The Atlanta Hawks host the New York Knicks in NBA action on Wednesday night.
Both teams have been cashing Over bets going back to last season and my Knicks vs. Hawks predictions are expecting another high-scoring game here.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this November 6 clash.
Knicks vs Hawks prediction
My best bet
Over 225 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
The New York Knicks entered this season with championship aspirations but have clearly regressed on defense. Trading for Karl-Anthony Towns has helped with their spacing and offensive efficiency but his inability to protect the rim has been exposed
We saw that in their previous loss to the Rockets on Tuesday night when they were outrebounded 50-39 and allowed 62 points in the paint. The Knicks are now dead-last in the league in opponent two-point percentage (61.2%) and 21st in points per game allowed in the paint (50.3).
The Atlanta Hawks have plenty of issues but with emerging power forward Jalen Johnson and the center combo of Clint Capela and Onyeka Okongwu, they can score inside. The Hawks are tied for seventh in the league in points in the paint per game (52.0) while ranking eighth in 2PT% (55.9%).
That said, the Hawks are brutal on the other end of the floor and play at a blazing-fast pace. With Trae Young at PG and depth issues on the wing with Bogdan Bogdanovic and De'Andre Hunter sidelined, the Hawks struggle to defend the perimeter.
They are 27th in the league in defensive rating and rank dead-last in opponent 3-point percentage (39.8%) which has led to them allowing the third-most ppg (121.9). The Knicks lead the league in 3-point percentage (41.4%) and are third in offensive rating.
Knicks vs Hawks same-game parlay
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Knicks vs Hawks odds
Knicks vs Hawks live odds
Knicks vs Hawks opening odds
- Spread: New York -7 | Atlanta +7
- Moneyline: New York -300 | Atlanta +240
- Over/Under: Over 225.5 | Under 222.5
Odds courtesy of bet365
Knicks vs Hawks spread and Over/Under analysis
- Early money has come in on the Knicks, shifting their line from -7 to -8.
- The Knicks are 3-3 SU and ATS with all three of their victories coming by at least 9 points.
- The Hawks are coming off a 30-point loss to the Celtics and are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six.
- Going back to last season, the Hawks are just 2-13 ATS in the last 15 games with the O/U 12-3 during that span.
Knicks vs Hawks trend
The Over is 20-4 in Atlanta's last 24 games (+15.60 Units / 59% ROI) while going 24-10 (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI) in New York's previous 34 contests. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Hawks.
How to watch Knicks vs Hawks
| Location: | State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA |
| Date: | Wednesday, 11-6-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | MSG, FanDuel Sports Network |
Knicks vs Hawks latest injuries
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