The Los Angeles Angels are attempting to move on from their horrid 14-game losing streak and will face their cross-town counterparts, the Los Angeles Dodgers, for a two-game set.
The Dodgers have also been facing extended struggles, having now lost nine of their last thirteen and coming off of a disastrous three-game sweep against the Giants in which they scored just four runs total.
Can they stop the bleeding and turn things around or will the Angels take advantage of Dave Roberts' reeling team?
Continue reading for free MLB picks and predictions for the Angels vs Dodgers matchup on Tuesday, June 14.
Angels vs Dodgers odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Dodgers opened as favorites in the -175 range and have since moved as high as -205 at some shops. The total opened at 9 and has since moved to 8.5, with most books showing juice towards the Over.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.
Angels vs Dodgers predictions
Picks made on 6/14/2022 at 3:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Angels vs Dodgers game info
• Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
• Date: Tuesday, June 14, 2022
• First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
• TV: TBS
Angels vs Dodgers betting preview
Starting pitchers
Noah Syndergaard (4-4, 3.69 ERA): Syndergaard was once one of MLB's premier young pitching talents but following his opting out of the 2020 season and an injury-shortened 2021 season in which he pitched in just two games, a lot of mystery surrounded what the now 29-year-old could bring to his new club. Thus far, he has logged a 3.69 ERA and 1.19 WHIP but has had severe performance splits at home (1.48 ERA) compared to on the road (7.88 ERA).
Tony Gonsolin (7-0, 1.58 ERA): Gonsolin would be the centerpiece of any other franchise's rotation but given the depth of the Dodgers' rotation over the years, Gonsolin has served largely as a middle-of-the-rotation arm. He has accumulated a 17-5 record and 2.48 ERA across his four seasons and has yet to allow more than two earned runs in an outing this year.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Angels: No injuries to report.
Dodgers: Chris Taylor OF (Questionable), Blake Treinen RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Angels have gone 16-9-2 (64%) towards the Over in road games. The Dodgers have gone 15-11-1 (57.7%) towards the Over at home. Find more MLB betting trends for Angels vs. Dodgers
Angels vs Dodgers picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Moneyline analysis
When the Angels and Dodgers begin their two-game set on Tuesday night, they will send a pair of pitchers who very likely can relate to each other. Both spent the early seasons of their career putting up truly spectacular marks but were largely overshadowed by even better talents in their own rotation.
Syndergaard pitched to a stellar 2.93 ERA across his first four seasons but was always seen as the No. 2 to Jacob deGrom. Tony Gonsolin has an even better 2.48 ERA across his four seasons so far but has never been featured or talked about as much as the likes of Clayton Kershaw, Walker Buehler, and Julio Urias.
But this year, Gonsolin has been undeniably the best pitcher for the Dodgers. Clayton Kershaw has pitched to a 2.12 ERA and Julio Urias has put up a 2.80 mark as well, but Gonsin's 1.58 ERA is otherworldly in comparison. And while that mark very likely has to regress a little bit, his advanced metrics suggest that he should maintain high-level excellence as the season goes on.
Gonsolin ranks in the 97th percentile in hard-hit percentage and ranks in the 90th percentile in expected batting average (xBA) and in the 92nd percentile in expected slugging percentage (xSLG) as a result. He has additional favorable marks in fastball spin rate (73rd) and strikeout rate (65th).
His counterpart for tonight's game, Noah Syndergaard, has had a less impressive 2022 thus far (but then again, so do 99% of all pitchers). Syndergaard in particular has struggled to replicate his success at home (1.48 ERA) when he is on the road (7.88 ERA).
Although it has never been as drastic as this year, that has been a theme in some of Syndergaard's past seasons. In 2015, he pitched to a 2.46 home ERA and 4.23 road ERA, and in 2017, he pitched to a 1.71 ERA at home and 5.79 ERA on the road.
And when looking at his advanced metrics, there's a definite cause for concern. Outside of walk rate (84th percentile) and average exit velocity (69th), the now 29-year-old rates very poorly in most other categories.
Adding to that concern is Syndergaard's track record against these Dodgers' batters. Across a sample of 86 plate appearances, he has kept them to a somewhat respectable batting average (.244) but has allowed quality contact when hit (.439). The likes of Freddie Freeman (.435 BA, 0.783 SLG in 24 PA) and Justin Turner (.300 BA, .500 SLG in 11 PA) in particular have given the righty the most notable trouble.
That could help jumpstart a Dodgers' offense that mustered just four runs total en route to getting swept by the Giants over the weekend. And if they can get to Syndergaard early and often, he will have to hand the ball off to an Angels bullpen that has managed the eighth-worst ERA this season so far (4.27).
Prediction: Dodgers moneyline (-185 at Caesars)
Over/Under analysis
The Angels have played to a 30-28-4 (51.7%) record favoring the Over but have gone 16-9-2 (64.0%) that way in road games. Similarly, the Dodgers' overall 25-31-4 (44.6%) record towards the Over is nothing to write home about, but their 15-11-1 (57.7%) O/U record at home, in particular, is of note.
And even despite their poor offensive output during their 14-game losing streak, the Angels still have managed a 9-6 O/U recird in their last 15 games. However, the Dodgers have gone 10-4-2 towards the Under during their last 16 games.
But given that we expect the Dodgers to give Noah Syndergaard (and the Angels' bullpen) some trouble tonight, the Over is still the way to go. Despite their poor offensive showing in their series against the Giants, the Dodgers still lead the league in run production, averaging 5.15 runs per game.
Prediction: Over 8.5 (-115 at PointsBet)
Best bet
When looking across the entire matchup for Tuesday night's game between the two Los Angeles clubs, it's very clear that the Dodgers have a rather sizable edge.
Tony Gonsolin's 1.58 ERA is the second-best mark in all of MLB while Noah Syndergaard will bring his awful road splits into a matchup against a lineup he has struggled with in the past.
Even if Syndergaard can at least match or even better Gonsolin's performance tonight, he will leave the ball in the hands of the eighth-worst bullpen by ERA whereas Gonsolin will hand it off to the ninth-best.
And while the Dodgers lead the league in run-scoring with 5.15 runs per game, the Angels are only around league average with 4.39 per game.
Take this collection of edges to the run line tonight.
Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (+115 at Caesars)
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