It’s a getaway day in the big leagues, which means we have MLB player props to bet on all day long.
My favorites today include another tough day at the dish for Tyler O’Neill, and a couple of fades for a pair of once-elite starting pitchers.
Check out my MLB picks for Thursday, April 24.
Best MLB player props today
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O'Neill u0.5 hits (+115) -
Soderstrom o1.5 HRR (+130) -
Aranda o0.5 RBI (+210)
MLB props for April 24
Tyler O'Neill Under 0.5 hits (+115 at bet365)
It’s been a rough start to the season for the Baltimore Orioles. They sit in last place in the American League East with a record of 9-14 heading into tonight’s matchup with the Washington Nationals.
This slow start can generally be attributed to the pitching staff, which has surrendered an MLB-worst 129 runs. So, what happens when the bats go silent?
Well, that’s happening to a couple of guys right now, including outfielder Tyler O’Neill. One of the O’s big offseason acquisitions, O’Neill, got off to a great start, but he’s hit one hell of a slump.
O’Neill has just three hits and 15 strikeouts over his last 10 games. He has a .083 batting average and a .337 OPS during that period. He also ranks in the 18th percentile in strikeout rate.
That means he won’t be happy to see MacKenzie Gore on the mound for the Nationals tonight. Gore is having a breakout season, pitching to a 3.04 expected ERA and limiting opponents to a .214 expected batting average.
He is also racking up a ton of punchouts. The left-hander's K-rate of 37.8% ranks in the 97th percentile among MLB pitchers.
O’Neil has gone hitless seven times in the last 10 games, and my MLB picks believe Gore leads the way for another donut in the hit column tonight.
Tyler Soderstrom Over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs (+130 at bet365)
Tyler Soderstrom’s fantastic start to the 2025 MLB season continued last night with the Athletics first baseman going 1-for-3 with a double, a walk, and two runs scored in a 5-2 win over the Texas Rangers.
Soderstrom has been a menace at the plate. The 23-year-old enters tonight with a .283 batting average and a .958 OPS while being tied for the lead in home runs with nine. He’s also scored and driven in 19 runs this season.
He has been straight run production for the A’s, and even with a tough matchup against Jacob deGrom.
deGrom has been solid so far this season with a 3.32 ERA, but his stuff just isn’t the same as it used to be. He’s struck out just 20 batters in 21 2/3 innings of work. He’s looked great in starts against the Los Angeles Dodgers and Boston Red Sox, but shay against the Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays.
So, consistency has been an issue, and left-handed batters have done most of the damage, getting to him for a .250 batting average and a .976 OPS, giving Soderstrom the splits advantage.
Soderstrom has a Hits, Runs, and RBIs prop sitting at 1.5 with the Over priced at +130. I think we are getting that number because of Jacob deGrom’s name, and this should be closer to even money.
Give me the Over. Something Soderstrom has done 14 times in 24 games this season.
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 RBIs (+210 at bet365)
It looks like Jonathan Aranda is starting to live up to his potential for the Tampa Bay Rays.
After some up-and-down seasons, the 26-year-old first baseman is locked in at the dish. Aranda enters tonight’s game against the Arizona Diamondbacks hitting .338 with a 1.089 OPS, four home runs, and 13 RBIs.
And I think he has another productive night at the plate when he digs in against D-backs starter Corbin Burnes.
Burnes’ tenure with Arizona has not gotten off to a great start. He enters this game with a 4.99 expected ERA and a .276 opponent expected batting average. Both rank in the 26th percentile or worse.
The problem seems to be his cut fastball. It’s his primary pitch, but it has seen a dip in velocity, and opponents are crushing it for a .30x xBA and a .554 xSLG.
Aranda has a .338 xBA and a.734 xSLG vs. fastballs this season and is hitting .382 with a 1.199 OPS against right-handed pitching this season.
He also has 12 RBIs over his last 15 games, driving in at least one seven times. Getting a price tag of +210 for Aranda to drive in a run tonight looks like a great value.
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