We're into the final week of June... and we're getting more home runs on the regular with the increasingly warmer weather — and tonight we've got one of the most homer-happy offenses in baseball visiting Coors Field.
That makes the Dodgers/Rockies matchup a prime target for FanDuel Sportsbook's Dinger Tuesday promotion!
How it works: Place one $25 bet on a player to hit a home run every Tuesday... and get $5 in bonus bets for every total home run hit in that game — regardless of who hits 'em.
In addition to that Rocky Mountain mash-fest, the MLB schedule has another game featuring pitchers that have been paying off betting on MLB home run odds of late.
See what game I'm talking about — along with the best MLB player props and values based on FanDuel's MLB odds — with my favorite FanDuel Dinger Tuesday plays for June 27, 2023.
Best home run odds and props for FanDuel Dinger Tuesday
Cincinnati Reds at Baltimore Orioles (Oriole Park at Camden Yards, 7:05 p.m. ET)
Pitchers
| Pitcher | HR/9 | HR/FB% | FB% | HardHit % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Andrew Abbott |
1.14 | 8.8 | 56.7 | 44.3 |
 Tyler Wells |
1.87 | 15.1 | 52.7 | 38.9 |
Hitters to target
Ballpark Pal's Park Factors have this as the second-most upgraded stadium for dingers today, with winds blowing to right field and two red-hot offenses.
Cincinnati Reds lefty Andrew Abbott avoided the long ball in his first three career starts... but then coughed up three in his last outing against the Rockies.
Righties hit all three dingers, so for the Baltimore Orioles — who are eighth in the Majors in homers this month and have 2+ bombs in eight of their last 15 games — players to target would be righty Austin Hays (+520), who is hitting .385 with a 72.7% fly-ball rate this month off southpaws, as well as switch-hitter Anthony Santander (+360), who has a home run in three of his last four games, and Jordan Westburg (+600) who made his MLB debut yesterday and has consistently hit the ball hard in the minor leagues.
You could also target switch-hitters Adley Rutschman (+630) and Aaron Hicks (+600), who are both hitting .300 off lefties in June with at least one round-tripper.
On the other side, the Reds have been mashing. The New Big Red Machine sits third in the Bigs in June big flies, including 11 straight games with a dinger and 3+ in five of their last eight. Jake Fraley is hitting .357 vs. RHP in June and has homered in three of his last four, so he's a strong target at +560 — especially considering he's hitting .310 off changeups from righties this year and Wells' weakness against lefty batters is his change.
The O's righty has given up multiple homers in four of his last seven starts, so we're also looking at Cincy's Will Benson (+800), who is hitting .348 off righties in June with a 55.6% fly-ball rate (and also crushes offspeed pitches), as well as switch-hitter Elly De La Cruz (+560), the recently returned Joey Votto (+540, two HR in 13 AB vs. righties with a 75% fly-ball rate), and RHB Jonathan India, who has four HR with a 48.3% FB rate off righties this month, at +520.
Best betting value: Anthony Santander (+360)
Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies (Coors Field, 8:40 p.m. ET)
Pitchers
| Pitcher | HR/9 | HR/FB% | FB% | HardHit % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clayton Kershaw |
1.21 | 15.2 | 34.2 | 37.5 |
 Connor Seabold |
1.75 | 13.1 | 44.9 | 38.2 |
Hitters to target
Ballpark Pal has this as the most upgraded for dingers today (+29%), with plenty of offense on tap (runs upgraded 34%) at Coors Field — despite the Los Angeles Dodgers having Kershaw on the mound.
The ageless lefty has wonderful stats on the year, but he has surrendered multiple homers in two of his last four outings and has almost exclusively been beaten up by righties (11 of 12 home runs). His slider is still nasty (.190 opponent batting average vs. RHB) — but when he hangs it... they bang it, as that pitch has accounted for seven of his HR allowed, while righties are also hitting .330 on his fastball this year with three homers.
The standout selection for the Colorado Rockies, based on this, is Elias Diaz (+500), who is hitting .277 off breaking balls (.321 vs. FB) against lefties this year, has a 50% fly-ball rate off LHP in June, and is 6-for-12 in his career (with a dinger) vs. Kershaw. After Diaz, you can look at switch-hitter Jurickson Profar (+560), who is hitting .310 off southpaws in June and .421 off lefty fastballs on the year, as well as righty Randal Grichuk, who is .276 with a 40% FB rate off southpaws this month and priced at +390.
Let's be honest, though: We're here because we want to bet the Dodgers — the team that started the month with 2+ homers in 10 of 14 games and most recently has eight dongs in its last four games — at Coors Field.
Plus they get to face righty Connor Seabold, who gave up four bombs his last outing, has an ugly Statcast page, and gets hit a little harder vs. lefties... but also can be beaten by same-hand hitters.
Starting with LA lefties, David Peralta (+560) is hitting .354 off righties this month, Freddie Freeman (+260) has a near 41% FB rate vs. RHP in June, and Max Muncy (+290), the team's co-leader in homers for the year, is back following a two-week IL stint.
But the value today lies in some hot Dodgers righties: Mainly, the other Dodgers dinger leader, Mookie Betts, who has a 53.6% fly-ball rate off righties in June with two dingers in his last three games and is available at +260, as well as Will Smith (+285), who has homered in two straight games entering tonight.
You could also look at J.D. Martinez at +280, as he also has a 51.4% FB rate and four HR off righties this month... but he's not really hitting much else.
Best betting value: David Peralta (+560)
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