Despite several notable names lining the IL, the Los Angeles Dodgers have won six of their last eight games, including Monday’s 3-0 victory over the Chicago White Sox. They’re set for Game 2 on June 25 at Guaranteed Rate Field.
My Dodgers vs. White Sox predictions focus on the total and why it'll stay Under the total of 9.5. Find out more in the MLB picks ahead!
Dodgers vs White Sox prediction
My best bet
Under 9.5 (-115 at Caesars)
My analysis
The Los Angeles Dodgers are glad to have Bobby Miller back in the rotation with so many impact contributors on the shelf. After missing over two months with right shoulder inflammation, the 25-year-old returned to the fold last Wednesday to bolster his team’s starting pitching.
That’ll be more important than ever as star Mookie Betts remains out due to a broken left hand. The lineup still contains a potent top four of Shohei Ohtani, Will Smith, Freddie Freeman, and Teoscar Hernandez — but things get a little murkier after that.
The bottom of the order has been a dead zone all year, and swapping Betts for Miguel Rojas is going to hurt no matter how you slice it. The 35-year-old’s .284 BA and .764 OPS this year may look fine, but keep in mind he has a long track record of sub-replacement level performance with a career 83 wRC+.
Chicago White Sox starter Chris Flexen’s surface-level numbers (5.03 ERA, 1.39 WHIP) are a bit rough, but he’s found his groove lately. The veteran righty has limited his opposition to three runs or fewer in 10 of his last 13 starts.
As for Miller, he still needs to shake off some rust but this forecasts as an excellent spot to do just that. The White Sox have been the league’s most inept offense against right-handed pitching, with a 65 wRC+ and .258 wOBA across the last 15 days.
Miller made 22 starts a year ago, and his line was mighty impressive for a 24-year-old — he finished with a 3.40 xERA and 3.51 FIP with a 17.2% K-BB rate. He’s one of the hardest throwers in the league (98 mph average fastball velo) and possesses immense potential, so we likely see him get back on track against the MLB’s worst team.
The White Sox are 15-22 O/U at home, including a 1-5 O/U stretch in their last six at Guaranteed Rate, while the Dodgers are 17-22 O/U on the road. I’ll bet on yet another Under coming through on Tuesday.
Dodgers vs White Sox same-game parlay (SGP)
Under 9
Dodgers -1.5
Chris Flexen Over 1.5 walks
We have one of the best teams in baseball going against the worst. It may be best not to overcomplicate things and stay simple, and the Dodgers’ run line can be had for a fair price. They’re 22-17 against the run line in away games and have won four of their last five road games against Chicago
Flexen has command issues, ranking 89th in Location+ (98) out of 110 starting pitchers who have thrown at least 60 innings. He’s walked two or more batters in five of his last six starts.
The Dodgers are a tough matchup for the 29-year-old hurler if he hopes to find his command. They have the highest walk rate (10.3%) against RHP on the season, and that number hasn’t faltered lately — sitting at 10.7% across the last 15 days.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Dodgers vs White Sox odds
Dodgers vs White Sox live odds
Dodgers vs White Sox opening odds
- Run line: Los Angeles -1.5 (-120) | Chicago +1.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Los Angeles -205 | Chicago +170
- Over/Under: Over 9.0 (-115) | Under 9.0 (-105)
Dodgers vs White Sox spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Dodgers have covered the F5 run line in eight of their last nine games and the F5 moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games.
- The Dodgers have won 10 of their last 14 away games, whereas the White Sox have won just one of their previous five home games.
- The Dodgers have cashed the Under in 30 of their last 52 games.
Dodgers vs White Sox trend
The White Sox have cashed the Under in 10 of their last 13 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs White Sox.
Dodgers vs White Sox game info
| Location: | Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date: | Tuesday, 6-25-2024 |
| First pitch: | 8:10 p.m. ET |
| TV: | SNLA, NBCSCH |
| Dodgers starting pitcher: | Bobby Miller (1-1, 6.00 ERA) |
| White Sox starting pitcher: | Chris Flexen (2-6, 5.03 ERA) |
Dodgers vs White Sox latest injuries
Dodgers vs White Sox weather
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