It will be an emotional Friday afternoon at Citi Field, where the New York Mets will host the Arizona Diamondbacks in their home opener.
In addition to unveiling a statue to honor Tom Seaver hours before game time, the Mets will join the rest of the MLB in wearing No. 42 on their backs in tribute to Jackie Robinson.
The Amazins began the 2022 campaign by winning five of seven on the road, and are favored over Arizona, who is off to a slow 2-4 start.
Who has the edge? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Diamondbacks vs Mets on Friday, April 15.
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Diamondbacks vs Mets odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Mets opened as heavy consensus favorites of -195 on Thursday afternoon, and money has poured in on them since. New York is now anywhere from -222 to -240 on the moneyline.
The consensus total was unveiled at 8.5 runs, but action at some sites has resulted in offerings of 8 runs. However, plenty of 8.5s can still be found.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.
Diamondbacks vs Mets predictions
Picks made on 4/15/2022 at 10:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Diamondbacks vs Mets game info
• Location: Citi Field, New York, NY
• Date: Friday, April 15, 2022
• First pitch: 1:10 p.m. ET
• TV: MLB Network
Diamondbacks vs Mets betting preview
Starting pitchers
Zach Davies (0-0, 3.60 ERA): Zach Davies’ first effort of 2022 was a step in the right direction as he tries to bounce back from a dreadful 2021 campaign. He held the San Diego Padres to two runs over five frames on Saturday, inducing 10 groundball outs with no home runs. Davies went 6-12 with a 5.78 ERA last year and posted career-highs in home runs per nine innings (1.5) and walks per nine innings (4.6).
Chris Bassitt (1-0, 0.00 ERA): Chris Bassitt’s Mets debut couldn’t have gone much better, as he silenced the Washington Nationals’ bats through six frames on Saturday, striking out eight. The effort was far from a fluke for Bassitt, who went 12-4 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.06 WHIP with the Oakland A’s in 2021. This will be his first-ever start at Citi Field.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Diamondbacks: Nick Ahmed (Out), J.B. Bukauskas (Out), Luke Weaver (Out), Jordan Luplow (Out), Josh Rojas (Out).
Mets: Trevor May (Questionable), Taijuan Walker (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Diamondbacks are 11-53 in their last 64 road games. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Mets.
Diamondbacks vs Mets picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Moneyline analysis
The Mets have the advantage on both offense and defense against the D-backs on Friday, and should not disappoint chalk-players here.
Chris Bassitt is more than capable of building on his terrific initial outing of 2022 with the rust shaken off. The former AL product has limited experience against Arizona, but he’s held star second baseman Ketel Marte to two hits in 13 prior at-bats.
Marte is one of many D-backs batters who have underachieved through the first week of the season. He has just three hits through his first 21 at-bats, and his team is hitting a scant .140 collectively.
The Mets, meanwhile, are seventh in baseball with a collective .255 batting average. Outfielder Brandon Nimmo has been outstanding thus far, hitting .333 with a pair of homers, tied for the team lead with slugging first baseman, Pete Alonso.
Starling Marte is off to a modest .231 start at the dish for New York, but he’s 10-for-28 (.357) lifetime against Arizona starter Zach Davies with two doubles.
All signs point to the Mets securing a home-opening victory.
Prediction: Mets moneyline (-222 at BetRivers)
Over/Under analysis
Bettors should expect this series opener to stay below the listed 8.5-run total.
Chris Bassitt had some solid home splits in 2021, as he authored a 2.44 ERA and .196 opponent batting average. He should be able to pitch into the seventh inning in this one, which will allow the Mets bullpen to take a breather.
Davies is a rare pitcher that prefers to work on the road, as his ERA away from his own stadium has been at least 0.74 points lower than his home split over each of the last three seasons. Once he departs, a D-backs bullpen that has held its own thus far in 2022 (2.84 ERA, eighth in the majors) will take over.
The trends point toward a low-scoring affair as well, as Arizona has begun the year by going 5-1-1 to the Under. The Mets are 21-7-1 to the Under in their last 29 games after scoring five or more runs in their previous contest.
Prediction: Under 8.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
Best bet
The Under looks like a good wager, but the first five innings Under looks even more solid.
Bassitt faces a D-backs offense that’s averaging just 0.33 runs per game through the first five innings this season, dead last in the majors.
He’ll eventually have to turn things over to the New York relief corps – which is off to a shaky beginning to 2022 (4.15 ERA, 23rd in baseball) – but that is unlikely to happen before the fifth inning is in the books.
Davies may not pitch five innings of shutout baseball, but he should be able to get through relatively unscathed. Even in his down year of 2021, he held the opposition to a .725 OPS the first time around the order.
Citi Field is notorious for being a pitcher’s park, ranking in the Bottom 5 by park factor in four of the last five years.
Pick: First five innings Under 4.5 (-114 at UniBet)
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