Dodgers vs Padres Picks and Predictions: Max Gets Best of Yu

San Diego is reeling and is coming off a 16-inning loss to L.A. Things won't be any easier Thursday up against Max Scherzer as betting underdogs with Yu Darvish on the mound. Find out why we like the road faves in our Dodgers vs. Padres picks.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Aug 26, 2021 • 13:42 ET • 4 min read
Max Scherzer Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres gave it their all in last night’s 16-inning marathon against the Los Angeles Dodgers but, once again, came up short.

San Diego's postseason hopes are fading quickly, and things won’t get any easier tonight as they go up against Los Angeles' newest ace in Max Scherzer. Can the return of Yu Darvish help the Padres take down the red-hot Dodgers as underdogs?

Find out with our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Dodgers vs. Padres on Thursday, August 26.

Dodgers vs Padres game info

Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA     
Date: Thursday, August 26, 2021
Time: 9:10 p.m. ET
TV: BSSD, SportsNet LA

Dodgers vs Padres odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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Dodgers vs Padres betting preview

Starting pitchers

Max Scherzer (11-4, 2.65 ERA): Scherzer has looked outstanding in Dodger blue. The right-hander has pitched to a 2.11 ERA, is limiting teams to a .205 batting average, and has racked up 31 strikeouts in his first 21 1-3 innings of work as a Dodger.

Yu Darvish (7-7, 3.70 ERA): Darvish hasn’t pitched since August 12 due to a back ailment, but he just hasn’t looked right since the start of July. The right-hander has been lit up for a 7.13 ERA and is giving up a .268 opponent batting average, including 11 dingers over his last seven starts.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Dodgers: Mookie Betts RF (Questionable), Scott Alexander RP (Out), Evan Philips RP (Out).
Padres: Taylor Williams RP (Questionable), Matt Strahm RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings between the Dodgers and Padres. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Padres.

Moneyline pick

This brutal stretch for the Padres looks like it has taken another gut punch after they came up short in last night’s 16-inning defeat. The loss was the Padres' 11th in their last 13 games but, luckily for them, the Cincinnati Reds lost as well and SAn Diego remains one game behind Cincy for the final National League wild-card spot.

A big reason for the Padres’ slump is that their bats have run ice cold. Over this 13-game stretch, San Diego ranks dead last in MLB in both batting average (.191) and OPS (.623). And a date against Mad Max doesn’t bode well.

Scherzer, 37, is having one of the best seasons of his career. The right-hander has allowed more than two earned runs just four times over his 23 starts and sports a career-best WHIP of 0.91 WHIP while striking out 12.1 batters per nine innings.

Darvish, meanwhile, wasn’t pitching well before getting hurt and is being thrown straight into the fire coming off the IL, going against a Dodgers team that has won 15 of their last 17 games overall. This is a good price to back Scherzer and the Dodgers.

PREDICTION: Dodgers (-135)

Over/Under pick

When it comes to the total, 7.5 feels like a number that would be more accurate if Darvish was at his best. He does have three excellent performances against the Dodgers this season, but that's just something we can’t be sure about coming off the IL, particularly for a back injury, which can take nothing for a pitcher to tweak.

He faces a Dodgers lineup that is clicking with Trea Turner leading off and is plating 5.12 runs per contest over this 17-game stretch. Plus, they could get Mookie Betts back for this game. And if Darvish can’t go long, he’ll have to hand the ball to a Padres bullpen that ranks 28th in ERA and WHIP over the team's 13-game slump and is likely gassed after last night’s lengthy matchup.

And while Scherzer is dealing right now, two of his worst starts this season have come against the Padres. Bet on this one to eclipse the number.

PREDICTION: Over 7.5 (-110)

Dodgers vs Padres betting card

  • Dodgers (-135)
  • Over 7.5 (-110)

Picks made on 8/26/2021 at 1:20 p.m. ET

MLB parlays

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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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