After back-to-back wins, the Indiana Pacers were blown out by the Charlotte Hornets on Friday to fall to 4-5 on the season. The Knicks improved to 4-4 with a big win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday after dropping two in a row.
New York completely revamped its roster in the offseason, and my Knicks vs. Pacers predictions expect new addition Karl-Anthony Towns to continue his strong play on the road.
Read my NBA picks to see why you should take the Over on Towns’ combo prop on Sunday.
Knicks vs Pacers prediction
My best bet
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 34.5 points + rebounds (-120 at bet365)
My analysis
Karl-Anthony Towns has been tremendous to open his tenure with the New York Knicks, averaging 24.3 points and 12.8 rebounds. The big man averaged fewer than 10 rebounds per game in each of the last three seasons, but his rebound total this season is a career-best mark.
New York’s frontcourt depth is razor-thin thanks to a number of key injuries, which has allowed Towns to take full advantage of his increased opportunities at center. He comfortably leads New York in rebounding, and the Indiana Pacers have allowed the seventh-most rebounds per game. This is a nice opportunity for Towns to be active on the glass.
Towns is shooting 52.7% from the floor, 55.6% from beyond the arc, and 90% from the charity stripe. That elite efficiency won’t hold all season, but I’m happy to ride the hot hand, especially while he’s knocking down 2.5 triples and taking 16.4 shots per tilt. The Pacers allow the sixth-most points per game, and Indiana has no size in the frontcourt after losing Isaiah Jackson and James Wiseman to season-ending injuries.
Towns has posted 30-point double-doubles in back-to-back games, and I expect him to have another strong showing in this favorable matchup. I’m taking the Over as Towns continues to shine for his new team and takes advantage of a generous and undersized Pacers defense.
Knicks vs Pacers same-game parlay
Towns Over 34.5 points + rebounds
Haliburton Under 32.5 points + rebounds + assists
Brunson Over 24.5 points
To say Tyrese Haliburton has struggled this season would be a massive understatement. Indiana’s star point guard averaged at least 20 points and 10 assists in each of the last two seasons, but he’s averaging just 14.7 points and 7.7 assists to start the 2024-25 campaign. Hali is pulling down a career-best 4.6 rebounds, but the increased boards haven’t been enough to significantly boost his PRA totals. Haliburton has hit the Over on this line in just four of nine games, and he’s averaging only 27 PRAs on the season. New York’s defense has allowed the fifth-fewest points per game this season, and this isn’t a great matchup for Haliburton to get back on track. I’m taking the Under.
Jalen Brunson posted a career-best 28.7 points per game last season, and though his scoring average has fallen to 24 to open the 2024-25 season, I’m confidently taking the Over on this scoring prop against the Pacers. Brunson has dropped at least 20 points in seven of eight appearances this season, and he’s scored at least 25 points three times. That includes a 26-point performance against Indiana in the second game of the season. Brunson averaged 35.7 points in three regular-season matchups with the Pacers last season, and I’m betting on another strong offensive showing here.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Knicks vs Pacers odds
Knicks vs Pacers live odds
Knicks vs Pacers opening odds
- Spread: New York -3 (-110) | Indiana +3 (-110)
- Moneyline: New York -160 | Indiana +135
- Over/Under: Over 229 (-110) | Under 229 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365.
Knicks vs Pacers spread and Over/Under analysis
- New York has won four of its first eight games to open the season, and the team is 4-4 ATS.
- Despite sporting a 4-5 record straight up, the Pacers have covered six of nine games in 2024-25.
- The Knicks have allowed the fifth-fewest points and scored the 15th-most, and the team is 4-4 to the Under.
- The Pacers rank 12th in most points scored, sixth in most points allowed, and have hit the Over in six of nine contests.
Knicks vs Pacers trend
The Knicks and Pacers have played each other to a 5-5 draw across their last 10 head-to-head matchups, and both teams have covered five times in those contests. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Pacers.
How to watch Knicks vs Pacers
| Location: | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY |
| Date: | Sunday, 11-10-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 5:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | MSG, FDSIN |
Knicks vs Pacers latest injuries
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