Clippers vs Thunder Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

After Chet Holmgren's unfortunate injury on Sunday, the Thunder's frontcourt is precariously thin. This will open the door for Clippers C Ivica Zubac to have a big game tonight.

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst
Nov 11, 2024 • 08:30 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Ivica Zubac Los Angeles Clippers NBA
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The Los Angeles Clippers ride a four-game win streak into Paycom Center tonight for a showdown with the 8-2 Oklahoma City Thunder, who just lost starting big man Chet Holmgren to a hip injury on Sunday.

Los Angeles has gotten some monster play from its starting center this season, and my Clippers vs. Thunder predictions expect Ivica Zubac to dominate in the paint.

Read my NBA picks to see why you should take the Over on Towns’ combo prop on Monday, November 11, with tip set for 8 p.m. ET on NBA TV.

Clippers vs Thunder prediction

My best bet
Ivica Zubac Over 30.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 at bet365)

My analysis

With Kawhi Leonard injured and Paul George with the Philadelphia 76ers, the Los Angeles Clippers roster looks a bit different than it did a season ago. Ivica Zubac has been with the team for six seasons, but he’s seeing the most minutes of his career by a mile and making the most of the newfound playing time.

Zubac is averaging 16.4 points, 12.7 rebounds, and 2.8 assists across 35.1 minutes, good for 31.9 PRAs per night. He’s hit the Over on this line in six of 10, and I’m confident he’ll get there again tonight. With no center depth behind him, Zubac should see monster minutes yet again and excel in this favorable matchup.

The Oklahoma City Thunder allow the most rebounds to opponents this season and the third-most offensive rebounds. Zubac ranks fourth in total boards (12.7) and second in offensive ones (4.4). Second-chance opportunities have been available for him all season, and they’ll be available again tonight.

This was a great matchup already, but it’s even more favorable for Zubac with Chet Holmgren on the sidelines. Off-season addition Isaiah Hartenstein was supposed to be the team’s starting center, but he got injured before the regular season started. Holmgren shifted back to center, and now he’s injured, too.

Third-string center Jaylin Williams is still out of action, leaving an already vulnerable Thunder frontcourt without many options at the five. Perhaps 6-foot-9 depth option Ousmane Dieng will take over there? No matter who OKC puts at center, Zubac will have a massive size advantage

Clippers vs Thunder same-game parlay

Ivica Zubac Over 34.5 pts+reb+ast

Clippers +7

Norman Powell Over 21.5 points

The Clippers are a healthy 6-4 against the spread this season, and they come into Monday’s matchup riding a four-game win streak with a 3-1 ATS record in that span. Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS as an underdog, including a perfect 3-0 as a road dog.

The Clippers have covered with a spread of +6.5 or more on the road against the Sacramento Kings, Denver Nuggets, and Golden State Warriors. Oklahoma City is 3-2 ATS as a home favorite of -6.5 or more this season. The Thunder lost Holmgren to a devastating injury on Sunday, and the team will be playing the second half of a back-to-back set against a quality opponent. This spread is far too generous, and I’ll eagerly take LA to cover.

Why bet against the hot hand? "Stormin’" Norman Powell went for 24 points on Saturday to extend his streak of 20-point games to nine. He hasn’t scored fewer than 20 points in any game since the opener, and he’s tallied at least 22 eight times. Powell leads the Clippers in scoring behind a career-best 25.5 points per game, and he’s been cooking with 51/49/84 shooting splits.

The Thunder’s defense is elite, but Powell scored a team-high 24 when he faced OKC earlier this season, and this is a no-brainer considering how well the veteran guard has played on offense this season.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Clippers vs Thunder odds

Clippers vs Thunder live odds

Clippers vs Thunder opening odds

  • Spread: Los Angeles +7 (-110) | Oklahoma City -7 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Los Angeles +225 | Oklahoma City -275
  • Over/Under: Over 220 (-110) | Under 220 (-110)

Odds courtesy of bet365

Clippers vs Thunder spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Los Angeles is 6-4 straight up and 6-4 ATS through the first 10 games of the 2024-25 season.
  • Oklahoma City fell to 8-2 SU following Sunday's loss to the Warriors and is 7-3 ATS.
  • The Clippers have allowed the third-fewest points this season and have hit the Under in seven of 10 games.
  • The Thunder’s defense has allowed the fewest points and is 5-5 to the Under this season.

Clippers vs Thunder trend

The Thunder won the 2023-24 regular-season series 2-1 and went 2-1 ATS. OKC has won and covered in seven of the last 10 against LA with an Over/Under record of 5-5. Find more NBA betting trends for Clippers vs. Thunder.

How to watch Clippers vs Thunder

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Date: Monday, 11-11-2024
Tip-off: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: NBATV, SN

Clippers vs Thunder latest injuries

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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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