The Philadelphia 76ers and Denver Nuggets have looked dominant in recent weeks, and they’re on a collision course this weekend in Denver. This highly-anticipated showdown on national television should feature plenty of scoring with two of the best offenses in the NBA odds going at it, but who will come out the victor?
Let's get right into it with our in-depth preview and NBA picks for 76ers vs. Nuggets on Saturday, January, 27.
76ers vs Nuggets odds
76ers vs Nuggets predictions
In a clash between two elite teams, offering praise to either side can be redundant. Instead, let's begin by spotlighting the vulnerability within this matchup, which lies in the Denver Nuggets' defense. Throughout the season, Denver has been rather ordinary on that end, and over the last 10 games, the situation has worsened, with a 21st-place ranking in defensive efficiency.
Across the board, Denver has been either above average or perfectly average in all of the shooting zones, but the one place this team has been burned is from 3-point range — allowing 36.9% of outside looks to fall according to Cleaning the Glass. In those aforementioned 10 games, opponents have shot a spicy 38.3% from downtown, and we’ve also seen this team’s rim defense break down to the tune of a 22nd-ranked 69.4% field goal percentage.
That’s something I’m looking at closely here in tonight's with the Philadelphia 76ers. They’ve been one of the strongest teams offensively in the frontcourt, and while 3-point shooting hasn’t been their forte, they should find success this evening in the Mile High City.
Although Philly is currently dealing with a number of injuries, there’s a good chance either Tyrese Maxey or Tobias Harris suit up tonight. Take the Sixers and the points in this one.
My best bet: 76ers +5.5 (-110 at FanDuel)
76ers vs Nuggets same-game parlay
76ers +5.5
Joel Embiid Over 32.5 points
Joel Embiid Under 10.5 rebounds
Joel Embiid went for 41 points against Denver earlier in the season and has hit the Over on this alt number in five of his last six contests.
Rebounding hasn't been a strong suit for the Sixers, and I'm quite surprised to see Embiid's total still offered at 10.5, considering he has only surpassed that number once in his last six outings. Denver also ranks fifth on the glass for the year, and fourth over the last 10 games.
Keep in mind, too, that I don’t expect a ton of rebounding opportunities on offense for Philly, given how porous this Nuggets defense has been.
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76ers vs Nuggets spread and Over/Under analysis
The Sixers are 12-8 when playing on the road, and also boast better shooting numbers away from home. Still, I’d prefer to stick with the points given Denver’s excellence at home.
If you’re going to venture over to the total here, I think the only place to look is the Over. It’s cashed in five of their last six games thanks to a blistering showing on offense, and with the state of Denver’s defense, I expect it to be a strong play once again on Saturday.
76ers vs Nuggets betting trend to know
The 76ers have hit the 4Q moneyline in 51 of their last 83 games (+16.10 Units / 15% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for 76ersvs. Nuggets.
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76ers vs Nuggets game info
| Location: | Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
| Date: | Saturday, January 27, 2024 |
| Tip-off: | 5:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ABC |
76ersvs Nuggets latest injuries
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