Two weeks into the season, the rebuilding Utah Jazz and the former champion Milwaukee Bucks both surprisingly sit at 1-6.
With both teams struggling on the offensive side of the ball, we look at tonight's Under with our Jazz vs. Bucks predictions.
Continue reading for a full breakdown of our free NBA picks on Thursday, November 7th with tip set for 8 p.m. ET at Fiserv Forum.
Jazz vs Bucks prediction
My best bet
Under 230.5 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
When the Milwaukee Bucks won their season opener, there was a glimmer of hope that all of last season's woes (two coaching changes, a struggling Damian Lillard, a Bottom-10 defense) were behind them.
Since then, they have lost seven straight and, to make matters worse, last year's third-highest scoring team now ranks 19th with an even worse (22nd) in offensive rating.
One positive for tonight's game is that the Bucks get to square off against the Utah Jazz, who are second-worst in points per game and dead last in offensive rating.
What's bewildering is both of these low-scoring teams play at a Top-10 pace, but they aren't doing anything with that tempo — they rank 26th and 29th in percentage of points coming from fast breaks.
Milwaukee does find open looks from three as teams catch up and close out (11th in percentage of long-distance field-goal attempts and 13th in percentage of points coming from three) but Utah's biggest defensive strength is on the perimeter (11th in 3P% allowed).
Comparatively, Utah ranks ninth in the percentage of field-goal attempts coming from three, but just 22nd in the percentage of points coming from three. This means they are unlikely to punish the Bucks' eighth-worst 3-point percentage allowed.
Jazz vs Bucks same-game parlay
Under 230.5
Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 30.5 points
Many might expect Giannis Antetekounmpo to stop the bleeding and put his foot down tonight, but he hasn't had the most success against the Jazz in the past from a raw scoring standpoint.
He has managed to go over tonight's mark of 30.5 points just once in his last six games against Utah, and that game required him to shoot 73% from the field while taking 15 free throws.
He has cleared that field-goal percentage only once this year and has shot 15+ free throws just twice so far this year.
One player who may find success is Keyonte George, who is off to a strong start to his sophomore campaign.
Milwaukee also has allowed a league-high 32.0 points to opposing point guards per game, and George is fresh off of a 33-point showing.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Jazz vs Bucks odds
Jazz vs Bucks live odds
Jazz vs Bucks opening odds
- Spread: Utah +8.5 (-110) | Milwaukee -8.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Utah +300 | Milwaukee -380
- Over/Under: Over 227.5 (-110) | Under 227.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365.
Jazz vs Bucks spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Bucks are one of three teams that have failed to cover at home this season.
- Utah has gone 3-4 against the spread, but have gone 2-1 ATS on the road.
- Milwaukee's 2-5 record against the spread is the fifth-worst so far this year.
Jazz vs Bucks trend
Milwaukee and Utah are 4-3 to the Under, and only four other teams have played to the Under more. Find more NBA betting trends for Jazz vs. Bucks.
How to watch Jazz vs Bucks
| Location: | Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date: | Thursday, 11-7-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | KJZZ, FDSWI |
Jazz vs Bucks latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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