Twins vs Yankees Picks and Predictions: Can You Back New York In Total Freefall?

It's a lost season for the Twins, who are reduced to playing spoiler in September — which is what they'll aim to do Monday against the Yankees in the Bronx. Minnesota is a big 'dog today, but we simply can't back a Yankees team in total freefall.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 13, 2021 • 09:37 ET • 4 min read
Byron Buxton Minnesota Twins MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

There are only eight games on the MLB betting board on Monday, beginning with a matinee showdown between the Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees.

This will be a makeup game at Yankee Stadium, with the home side installed as a -200 favorite.

Here are our best free Twins vs. Yankees picks and predictions for Monday, September 13, with the first pitch scheduled for 2:05 p.m. ET.

Twins vs Yankees game info

Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Date: Monday, September 13, 2021
Time: 2:05 p.m. ET
TV: YES, Bally Sports North

Twins vs Yankees odds

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Twins vs Yankees betting preview

Starting pitchers

John Gant (5-9, 3.78 ERA): Gant was acquired by Minnesota at the trade deadline and has jumped between the bullpen and rotation. He has a 4.85 ERA in 11 appearances with the Twins but is coming off an exceptional start against Cleveland, where he scattered three hits and zero runs across five innings. 

Luis Gil (1-0, 1.42 ERA): The talented young right-hander imploded in his last outing on September 8, allowing three runs and walking seven batters before getting the hook midway through the fourth inning. In his first three career appearances, Gil pitched 15 2-3 innings of shutout ball where he allowed just nine hits. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Twins: Mitch Garver C (Out), Alex Kirilloff RF (Out).
Yankees: Aaron Judge RF (Questionable), Jonathan Loaisiga RP (Out), Miguel Andujar 3B (Out), Aaron Hicks OF (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Yankees are 1-7 in their last eight games as a favorite. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Yankees.

Moneyline pick

The Twins are 17 games below .500 and well outside of the postseason picture as they head to the Big Apple for a one-off against the Yankees. The Yankees are in the thick of the Wild Card race sitting just one game behind division rivals Boston and Toronto. 

It's been a roller-coaster season for Aaron Boone's squad. The Yankees were hovering around .500 just after the All-Star break, went on a sizzling 13 game win streak in August to jump back into the playoff picture but have now lost eight of their last nine games — and 12 of their last 15.

It's hard to imagine that these two teams both broke the MLB record for home runs in a season just two years ago. Despite loaded lineups, both the Twins and Yankees have struggled to consistently generate runs in 2021. The Twins are 11th in the majors with an OPS of .736 while ranking 15th with 4.5 runs per game, while the Yankees are 15th in OPS (.723) and 20th in runs per game with 4.33. 

Minnesota will send John Gant to the mound in this one and the veteran has had mixed results as a starter pitching to a 4.06 ERA with a WHIP of 1.52. That said, his counterpart, Luis Gil, has looked even shakier lately. The 23-year-old has potential but he needs to establish a third pitch and the control issues that have plagued him throughout his minor league career seem to have resurfaced — Gil has walked 11 batters in his last eight innings pitched. 

Neither team has looked impressive lately but the Yankees' recent slide is particularly ugly and they could be fatigued after playing just 14 hours ago. It's hard to back them at -200 with a struggling lineup and a green starting pitcher who can't find the strike zone. Take the Twins at plus money as road dogs. 

PREDICTION: Minnesota (+165)

Over/Under pick

The Over/Under opened at a whopping 10.5 for this game before dropping to 10. Although there are question marks about both starters, Gil has also flashed his potential in his brief appearances while Gant has looked sharp in his last pair of outings.

Both teams have also really struggled at the plate recently. Over the last 15 days, the Yankees are 24th in the majors with an OPS of .670 while plating 3.93 runs per game, while the Twins are 24th in OPS at .666 while averaging just 3.36 runs per contest during the same span. 

With the Under going 11-4-1 in Minnesota's last 16 games, back it again this afternoon. 

PREDICTION: Under 10 (-110)

Twins vs Yankees betting card

  • ML Minnesota (+165)
  • Under 10 (-110)

Picks made on 9/13/2021 at 9:15 a.m. ET

MLB parlays

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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