The Minnesota Twins can't afford any more missteps if they hope to challenge for the American League Central title – which makes Wednesday's game even more important than usual.
The Twins look to rebound from a disheartening 7-6 loss to the division-leading Chicago White Sox as the teams resume their four-game series. Game 1 was washed out by rain, and the Twins came up just short in their attempt to rally from a five-run deficit in Tuesday's defeat – dropping 12 1/2 games back of Chicago as the teams inch closer to the All-Star break.
Here are our best free MLB betting picks and predictions for Twins vs. White Sox on June 30.
Twins vs White Sox game info
• Location: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, IL
• Date: Wednesday, June 30, 2021
• Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• TV: NBCS-CHI
Twins vs White Sox odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Compare MLB odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
MLB sharp money and line movement report
By Patrick EversonTwinSpires Sportsbook opened the White Sox -140 and is down a few cents to -136 as of 4:15 p.m. ET. It's two-way moneyline action leaning toward the Twins, who are taking 54 percent of bets and 59 percent of dollars. The total moved from 8.5 (Over -110) to 9 (Under -115), with 56 percent of bets on the Under and 62 percent of money on the Over.
Check out the full line movement for this gameTwins vs White Sox betting preview
Starting pitchers
Bailey Ober (0-0, 4.64 ERA): Ober is still looking for his first decision in his sixth start of 2021, but had pitched well before running into some problems last time out. The 25-year-old was charged with four runs on six hits over 4 1-3 innings but was spared the loss in a 10-7 defeat to Cincinnati; he has allowed just three runs over 14 innings in his previous three turns.
Dylan Cease (6-3, 3.81 ERA): Cease rebounded nicely from an implosion against the Houston Astros on June 17 (3 1-3 IP, 7 R), holding Pittsburgh to one earned run over 5 2-3 strong innings with seven strikeouts. Cease has faced the Twins once already this season, surrendering three runs on five hits over five innings with seven strikeouts in a 9-3 Chicago triumph.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Twins: Byron Buxton OF (Out), Mitch Garver C (Out), Jake Cave OF (Out).
White Sox: Adam Eaton OF (Out), Jake Lamb 3B (Out), Adam Engel OF (Out), Luis Robert OF (Out), Eloy Jimenez OF (Out), Nick Madrigal 2B (Out), Yoan Moncada 2B (Questionable).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The White Sox have won seven of the past eight meetings. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. White Sox.
Moneyline pick
How you view this game really comes down to whether you place more trust in how these teams have fared for the season or their recent performance. Chicago is the class of the AL Central and has won two in a row but had dropped seven of eight prior to that. Minnesota, on the other hand, is 7-3 over its previous 10 games despite Tuesday's loss.
The White Sox are missing a considerable share of their offense, and that has been a major problem in recent weeks. And while they've come around with seven runs in each of their past two games, those seven losses in eight games all featured fewer than three runs scored. They enter the final day of June with a 93 team wOBA+ for the month, which ranks 23rd overall.
The Twins, on the other hand, have seen the bats come alive in June, boasting a 112 wRC+ that places them seventh in the majors. They're also one of only four teams with an ISO at .200 or better for the month, a major reason why their .463 June slugging percentage is the fourth highest in the league.
This pitching matchup feels like a wash, so we're siding with the team that has been swinging the hotter bats and is much closer to full health than its opponent.
PREDICTION: Twins (+105)
Over/Under pick
The combination of booming bats and terrible pitching (their team ERA of 4.89 is fifth-highest in baseball) has made the Twins one of the top Over plays in the majors so far, as they enter Wednesday with a 48-25-4 mark (fueled by five Overs in their previous six games overall). That record is even more one-sided on the road, where Minnesota has gone a sizzling 24-11-2 O/U.
And while Chicago is missing a lot of firepower, that hasn't seemed to matter in recent meetings with the Twins. The White Sox are averaging 6.6 runs over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including a 16-run outburst in a May 17 victory.
Our confidence in these pitching staffs is fairly wonky, so we're leaning toward the Over in what is shaping up to be another high-scoring affair at Guaranteed Rate Field.
PREDICTION: Over 9 (-110)
Twins vs White Sox betting card
- Twins (+105)
- Over 9 (-110)
Picks made on 6/30/2021 at 1:45 p.m. ET
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