Fewer Than 500 Circa Survivor Contestants Advance to Week 5

The Bengals finally rewarded their backers in Week 4, while the Jets torpedoed a good chunk of the remaining field.

Brad Senkiw - News Editorat Covers.com
Brad Senkiw • News Editor
Oct 2, 2024 • 13:30 ET • 4 min read
New York Jets NFL Aaron Rodgers
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The number of participants in the Circa Sports Survivor contest fell below 500 following Week 4 in the NFL as 162 total entries were eliminated, including 110 by the New York Jets' loss to the Denver Broncos. 

Just 480 contestants (3.36%) of the 14,266 entries stayed alive hoping to get a chunk of the $14.26 million prize pool. The Jets were the most selected losing team but the number of casualties was much less than Week 3, when four favorites knocked 3,100 entries out of the contest and left just 4.5% of the field to keep picking.

The Arizona Cardinals’ loss to the Washington Commanders eliminated 36 participants in Week 4. There were 277 entries riding the San Francisco 49ers, the most in the contest, and the reigning NFC champions easily defeated the New England Patriots to see those players through to another week. 

The survivors’ implied value per entry rose from $22,000 after Week 3 to $29,720.

Bengals finally reward

The Bengals finally did something good for those who picked them.

Sixty-three Circa Survivor participants cashed in on Cincinnati getting in the win column for the first time this season with a 34-24 victory over the Carolina Panthers. The Bengals were the third-most-picked team and second among squads that won. 

It could’ve been more, but it’s understandable if survivors weren’t keen on relying on Cincinnati. The Bengals eliminated 4,895 entries in a Week 1 loss to the Patriots followed by another 988 contestants in a Week 3 defeat to the Commanders on Monday Night Football. 

The entry fee for Circa Survivor pool is $1,000, and the contest lasts 20 weeks as the games during Thanksgiving and Christmas are broken out into separate weeks. Participants can only pick a team to win once, so those who got through with the Bengals don’t have to sweat with Joe Burrow & Co. again.

Circa Las Vegas, which runs the contest, is also looking to document the event through the eyes of participants for the second consecutive year.

What’s left for Week 5

Nine teams — the Panthers, Browns, Broncos, Jaguars, Rams, Patriots, Giants, and Titans — have 100% availability for the 480 contestants.

The Jets have been picked by the most participants as just 11.3% of survivors can back Aaron Rodgers against the 4-0 Vikings in London. Minnesota is available to 96.3% of the 480 survivors. 

Only 37.3% can still select the Texans, who host the Bills, while 57.1% of the remaining field has used up the Seahawks, who welcome the 1-3 Giants to Seattle on Sunday.

Fresh off their first win of the season, the Ravens could be a popular pick at Cincinnati this week, available to 99.6% of contestants.

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