2025 MLB Home Run Title Odds: Judgment Days

Aaron Judge is the betting favorite to lead MLB in home runs throughout the regular season after claiming his second home run title in three seasons last summer.

Jason Wilson - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Jason Wilson • Publishing Editor
Mar 25, 2025 • 11:10 ET • 5 min read
Aaron Judge Yankees MLB
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Aaron Judge is atop the betting board to lead MLB in home runs throughout the 2025 regular season.

Shohei Ohtani is his closest competition (the only hitter with shorter odds than 10/1). But there may be some viable dark-horse candidates with plenty of power in their bats to go around.

Let's look at where the MLB odds to crown 2025's home run king sit as Opening Day approaches.

Odds to win 2025 MLB home run title

Player DraftKings bet365 Caesars
Yankees Aaron Judge +360 +350 +350
Dodgers Shohei Ohtani +650 +550 +575
Phillies Kyle Schwarber +1200 +1000 +1200
Mets Pete Alonso +1600 +1400 +1400
Athletics Brent Rooker +2000 +1600 +2000
Astros Yordan Alvarez +2000 +2500 +1600
Padres Fernando Tatis Jr. +2000 +2000 +1800
Mets Juan Soto +2800 +2800 +2800
Blue Jays Anthony Santander +3000 +3000 +3500
Braves Matt Olson +3000 +2000 +2200
Cubs Kyle Tucker +3000 +5000 +3500
Orioles Gunnar Henderson +3000 +2800 +3000
Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +3500 +4500 +3500
Phillies Bryce Harper +4000 +6000 +5000
Guardians Jose Ramirez +4000 +6000 +5000
Astros Christian Walker +4000 +3000 +5000
Angels Mike Trout +5000 +2800 +3000
Orioles Tyler O'Neill +5500 +5000 +5000
Dodgers Teoscar Hernandez +5500 +5500 +5000
Red Sox Rafael Devers +5500 +5000 +6000
Mets Mark Vientos +5500 +5500 +5000
Braves Marcell Ozuna +5500 +3300 +5000

Odds as of 3-25-2025

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Latest MLB HR title analysis

3/25/2025: The home run leader odds haven't seen much fluctuation leading up to Opening Day, as there haven't been any major injuries coming out of spring training. Baltimore Orioles shortstop Gunnar Henderson will open the season on the IL, but it could be a minimal stay. So, chalk prevails for now as Aaron Judge remains on top of the board until someone shows he can challenge him. With Shohei Ohtani expected to pitch this year, his offensive output could wane if he gets more rest days to accommodate the added burden.

Recent single-season home run leaders

Here are each of the last 10 home run champions:

Year Player (No. of home runs)
2024 Yankees Aaron Judge (58)
2023 Braves Matt Olson (54)
2022 Yankees Aaron Judge (62)
2021 Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero & Royals Salvador Perez (48)
2020 Yankees Luke Voit (22)
2019 Mets Pete Alonso (53)
2018 Athletics Khris Davis (48)
2017 Marlins Giancarlo Stanton (59)
2016 Orioles Mark Trumbo (47)
2015 Orioles Chris Davis (47)

Popular MLB futures markets

Understanding MLB HR title betting odds

Betting MLB home run title odds is about as simple as it gets. You are just betting on which player will end the regular season with the most home runs in the MLB. HR title betting futures are usually shown in American-style odds and usually look like this:

  • Pete Alonso +800

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $800 if Alonso wins the MLB home run title. Now, most of these markets close when the season starts. But some sportsbooks may post updated odds at different points in the season, and if one player has a large lead in home runs you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of their odds:

  • Aaron Judge -110

This means that you would need to bet $110 to win $100 on Judge winning the MLB home run title. If you want to see the odds in a different format check out our odds converter tool.

MLB HR Leader FAQ

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Jason Wilson Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Jason Wilson is an experienced journalist who has worked in a variety of roles within the industry for the past 18 years. Working at community newspapers in New Brunswick, Jason wore many hats as a reporter, editor, and photographer, covering everything from sports to courts to municipal politics. After shifting gears and working as an educator for a few years in the 2010s, Jason returned to full-time work in media as an MLB news editor for six years at theScore in Toronto before joining Covers in late 2021.

He has honed his editorial acumen over his years in the industry, showcasing flexibility, patience, and a strong work ethic. While he was relatively new to sports betting upon joining Covers, Jason has taken the plunge with gusto to learn the ins and outs of the industry, both as a method to improve professionally and to add an extra angle to his sports fandom.

In addition to sports, Jason is an avid film nut and former movie critic who monitors the Academy Awards betting odds for Covers. Jason holds a Bachelor of Arts in journalism degree and a Bachelor of Education degree from St. Thomas University.

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