Padres vs Tigers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

Naessens' prediction: Nick Pivetta's home/road splits are glaring and he will struggle to successfully tame the Tigers' bats for six complete innings, having us target the Under on his outs-recorded prop.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Apr 22, 2025 • 09:03 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The Detroit Tigers will look to make it two straight when they host the San Diego Padres in Game 2 of their three-game series.

San Diego righty Nick Pivetta has struggled away from home, and my Padres vs. Tigers predictions expect his road woes to continue tonight. 

Read on for my MLB picks for Tuesday, April 22. 

Padres vs Tigers prediction

My Padres vs Tigers best bet: Nick Pivetta Under 17.5 outs (+139 at Caesars)

San Diego Padres righty Nick Pivetta has gotten off to a strong start with his new club, going 3-1 with a 1.57 ERA and 24 strikeouts across 23 frames. Pivetta’s 0.83 WHIP is dreamy, but his xFIP is currently 3.11, and that typically means regression.

Pivetta’s stuff has fared well at Petco Park, but his offerings are getting slapped around the yard away from San Diego.

That’s been the case for much of Pivetta’s career. He’s pitched decently at home, but his 4.10 xFIP across 505+ career away innings suggests his road woes could continue tonight against the Detroit Tigers.

The Tigers offense is humming, scoring six or more runs in three of their last five at Comerica Park, and tuning up righties with a .326 wOBA and 111 wRC+.

Dating back to last season, Pivetta has failed to record 18+ outs in four of his previous five away starts. 

The Tigers' bats have been hot at home, are cracking righties, and I don’t expect Pivetta to finish the sixth.

Padres vs Tigers same-game parlay (SGP)

Nick Pivetta Under 6.5 strikeouts

Fernando Tatis Jr. 2+ total bases

Tigers moneyline

Caesars doesn't offer pitcher outs as an SGP option, so I’ve opted for Pivetta’s strikeout total as an alternate.

Pivetta averages about one strikeout per inning. The Tigers' strikeout rate against righties is high (23%), but so is their walk rate (9.7%), and I don’t see the Padres right-hander pitching deep enough for seven whiffs.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded 2+ total bases in half of his past 10 games and is batting .700 with four doubles and two home runs across 10 at-bats against Tigers starter Jack Flaherty.

Detroit has won four of five at Comerica, and has scored six or more in three of those five. The Padres are 4-6 straight up and have lost three of their previous four on the road.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Padres vs Tigers odds

Padres vs Tigers live odds

Padres vs Tigers opening odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego -105 | Detroit -115
  • Run line: San Diego +1.5 (-200) | Detroit -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-110) | Under 7.5 (-110)

Padres vs Tigers trend

The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Padres vs. Tigers.

How to watch Padres vs Tigers and game info

Location Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Date Tuesday, 4-22-2025
First pitch 6:40 p.m. ET
TV SDPA, FanDuel Sporst Network Detroit
Padres starting pitcher Nick Pivetta
(3-1, 1.57 ERA)
Tigers starting pitcher Jack Flaherty
(1-1, 2.53 ERA)

Padres vs Tigers latest injuries

Padres vs Tigers weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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