LIV Golf Andalucia Picks and Odds: Oosthuizen a Savvy Pick at Valderrama

Bryson DeChambeau is leading the pack ahead of LIV Golf Andalucia at Real Club Valderrama. Check out our full betting preview below for a detailed odds breakdown and Neil Parker's picks for the tournament that starts on Friday, July 12.

Trevor Knapp - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Publishing Editor
Jul 9, 2024 • 11:02 ET • 4 min read
Louis Oosthuizen LIV Golf 2024
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Although Bryson DeChambeau has yet to come away with a LIV tournament win in 2024, golf odds still have the "The Scientist" penned as the frontrunner for this weekend's competition at Real Club Valderrama.

Following a third-place showing in Nashville, DeChambeau tops the board for LIV Golf Andalucia. With Round 1 teeing off on Friday, let's dive into the latest odds for DeChambeau and the rest of the field while Neil Parker offers his best golf picks for the event, which include Louis Oosthuizen. 

Best LIV Golf Andalucia picks

Odds to win LIV Golf Andalucia

Player DraftKings bet365
Bryson DeChambeau +650 +700
Jon Rahm +750 +700
Joaquin Niemann +800 +900
Tyrrell Hatton +1,100 +950
Sergio Garcia +1,600 +1,200
Talor Gooch  +1,800 +1,900
Cam Smith +1,800 +1,900
Patrick Reed +2,200 +2,700
Louis Oosthuizen  +2,200 +2,400
Dean Burmester +2,200 +3,000
Carlos Ortiz +2,200 +2,200
Brooks Koepka +2,200 +1,700
Abraham Ancer  +2,500 +3,000
Richard Bland +3,000 +3,500

Odds as of 7-10.

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Real Club Valderrama course notes

Valderrama is a Par-71, 7,010-yard track designed by Robert Trent Jones that features Tifway 419 fairways and T1 Creeping Bentgrass greens. This weekend marks the second time that Real Club Valderrama will host a LIV event.

Prominent tournaments the Valderrama Golf Club has hosted include the 1997 Ryder Cup and the WGC-American Express Championship (1999, 2000).  

LIV Golf Andalucia picks and predictions

Louis Oosthuizen to win outright (+2,400)

There’s been a lot of inconsistency in the results for Oosthuizen this season, but the highlights have been impressive, and there’s a lot to be encouraged about this week. First, the South African has been incredible on and around the green. He ranks first in scrambling and third in both putting average and strokes gained on the green.

Of course, Oosthuizen’s long-time calling card has been his world-class ball-striking, so ranking 29th in greens-in-regulation is surprising. Still, he’s 10th in birdies per round and just gained strokes on long, medium, and short approaches at the Nashville event. I expect the elite iron play to continue, and for Oosthuizen to contend this week at the Real Club Valderrama.

Pick: Louis Oosthuizen to win outright (+2,400 at bet365)

John Catlin Top 20 (+100)

The 33-year-old American is no longer flying under the radar with back-to-back wins on the Asian Tour early this season and a solo second last week in the International Series Morocco. He’s also a three-time winner on the DP World Tour, including taking down the 2020 Andalucía Masters right here at Valderrama.

This will be Catlin’s third LIV Golf event, and he finished T24 in Houston and T7 in Nashville. Additionally, while it’s just a two-event sample, Catlin has gained strokes tee-to-green and impressed with 17 birdies across three rounds in Nashville.

Pick: John Catlin Top 20 finish (+100 at DraftKings)

Martin Kaymer Top 20 (+180)

These are long odds for a player with a long history of success at Valderrama. Kaymer finished sixth in the 2007 Volvo Masters here, and then he followed it up with a T2 finish the following year. The track hosted the Andalucía Masters in 2010 and 2011, and the German played the weekend with respective T21 and T23 results. He also rolled off a run of T6-T27 in DP World Tour events at Valderrama in 2016 and 2017. Finally, Kaymer finished runner-up in the 2020 Andalucía Masters to Catlin.

While Kaymer’s best golf is in the rearview mirror and finished just T36 in last year’s LIV Golf Valderrama event, he’s made the cut in consecutive major championships and has Top 20 finishes in three of his past four LIV events. Pair his improved form with his experience at this difficult track, and we’re landing a nice number for Kaymer.

Pick: Martin Kaymer Top 20 finish (+180 at DraftKings)

LIV Golf Andalucia field and favorites

Trailing DeChambeau are Jon Rahm (+750), Tyrrell Hatton (+1,100), and Joaquin Niemann (+900).

Hatton is coming off his first LIV Golf win in Nashville, dominating the rest of the field with a six-shot over second-place Sam Horsfield. 

Last year's LIV Golf Andalucia winner — Talor Gooch — is listed at +1,900 ahead of Friday's first round. 

LIV Golf recent winners and odds history

Here are the recent LIV Golf winners and their closing odds to win:

Event Golfer Closing odds
Nashville (June 2024) Tyrrell Hatton +1,200
Houston (June 2024) Carlos Ortiz +3,500
Singapore (May 2024) Brooks Koepka (4) +2,000
Adelaide (April 2024) Brendan Steele +8,000
Miami (April 2024) Dean Burmester +3,000
Hong Kong (March 2024) Abraham Ancer +3,500
Jeddah (March 2024) Joaquin Niemann (2) +1,000
Las Vegas (Feb. 2024) Dustin Johnson (3) +1,600
Mayakoba (Feb. 2024) Joaquin Niemann +1,200

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Publishing Editor

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Toronto Blue Jays and Indianapolis Colts fan.

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