The Atlanta Hawks host the New York Knicks in NBA action tonight.
Both teams have been cashing Over bets going back to last season and my Knicks vs. Hawks predictions expect another high-scoring game here.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this November 6 clash.
Knicks vs Hawks prediction
My best bet
Over 225 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
The New York Knicks entered this season with championship aspirations but have clearly regressed on defense. Trading for Karl-Anthony Towns has helped with their spacing and offensive efficiency but his inability to protect the rim has been exposed
We saw that in their previous loss to the Rockets on Tuesday night when they were outrebounded 50-39 and allowed 62 points in the paint. The Knicks are now dead-last in the league in opponent two-point percentage (61.2%) and 21st in points per game allowed in the paint (50.3).
The Atlanta Hawks have plenty of issues but with emerging power forward Jalen Johnson and the center combo of Clint Capela and Onyeka Okongwu, they can score inside. The Hawks are tied for seventh in the league in points in the paint per game (52.0) while ranking eighth in 2PT% (55.9%).
That said, the Hawks are brutal on the other end of the floor and play at a blazing-fast pace. With Trae Young at PG and depth issues on the wing with Bogdan Bogdanovic and De'Andre Hunter sidelined, the Hawks struggle to defend the perimeter.
They are 27th in the league in defensive rating and rank dead-last in opponent 3-point percentage (39.8%) which has led to them allowing the third-most ppg (121.9). The Knicks lead the league in 3-point percentage (41.4%) and are third in offensive rating.
Knicks vs Hawks same-game parlay
Over 225.5
Hawks +7.5
Mikal Bridges Over 2.5 threes
The Knicks are 3-3 and have struggled with consistency, which makes it tough to lay 7.5 points with them in the midst of a lengthy road trip where they've flown from Miami to Detroit to Houston and now Atlanta in the span of eight days. This is the sort of tough scheduling spot where you want to fade a Tom Thibodeau-coached team since he gives his starters so many minutes and doesn't utilize his bench enough.
Bridges is knocking down 38.5% of his shots from 3-point range and faces a Hawks side that has surrendered a league-high 17.0 triples per game. Bridges has gone 10-for-25 from deep over the last three contests while knocking down at least three shots from beyond the arc in each of those contests.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Knicks vs Hawks odds
Knicks vs Hawks live odds
Knicks vs Hawks opening odds
- Spread: New York -7 | Atlanta +7
- Moneyline: New York -300 | Atlanta +240
- Over/Under: Over 225.5 | Under 222.5
Odds courtesy of bet365
Knicks vs Hawks spread and Over/Under analysis
- Early money has come in on the Knicks, shifting their line from -7 to -8.
- The Knicks are 3-3 SU and ATS with all three of their victories coming by at least 9 points.
- The Hawks are coming off a 30-point loss to the Celtics and are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six.
- Going back to last season, the Hawks are just 2-13 ATS in the last 15 games with the O/U 12-3 during that span.
Knicks vs Hawks trend
The Over is 20-4 in Atlanta's last 24 games (+15.60 Units / 59% ROI) while going 24-10 (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI) in New York's previous 34 contests. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Hawks.
How to watch Knicks vs Hawks
| Location: | State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA |
| Date: | Wednesday, 11-6-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | MSG, FanDuel Sports Network |
Knicks vs Hawks latest injuries
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