The San Francisco Giants continue their East Coast crawl Monday, heading to the City of Brotherly Love to open a three-game road set with the Philadelphia Phillies.
San Francisco burned baseball bettors by dropping two of three games with Cincinnati this past weekend and has just three wins in its last 10 outings. Philadelphia, on the other hand, is back home after going 1-5 on a six-game divisional road swing that concluded with a series sweep at the hands of the Mets on Sunday night.
Here are our free MLB picks and predictions for Giants at Phillies on May 30.
Giants vs Phillies odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
Philadelphia opened as a -115 home favorite with San Francisco coming back at -105. As of Monday morning, those prices have flipped with the Giants a -115 home favorite and Philly moving down 10 cents to -105. The total hit the board at 8.5 runs (Over -122) and has shifted to 8.5 (Over -115).
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.
Giants vs Phillies predictions
Picks made on 5/30/2022 at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Giants vs Phillies game info
• Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
• Date: Monday, May 30, 2022
• First pitch: 4:05 p.m. ET
• TV: NBCS-Bay Area, NBCS-Philadelphia
Giants vs Phillies betting preview
Starting pitchers
Logan Webb (5-1, 3.54 ERA): San Fran’s righty has had a respectable May so far, going 2-0 over four starts with a 3.91 ERA. He’s posted 20 strikeouts to six walks in those starts and has allowed just one home run over 30 1-3 innings pitched this month. Funny enough, Monday’s start will be Webb’s fifth outing against an NL East club in 10 starts in 2022, going 2-1 in a pair of meetings with the Mets and the Nationals.
Kyle Gibson (3-2, 3.94 ERA): Despite the Phillies losing Gibson’s last two outings, the right-hander has pitched well over those 10 2-3 innings of work. Gibson has allowed just four earned runs and whiffed 15 total batters with only one walk in that span. He’s been much sharper at home, with a 3-1 record and 2.22 ERA inside Citizens Bank Field (vs. 5.70 ERA on the road).
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Giants: Steven Duggar CF (Out), Austin Slater LF (Out), Brandon Belt 1B (Questionable), LaMonte Wade Jr. LF (Out).
Phillies: Didi Gregorius SS (Out), Mickey Moniak CF (Questionable), Rafael Alejandro Marchan C (Out), Ryan Sherriff RP (Out), Sam Coonrod RP (Out), Kent Emanuel RP (Out), JoJo Romero RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 9-1-1 in the Phillies' last 11 games as home underdogs. Find more MLB betting trends for Giants vs. Phillies
Giants vs Phillies picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Moneyline analysis
A series loss to the Cincinnati Reds could be rock bottom for the Giants, who needed two runs in the bottom of the ninth to finally beat Cincinnati on Sunday. San Francisco’s current road trip to the right side of the country has garnered plenty of headlines, but few of the baseball sort.
Manager Gabe Kapler has made a protest statement by not coming out on the field for the national anthem in the wake of the tragic school shooting in Texas. Then the weekend matchup with the Reds saw off-field drama between Cincinnati OF Tommy Pham and San Francisco OF Joc Pederson, who got “Will Smith” slapped over what is being reported as a fantasy football dispute.
On the field, the Giants’ lack of consistency at the plate has plagued them during this 10-game slog. San Francisco has scored three or fewer runs in six of its last 10 showings, including losses of 5-1 and 3-2 to a Reds team that ranks dead last in runs allowed this season.
The Giants run into righty Kyle Gibson, who is starting to heat up with two strong starts versus San Diego and Atlanta. Gibson has allowed 15 hits over those showings but worked out of any jams with solid command, walking just one batter and picking up 15 strikeouts in that pair of starts. San Francisco’s lineup was fanned 13 times in Sunday’s comeback win over Cincy, eagerly swinging after the taps were turned off on offense for most of that series.
The Phillies couldn’t hold off the Mets on Sunday Night Baseball, losing in extra innings to drop three in a row to New York. Philadelphia has been dismal against NL East rivals – 6-14 in divisional games – but has shown more fight against foreign foes, with a 15-13 mark in non-divisional contests this spring.
Books opened with Gibson and the Phils as slight home favorites before the market shifted those moneyline prices. We’ll gladly take the discount on a home side with a pitcher finding his form.
Prediction: Phillies moneyline (-105 at PointsBet)
Over/Under analysis
The Giants needed some late-game heroics from Evan Longoria to put six runs up in Sunday’s squeaker versus the Reds. That production continued an up-and-down month for this lineup. Cincinnati should have been a cure-all considering just how many runs that staff has hemorrhaged to start 2022, but San Francisco left plenty of runners on base – many of which were in scoring position.
Philadelphia is much stingier at home than on the road, allowing an average of just 3.58 runs per homestand (fifth lowest in the majors), and Gibson has taken to throwing in front of the Philly faithful with a diminutive ERA of 2.22 over four outings in Citizens Bank Park.
His counterpart, Logan Webb, has been solid in May and has pitched very well over his last three trips to the bump. The righty has allowed a total of six earned runs over his previous 18 innings with 13 strikeouts to six walks. Webb faces a Phillies lineup hitting .222 BA over its last four series while pushing an average of 3.38 runs per game over the plate in that 13-game span
Prediction: Under 8.5 (+105 at bet365)
Best bet
It’s another early start for San Francisco, which had to rise for an 11:35 a.m. ET first pitch in Cincinnati on Sunday and needed most of that game to wake up. While the Memorial Day matinee at 4:05 p.m. ET is a little better, the Giants are still three hours behind in terms of body clock and could be sluggish again to start Monday.
San Francisco is among the best scoring teams in the first five innings on the season (3.09 runs/F5) but that count dips to 2.45 on the road and San Fran scored only one run in the opening five frames in three games versus the Reds on the weekend.
We have two starters in Webb and Gibson who seem to be rounding into form considering their recent efforts but also two bullpens sitting near the bottom in terms of support on the season. The Giants' reserve arms lug a beefy 4.49 ERA (fourth highest) into this series and Philadelphia’s bullpen isn’t much better at 4.22 ERA (seventh highest). We’d like to avoid the bottom falling out on the Under in the later innings.
The Phillies are 9-13-2 Over/Under at home and a lot of that inactivity happens in the opening five innings. Philly gives up an average of just 1.54 runs in the first five innings as a host while countering with 2.13 runs for in those frames.
Pick: First five innings Under 4.5 (+100 at bet365)
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