The NASCAR Cup Series heads to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway for the Verizon 200 at the Brickyard this Sunday.
Martin Truex Jr. — the current Cup Series leader — is catching the shortest opening odds after a second-place finish last weekend at Michigan. Despite winning that race, Chris Buescher is not among the favorites at +2,200 early in the week.
Be sure to check back later in the week for more analysis, our betting picks, and more ahead of the Verizon 200 at the Brickyard on Sunday, August 13.
Odds to win 2023 Verizon 200 at the Brickyard
| Driver |  |
 |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Reddick | +330 | +350 | +300 | +350 |
| Chase Elliott | +550 | +600 | +650 | +600 |
| Daniel Suarez | +700 | +700 | +600 | +550 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +800 | +800 | +750 | +700 |
| Kyle Larson | +850 | +800 | +1,000 | +1,000 |
| Shane Van Gisbergen | +1,000 | +1,100 | +800 | +900 |
| Christopher Bell | +1,100 | +1,100 | +1,000 | +1,000 |
| Michael McDowell | +1,200 | +1,200 | +1,200 | +1,800 |
| Kyle Busch | +1,400 | +1,200 | +1,000 | +1,200 |
| A.J Allmendinger | +2,000 | +2,200 | +2,500 | +2,500 |
| Ty Gibbs | +2,800 | +2,000 | +2,800 | +2,800 |
| Alex Bowman | +2,800 | +2,000 | +3,000 | +3,000 |
| Denny Hamlin | +3,500 | +4,000 | +3,500 | +4,000 |
| Chris Buescher | +3,500 | +3,500 | +3,000 | +2,500 |
| Austin Cindric | +3,500 | +3,000 | +3,500 | +3,000 |
| William Byron | +5,500 | +5,000 | +6,000 | +6,000 |
| Ross Chastain | +5,500 | +6,000 | +6,000 | +5,000 |
| Ryan Blaney | +5,500 | +4,000 | +4,500 | +4,000 |
| Brodie Kostecki | +5,500 | +6,000 | +6,000 | +3,000 |
| Joey Logano | +6,000 | +5,000 | +5,000 | +5,000 |
Odds as of August 13, 2023.
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Verizon 200 at the Brickyard field
While the Verizon 200 at the Brickyard features most of the usual suspects from favorite Martin Truex Jr. to reigning Cup Series champion Joey Logano and others, Indianapolis sees a bit of an influx of the international variety.
New Zealand driver Shane Van Gisbergen and Australian Brodie Kostecki are fetching relatively short odds for two drivers with one combined NASCAR start between them in 2023. Now, that start came when Van Gisbergen won the Grant Park 220 in his Cup Series debut back on July 2 ahead of Justin Haley (+10,000 this weekend) and Chase Elliott (+750).
This will serve as Kostecki's maiden voyage for NASCAR, but he has two victories and 10 podium finishes in 12 races on the Supercars circuit this season between Australia and New Zealand.
William Byron and Denny Hamlin, Truex's closest competitors in the Cup Series standings, are available at +2,200. It makes some sense, as Byron hasn't finished better than 31st in the last two years at the race while Hamlin finished 14th in 2022 and 23rd in 2021.
Verizon 200 at the Brickyard picks and predictions
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Verizon 200 at the Brickyard pre-qualifying favorites
Kyle Busch (+1,000)
Driving the car Reddick won with last season, Busch has secured three Top-3 finishes on road courses. The only problem is the fact that he’s finished 21st or worse in two of the last three races on the season.
AJ Allmendinger (+1,600)
While he has just one Top-15 finish on road courses this year, Allmendinger's finished both first and second at two career NSX starts in Indy.
Denny Hamlin (+2,200)
This is an absolute steal. Hamlin enters the weekend with four consecutive Top-7 finishes on the season, including Top-3 showings in the last three. Additionally, the pole winner won this race last season and Hamlin is 2-for-2 on poles in his last two performances.
Verizon 200 at the Brickyard sleepers
Chris Buescher (+2,200)
He's been a vastly improved road racer this season and also rebounded from a fire to finish 10th at this track last year. Now Buescher enters on the heels of two straight wins on the season too. Can he win three straight?
Michael McDowell (+2,800)
He’s won at Road America in the Xfinity Series and placed seventh twice in three road races run this season.
Austin Cindric (+2,800)
He won the Xfinity Series race on this very track here in 2021 and was strong on road courses last year. Cindric has also placed sixth in two of the three road races run this season.
Verizon 200 at the Brickyard fades
Martin Truex Jr. (+400)
He finished 21st at the Brickyard last year, and that gives me some pause on Truex Jr. being the outright favorite. While there's an argument for a play at a Top-5 or Top-3 finish, banking on an outright win isn't worth the squeeze at these odds. There’s better value elsewhere.
Tyler Reddick (+550)
The defending race winner also dominated COTA back in March, but he’s also finished 16th or worse in seven of his last nine starts on the season.
Shane Van Gisbergen (+1,000)
I get that he won Chicago’s street race, but don't expect lightning to strike twice in as many tries.
Christopher Bell (+1,100)
I can’t get over the fact that Bell hasn't placed in the Top 5 since his Bristol Dirt win on Easter night (16 races ago).
While he finished ninth in Sonoma and had a shot at a Chicago win last month, Bell simply hasn’t executed properly for me to take a chance again this week.
Verizon 200 at the Brickyard prop pick: Kyle Busch to record a Top-5 finish
He’s three-for-three in Top-5 finishes on road courses this season. This is a no-brainer.
Pick: Kyle Busch Top-5 finish (-125 at DraftKings)
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Indianapolis track analysis
Chevrolet is a perfect 2-for-2 here on the road course layout but just 1-for-3 this season on them. However, the bowties went 5-for-6 last year on road courses and won the final six road races in 2021 as well.
Factor in the 2019 race at Watkins Glen (two races in 2019) and the two races (Daytona, Charlotte) in 2020, and you get Chevy scoring 16 wins over the course of the last 20 races run on road courses.
From 1994 to 2014, a bowtie was found in victory lane an astounding 16 times in a 21-year span including 12 straight.
However, it was more of a competition from then on out. Toyota won in 2015 and 2016, and Chevrolet went back to victory lane in 2017 before Ford scored the final three wins on the oval in 2018, 2019, and 2020.
Meanwhile, Ford has been lagging on these tracks. They led just four laps in COTA, two in Sonoma, and came up empty in Chicago.
Chevy led 29 of 75 laps in COTA, 25 of 110 in Sonoma, and 32 of 78 in Chicago. By comparison, Toyota led 42 of 75 in COTA, 84 of 110 in Sonoma, and 46 of 78 in Chicago.
Verizon 200 at the Brickyard trends
- The two race winners have scored stage points in all but one stage.
- Tyler Reddick holds the record for most laps led in a single race (39 in 2022).
