Rangers vs Orioles Prediction, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

Max Scherzer's ramping up his workload, and our MLB picks feel the Rangers starter will see more than enough burn tonight to strike out his share of Orioles.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Jun 28, 2024 • 10:51 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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The Texas Rangers have veteran righty Max Scherzer heading to the bump in hopes of snapping a four-game losing streak, 

It was a tough night for Texas in the series opener against the Baltimore Orioles on Thursday, with the O’s winning 11-2 and teeing off for four round trippers. In contrast, and my Rangers vs. Orioles prediction is backing Mad Max to pull his weight tonight. 

Here are our top MLB picks for Game 2 of their series on Friday, June 28.

Rangers vs Orioles prediction

My best bet
Max Scherzer Over 4.5 strikeouts (+105 at BetMGM)

Best odds available in your region

I think we’re landing a fair number for Texas Rangers righty Max Scherzer in the strikeout market because he also closed with a 4.5 total in his season debut. The veteran fanned four Kansas City Royals while spinning five scoreless innings and allowing a single hit across threw 55 pitches.

Look for Scherzer to pitch deeper into Friday’s game against the Baltimore Orioles, which of course, sets him up to face more hitters and pave the way to clearing this 4.5 strikeout total. Additionally, I also value the market moving toward the Over, in addition to Scherzer’s velocity and pitching arsenal passing the eye and statistical tests in his season debut last Sunday.

The Orioles aren’t a strikeout-happy team (20.3K% against righties), but Scherzer also regularly traded with a strikeout total in the 7.5 range when healthy last season, topping this 4.5 number in 20 of 27 starts.

Finally, I also value that this Baltimore lineup only has a handful of hitters who’ve faced Scherzer in the past, and star catcher Adley Rutschman (hand) is likely going to miss Friday’s game after taking a foul ball off his right hand Thursday.

Rangers vs Orioles same-game parlay (SGP)

Rangers first-five innings moneyline

Max Scherzer Over 4.5 strikeouts

It had been a seamless return to the rotation for Orioles starter Albert Suarez until he served up five runs on 10 hits and three walks last time out against the Houston Astros. The 34-year-old righty limited opponents to just six runs across 23 innings through his previous five starts, despite walking 5.09 batters per nine innings and posting a confidence-shattering 4.96 xFIP and 5.8 K-BB%. 

I’m anticipating the statistical correction to continue catching up to Suarez, while Scherzer has another strong outing, with the bulk of the Orioles seeing him for the first time Friday.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Rangers vs Orioles odds

Rangers vs Orioles live odds

Rangers vs Orioles opening odds

  • Run line: Texas +1.5 (-182) | Baltimore -1.5 (+163)
  • Moneyline: Texas +118 | Baltimore -128
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-107) | Under 8 (-105)

Rangers vs Orioles spread and Over/Under analysis

  • There hasn’t been meaningful movement to the moneyline in this game, with both Pinnacle and bet365 never drifting far from their respective opening lines of Baltimore -128 and -135.

  • The total has been far more interesting, with Pinnacle opening at 8.0 and testing 8.5 before returning to 8.0 (-110/-102) as of Friday morning.

  • There isn’t a consensus number, either, and bet365 is at 8.5 with the Under carrying the higher vig (+100/-120).

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Rangers vs Orioles trend

Scherzer recorded five or more strikeouts in 20 of 27 starts last season with 10.26 strikeouts per nine innings . Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Orioles

Rangers vs Orioles game info

Location: Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date: Friday, 6-28-2024
First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: BSSW, MASN
Rangers starting pitcher: Max Scherzer
(1-0, 0.00 ERA)
Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez
(3-2, 2.70 ERA)

Rangers vs Orioles latest injuries

Rangers vs Orioles weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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