A showdown between the Dallas Mavericks and the Utah Jazz at the Delta Center is the only game tipping off in the NBA tonight.
Utah has been struggling but my Mavericks vs. Jazz predictions are betting on their leading scorer to have a big game.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this Western Conference clash on November 14 with tip set for 9 p.m. ET on NBA TV.
Also, because it's as short a slate as you'll find, we've drummed up some extra Mavericks vs. Jazz props.
Mavericks vs Jazz prediction
My best bet
John Collins Over 17.5 points (-120 at bet365)
My analysis
John Collins leads the Utah Jazz with 17.1 points per game despite logging an average of just 25.3 minutes. While the rest of Utah's top players have struggled with scoring efficiency, Collins is shooting an impressive 52% from the field and 37.5% from deep.
Collins is an explosive athlete who can get buckets inside or stretch the floor. The 27-year-old is just five years removed from averaging 21.6 ppg on 58/40/80 shooting splits with Atlanta.
With center Walker Kessler sidelined by a hip injury on Tuesday, Collins started his first game of the season and dropped 29 points in 34 minutes. With Kessler ruled out once again, Collins is in line for another start tonight and has a good matchup on his hands against the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks have taken a step back on defense. Over the last five games, they are 19th in the league in defensive rating (116.2) while ranking 26th in opponent field goal percentage (49.6%).
The Mavs will also likely be missing P.J. Washington, their most versatile defender in the frontcourt. When these teams previously clashed on October 28, Collins scored 16 points in just 19 minutes and he should be able to easily eclipse his points total of 17.5 tonight with more playing time.
Mavericks vs Jazz same-game parlay
John Collins Over 17.5 points
Under 230.5
Mavericks moneyline
The Mavs are on a three-game losing streak but all of those were one-possession games against quality teams in the Suns, Nuggets, and Warriors. They should find the sledding much easier against a 2-8 Jazz squad with an NBA-worst net rating of -13.
The total is too high when you consider Utah is second-last in the league with 105.7 ppg and has gone 6-3 to the Under in the last nine games. Dallas is near the middle-of-pack in scoring (114.4 ppg) while ranking 10th in scoring defense (111.0 ppg).
Taking the Over on Collins' points along with the Under on the game total and the Mavs on the ML, provides a nice multiplier for this SGP.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Mavericks vs Jazz odds
Mavericks vs Jazz live odds
Mavericks vs Jazz opening odds
- Spread: Dallas -8.5 | Utah +8.5
- Moneyline: Dallas -360 | Utah +280
- Over/Under: Over 233.5 | Under 233.5
Odds courtesy of bet365
Mavericks vs Jazz spread and Over/Under analysis
- Early money has poured in on the Under, causing the total to drop from 233.5 to 230.5.
- The Mavs are coming off a 120-117 loss to the Warriors and are now 4-6 straight up and 3-6-1 against the spread in their last 10.
- The Jazz are 2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS in their last nine games and they're fresh off a 120-112 loss to the Suns who were missing Kevin Durant.
- The Jazz are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four home games while losing by 15+ points in three of those contests.
Mavericks vs Jazz trend
The Jazz have hit the Over on the first-half total in 40 of their last 65 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Jazz.
How to watch Mavericks vs Jazz
| Location: | Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT |
| Date: | Thursday, 11-14-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBATV |
Mavericks vs Jazz latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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