The Memphis Grizzlies will look for a sixth win in seven games, while the Sacramento Kings aim to snap a four-game skid and earn a much-needed victory as the playoff push heats up.
Tonight's Grizzlies vs Kings predictions expect Desmond Bane to step up without Ja Morant as he does a little bit of everything.
My NBA picks explain why ahead of this 10 p.m. ET tip on Monday, March 17.
Grizzlies vs Kings prediction
My best bet: Desmond Bane Over 37.5 points + rebounds + assists (+100 at bet365)
My analysis
Star Memphis Grizzlies point guard Ja Morant will be sidelined for a second straight game and a 16th overall this season. Desmond Bane has excelled with Morant out of action, and I expect him to have another strong showing against the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center tonight.
In 37 games played with Morant, Bane has averaged 17.7 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 4.9 assists, good for 28.4 PRA. In 19 games without Bane, he averaged 20.4 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 6.8 assists, good for 34.4 PRA.
Bane hit the Over on this line in just six of 19 without Morant, but he racked up at least 34 PRA in seven more and at least 37 PRA twice. Despite hitting the Over in less than a third of his games played without Morant, Bane can certainly reach 38 PRA tonight in what should be a high-scoring game.
Before the All-Star break, Bane averaged 29.3 PRA, but he’s averaged 34 post-break across 13 games. In those games, he’s hit the Over on this line five times, including Saturday’s win over Miami, sans Morant.
Bane has found success against the Kings this season, averaging 20 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 7.5 assists across two matchups. The Kings have allowed opposing guards to average 24.5 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 8.3 assists across their last seven, making this a favorable defensive matchup for the versatile guard.
With Morant in the lineup, Bane has a 21.7 usage rate, which climbs to 26 when Ja doesn't play. He should see heavy minutes and usage in a game with a 240 total.
Grizzlies vs Kings same-game parlay
Desmond Bane Over 37.5 pts+reb+ast
Over 240
Grizzlies moneyline
The Grizzlies and Kings have combined to hit the Over in 75 of 134 games, and I expect another high-scoring game.
The Kings are 18-11-2 to the Over at home and 13-11-2 as the home favorite. The Kings are a whopping 15-2 to the Over as the road underdog, 17-5 as the underdog, and 22-10 on the road. Two capable offenses should have no problem going for over 240 points tonight. Memphis’ game totals have gone Over 240 points in eight of 13 road games without Morant this season.
Memphis is 15-10 straight up without Morant this season, including 7-6 on the road. The team is 17-8 ATS, including a 9-4 mark on the road in those contests.
Sacramento is 1-5 straight up and has dropped four straight heading into tonight’s home showdown. The visiting Grizzlies may be missing their superstar guard, but the team is deep and can be productive on both ends of the court thanks to guys like Jaren Jackson Jr. and the aforementioned Bane. I’ll take Memphis to cover, and with such a small spread, it makes sense to bet the ML.
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Grizzlies vs Kings odds
Grizzlies vs Kings live odds
Grizzlies vs Kings opening odds
- Spread: Memphis -2 (-110) | Sacramento +2 (-110)
- Moneyline: Memphis -130 | Sacramento +110
- Over/Under: Over 245 (-110) | Under 245 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365.
Grizzlies vs Kings spread and Over/Under analysis
- Memphis is 5-1 straight up and 2-4 ATS across its last six games.
- Sacramento is 1-5 straight up and 3-3 ATS across its last six.
- The Grizzlies are 38-28-2 to the Over.
- The Kings are 37-29 to the Over.
Grizzlies vs Kings trend
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 away games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Kings.
How to watch Grizzlies vs Kings
| Location | Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA |
| Date | Monday, 3-17-2025 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCS-California, FDSN-Southeast |
Grizzlies vs Kings latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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