under 205 and once because of OT in GS it went over, and after that outburst last game i think it goes under today. and SA has never covered +2 in the 1st all season.
why i think this goes 0-3 or 3-0 is because the first half will determine if SA controls the game and whether the game goes over. either the scoring explodes first half or not, i dont think they go crazy in the second half.
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why i think this goes 0-3 or 3-0 is because the first half will determine if SA controls the game and whether the game goes over. either the scoring explodes first half or not, i dont think they go crazy in the second half.
man early foul trouble on bogut and curry, lets hope they dont lose control of this game in the first half. scoring should hopefully slow down for the under.
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man early foul trouble on bogut and curry, lets hope they dont lose control of this game in the first half. scoring should hopefully slow down for the under.
why i think this goes 0-3 or 3-0 is because the first half will determine if SA controls the game and whether the game goes over. either the scoring explodes first half or not, i dont think they go crazy in the second half.
Nice job- we had the same ideas.
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Quote Originally Posted by ridibets:
why i think this goes 0-3 or 3-0 is because the first half will determine if SA controls the game and whether the game goes over. either the scoring explodes first half or not, i dont think they go crazy in the second half.
well the game played out as i expected, GS came out strong and the first half total stayed pretty much at par an the 2nd half low scoring as expected. nice 3-0 day!
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well the game played out as i expected, GS came out strong and the first half total stayed pretty much at par an the 2nd half low scoring as expected. nice 3-0 day!
I am taking the Bulls and Warriors again here on the same premise as before when you are off resting for a while it takes time to get your game legs and your groove back. That was apparent early in both of these games, the fact that the Bulls won is of no interest to me although live I placed a small $10 bet on +800 just because I saw value. I think live bet allows me to hedge a +13 B2 to make it +15 better than trying to hedge a double digit cover regardless of who is playing who. This of course was not the case for those that had the pacers yesterday as the Knicks routed them, I was on the Knicks on both games and also have Series bets on them as well lets see how this plays out- I have them next game as well despite the fact they have been struggling maybe last night they snapped out of it. The Heat can very well do that to the Bulls and blow them out by 22 or something like that, however the Bulls are playing with lots of energy and this game was lost by the Heat on the Defensive end- 30+ pts in the 4th? how often do they allow this? As for the Spurs they were really not in this game to match the energy of the Warriors after the long rest- now after a long long game would they still match the energy of a much younger team? I may go 2-0 on these or 0-2 but these are the safer plays until proven otherwise.
As for the Under on Spurs there was a lot of energy lots of shots- including a 70pt 3Q and OT not being accounted for because you can't predict that- came within 4 points of the prior total when B2 pts- So perhaps on even flow this stays high 190s which is what i thought before. It may be a trap but the lines being so similar is very striking- The Warriors ML may also pose some value- while the Bulls is higher I do not see the Heat down 0-2
Other leans are the under in the Heat game but not sold on it- just saying under because Bulls can have droughts and none of the prior games vs. bucks really went over.
Post game report. The Heat did what I was thinking they could do if the they were back in shape and they did just that. This was an interesting bet because it was intended to follow the trend until broken and it was broken, as stated before it turned out to be just like the Knicks series where the dog covered and won first game and second games were both blow outs. This was a small bet on the trend of Heat not blowing teams out by more than 15 as most bucks game came close to those lines. I decided to go with the second half over and that worked out pretty well.
As for the Warriors the Spurs as predicted did not match the speed and intensity of the much younger team- you dont go ahead and play double OT and come out fresh unless you have young legs, and while some guys in the spurs are not on AARP the main guys are not very young. This also played well for the Under as the Spurs offense will look for shots and the game should be more of an even flow without a super quarter.
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Quote Originally Posted by Turbovtk:
Turbovtk 11-10
Ok lets try this again...
CHI Bulls +13
GS Warriors +8
Under 205 SA Spurs - GS Warriors
I am taking the Bulls and Warriors again here on the same premise as before when you are off resting for a while it takes time to get your game legs and your groove back. That was apparent early in both of these games, the fact that the Bulls won is of no interest to me although live I placed a small $10 bet on +800 just because I saw value. I think live bet allows me to hedge a +13 B2 to make it +15 better than trying to hedge a double digit cover regardless of who is playing who. This of course was not the case for those that had the pacers yesterday as the Knicks routed them, I was on the Knicks on both games and also have Series bets on them as well lets see how this plays out- I have them next game as well despite the fact they have been struggling maybe last night they snapped out of it. The Heat can very well do that to the Bulls and blow them out by 22 or something like that, however the Bulls are playing with lots of energy and this game was lost by the Heat on the Defensive end- 30+ pts in the 4th? how often do they allow this? As for the Spurs they were really not in this game to match the energy of the Warriors after the long rest- now after a long long game would they still match the energy of a much younger team? I may go 2-0 on these or 0-2 but these are the safer plays until proven otherwise.
As for the Under on Spurs there was a lot of energy lots of shots- including a 70pt 3Q and OT not being accounted for because you can't predict that- came within 4 points of the prior total when B2 pts- So perhaps on even flow this stays high 190s which is what i thought before. It may be a trap but the lines being so similar is very striking- The Warriors ML may also pose some value- while the Bulls is higher I do not see the Heat down 0-2
Other leans are the under in the Heat game but not sold on it- just saying under because Bulls can have droughts and none of the prior games vs. bucks really went over.
Post game report. The Heat did what I was thinking they could do if the they were back in shape and they did just that. This was an interesting bet because it was intended to follow the trend until broken and it was broken, as stated before it turned out to be just like the Knicks series where the dog covered and won first game and second games were both blow outs. This was a small bet on the trend of Heat not blowing teams out by more than 15 as most bucks game came close to those lines. I decided to go with the second half over and that worked out pretty well.
As for the Warriors the Spurs as predicted did not match the speed and intensity of the much younger team- you dont go ahead and play double OT and come out fresh unless you have young legs, and while some guys in the spurs are not on AARP the main guys are not very young. This also played well for the Under as the Spurs offense will look for shots and the game should be more of an even flow without a super quarter.
well the game played out as i expected, GS came out strong and the first half total stayed pretty much at par an the 2nd half low scoring as expected. nice 3-0 day!
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Quote Originally Posted by ridibets:
well the game played out as i expected, GS came out strong and the first half total stayed pretty much at par an the 2nd half low scoring as expected. nice 3-0 day!
Hey Marvin, does my game total odds bet count for yesterdays action? It was an "in play" bet and I did wager actual money on it as I do all my calls. Just want to get the rules down. Thanks Marvin.
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Hey Marvin, does my game total odds bet count for yesterdays action? It was an "in play" bet and I did wager actual money on it as I do all my calls. Just want to get the rules down. Thanks Marvin.
Hey ridibets, or anyone for that matter, if u see any more situational bets that could profit like u pointed out in the rockets thunder series before game 6 last round let me know! Made some money off that bc of your idea
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Hey ridibets, or anyone for that matter, if u see any more situational bets that could profit like u pointed out in the rockets thunder series before game 6 last round let me know! Made some money off that bc of your idea
Hey Marvin, does my game total odds bet count for yesterdays action? It was an "in play" bet and I did wager actual money on it as I do all my calls. Just want to get the rules down. Thanks Marvin.
Those kind of plays can't really be tailed as well as halftime bets, cause of a short time span between publishing and actual changing of the prices, spread and action. Therefore those kind of picks do not carry any value nor helping other to profit wise, nor learning wise as there's no room for discussion.
So, as much as I can applaud for the winners and there's no problem with publishing them - they really do not fit the contest format.
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Quote Originally Posted by against-all-odds:
Hey Marvin, does my game total odds bet count for yesterdays action? It was an "in play" bet and I did wager actual money on it as I do all my calls. Just want to get the rules down. Thanks Marvin.
Those kind of plays can't really be tailed as well as halftime bets, cause of a short time span between publishing and actual changing of the prices, spread and action. Therefore those kind of picks do not carry any value nor helping other to profit wise, nor learning wise as there's no room for discussion.
So, as much as I can applaud for the winners and there's no problem with publishing them - they really do not fit the contest format.
Those kind of plays can't really be tailed as well as halftime bets, cause of a short time span between publishing and actual changing of the prices, spread and action. Therefore those kind of picks do not carry any value nor helping other to profit wise, nor learning wise as there's no room for discussion.
So, as much as I can applaud for the winners and there's no problem with publishing them - they really do not fit the contest format.
Diez cuatro amigo!
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Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:
Those kind of plays can't really be tailed as well as halftime bets, cause of a short time span between publishing and actual changing of the prices, spread and action. Therefore those kind of picks do not carry any value nor helping other to profit wise, nor learning wise as there's no room for discussion.
So, as much as I can applaud for the winners and there's no problem with publishing them - they really do not fit the contest format.
Heat, we all saw what the Heat can do when they want to do it. It was not even making shots it was just being physical and taking it to the RIM- While the refs made a mockery of this game I mean if you looked at someone funny it was a technical, if you stepped on your own toes it was a technical. I expect the Bulls to play with a bit of frustration maybe get in foul trouble and maybe take shots that are not their shots and the Heat may lose one more game in this series but I doubt this is the game. Can they cover, well when they went to the home of the MIL Bucks they took care of business and they have pure shooters there. So I think that if they man up and play D they can take care of business here too. The Bulls are on an amazing run considering all the injuries I think that run is about to end, while it is not my thing to predict runs it is coming of a big loss that I am making this call rather than figuring out the first win or loss that stops a streak. I have spread on this game hedging live and 2h. The under also seems to be a good play here and it is part of a small parlay.
GS, if they continue to play with energy, don't get a big head and continue to get the off boards they can really win this series. While the Spurs have been clutch and hitting lots of jumpers same as GS (this could be their downfall need to shoot 50-55% a game to win) I think this game may not reach 200- the first one barely went over OT not included and like stated before it had a 70 pt quarter, and while these type of scoring barrages can occur I think that it is not the norm and betting on it to happen is the same a prop- aka crapshoot. I also want to see what the props are for 3pt shots made, I hit the one over 8 in the first game and in the second game hit first team to 10 to 20 and to 30 by picking GS because they are the younger team coming of 2x OT they would have fresher legs and more hunger, it worked out this way. Lets see what tonight brings. Hedges for total and spread live and 2H-
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Turbovtk 13-11
MIA Heat -6.5
GS Warriors -1
Under GS Warriors - SA Spurs 203.5
Heat, we all saw what the Heat can do when they want to do it. It was not even making shots it was just being physical and taking it to the RIM- While the refs made a mockery of this game I mean if you looked at someone funny it was a technical, if you stepped on your own toes it was a technical. I expect the Bulls to play with a bit of frustration maybe get in foul trouble and maybe take shots that are not their shots and the Heat may lose one more game in this series but I doubt this is the game. Can they cover, well when they went to the home of the MIL Bucks they took care of business and they have pure shooters there. So I think that if they man up and play D they can take care of business here too. The Bulls are on an amazing run considering all the injuries I think that run is about to end, while it is not my thing to predict runs it is coming of a big loss that I am making this call rather than figuring out the first win or loss that stops a streak. I have spread on this game hedging live and 2h. The under also seems to be a good play here and it is part of a small parlay.
GS, if they continue to play with energy, don't get a big head and continue to get the off boards they can really win this series. While the Spurs have been clutch and hitting lots of jumpers same as GS (this could be their downfall need to shoot 50-55% a game to win) I think this game may not reach 200- the first one barely went over OT not included and like stated before it had a 70 pt quarter, and while these type of scoring barrages can occur I think that it is not the norm and betting on it to happen is the same a prop- aka crapshoot. I also want to see what the props are for 3pt shots made, I hit the one over 8 in the first game and in the second game hit first team to 10 to 20 and to 30 by picking GS because they are the younger team coming of 2x OT they would have fresher legs and more hunger, it worked out this way. Lets see what tonight brings. Hedges for total and spread live and 2H-
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