Corey Seager Odds and Props World Series Game 1: Seeing Value on Seager Props

Texas Rangers star Corey Seager is on a tear, and Arizona Diamondbacks hurler Zac Gallen presents a favorable matchup. Kenny Ducey presents his take on the Seager prop markets in World Series Game 1.

Kenny Ducey - Betting Analyst at Covers
Kenny Ducey • Betting Analyst
Oct 27, 2023 • 17:50 ET • 4 min read
Corey Seager Texas Rangers MLB
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The Fall Classic is upon us, and with the start of the series comes plenty of palpable MLB odds excitement. The Texas Rangers have gotten to this point off the back of their incredible offensive attack, and no man has more expectations on his shoulders entering Friday’s first game than Corey Seager.

Below, we’ll take a look at the best way to bet on the Corey Seager odds in the opening game and put together a same-game parlay.

In addition to these free MLB picks, Don't forget to check out our full-game Diamondbacks vs. Rangers betting picks and Game 1 prop picks!

Corey Seager Game 1 prop bets

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Corey Seager Game 1 prop pick

Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105)

I’ll admit, my first inclination here was to take the Under on Seager’s total bases prop. After all, he has poor expected numbers versus Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen in his career, and it’s not like he was the most consistent hitter in the world during the ALCS.

With that said, most of Seager’s history with Gallen came when he played for the Dodgers. This version of Gallen is a notch below the version Seager’s had to face the majority of his career. The right-hander has pitched to fewer strikeouts and more home runs this season.

Seager checks all the boxes here. He was a .349 hitter against fly-ball pitchers, he preferred to hit righties, and he hit a solid .337 at home compared to .316 on the road.

I see plenty of issues with the way Gallen has pitched all postseason, allowing nine earned runs in the NLCS to bring his ERA for the playoffs to a poor 5.24. He also hasn’t walked many, which means you should see Seager get plenty back into play with a high hit probability.

Prop: Corey Seager Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105 at DraftKings)

Corey Seager Game 1 same-game parlay

Corey Seager 1+ HR

Rangers moneyline

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I’m going kick it up a notch here. While I think Seager should have no issues registering an extra-base hit or multiple hits here, I think there are going to be quite a few home runs hit by the Rangers off of Gallen. The right-hander allowed a whopping 22 during the regular season and recorded the worst hard-hit rate of his career, which jives with his increased fly-ball rate.

The Rangers hit the second-most homers in the league at their own ballpark this year, which makes perfect sense given the hitter-friendly nature of Globe Life Field, and Seager himself clubbed 23 of his 33 round-trippers at home during the regular season. He also has two homers in his last four games, so there should no longer be any concerns about him falling into a slump.

Given what I think about Gallen, I love the Rangers in this spot. The Diamondbacks are a ground-ball team, and they will not only be facing an expert ground-baller in Nathan Eovaldi, but one of the best infield defenses in baseball by the metrics.

Give me the Rangers to win here behind a home run from Seager.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Kenny Ducey - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kenny Ducey has worked in sports media for more than 10 years and began his journey as a credentialed reporter with Fordham University's WFUV Sports before moving on to Sports Illustrated. There, he wrote about baseball, basketball, and tennis - twice covering the NBA Finals.

He's been in the betting space for seven years, and has established himself as a top expert in MLB and tennis handicapping with brands like Tennis Channel, NBC Sports, and DraftKings. He's also been a frequent guest on betting shows such as MLB's Bettor's Eye and Tennis Bets Live.

Kenny has a knack for identifying underappreciated pitchers and tennis players as moneyline underdogs and credits his unique data analysis and hours of watching sports as the biggest reasons for success through the years. His best advice to bettors? Watch the games, trust your eye, and always question the public narrative.

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