Backing Aaron Judge has been a very profitable wager for MLB player prop bettors this season and I continue to be surprised at the reasonable numbers available for the best hitter in baseball.
I'm putting my money on Judge once again while also betting on a proven Astros' hitter, and banking on a young Orioles' pitcher to go Over a low number with my best MLB player prop bets for Wednesday, September 7.
MLB props for September 7
Picks made on 9/7/2022 at 1 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Today’s best MLB prop bets
The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.
Judgement day
Aaron Judge has been nothing short of sensational this season and leads the majors with 330 total bases, 34 more than second-place Paul Goldschmidt.
He's somehow been hitting the ball even harder lately with his already MLB-best 95.8 mph average exit velocity jumping up to 98.4 mph over the last two weeks according to EV Analytics.
Judge went 2-for-3 at the plate with a homer (his MLB-leading 54th) and a double last night and he's batting .478 with five dingers and a pair of doubles over his last seven games. Today, he and the Yankees host the Twins who will send Joe Ryan to the mound.
The sophomore has been solid this season, pitching to a 3.88 ERA, but he's coming off a rough outing against the Red Sox and allows batters to make good contact with his barrel rate ranking in the bottom 20th percentile. With Judge slugging .695 against righties like Ryan, bet the Over 1.5 on his total bases.
Aaron Judge Prop: Over 1.5 total bases (+110 at DraftKings)
Kremer of the Crop
The Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles wrap up a four-game set at Camden Yards tonight. In his third year in the bigs, Dean Kremer is putting together a solid season for Baltimore, pitching to a 3.22 ERA with a 3.38 FIP and a 1.21 WHIP across 16 starts.
Although the 26-year-old has a low strikeout rate and doesn't throw with much velocity, his strikeouts total of 3.5 looks a tad too low — especially when you consider the excellent movement he has on his pitches.
Kremer has struck out at least four batters in 10 of his last 14 starts, which includes an August 16 outing against the Jays where he fanned six batters across seven innings.
Dean Kremer Prop: Over 3.5 strikeouts (-110 at FanDuel)
All in on Altuve
Astros' second baseman Jose Altuve has been on fire, slashing .369/.431/.662 with 43 total bases over his last 16 games. Altuve is now 18th in the majors in total bases with 235 and he's in a good spot tonight with Houston hosting the Rangers and starting pitcher Cole Ragans.
Ragans is a rookie with just four career appearances to his name, and struggled at Minute Maid Park last month, surrendering five runs before getting the hook midway through the fifth inning.
The Rangers bullpen also profiles as the fourth worst in the majors, according to THE BAT which should make for a favorable matchup for Altuve.
The five-time Silver Slugger winner boasts a .683 slugging percentage against southpaws like Ragans, and he also tends to hit better at home where his slugging percentage sits at .564.
Jose Altuve Prop: Over 1.5 total bases (+102 at Sugar House)
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