The Golden State Warriors are one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now, reeling off seven straight wins as make the ascension up the Western Conference standings.
A home date against the Denver Nuggets will not be an easy proposition, despite the Warriors sitting as -4.5-point favorites in the NBA odds.
My Nuggets vs. Warriors predictions forgo the side, instead focusing my NBA picks on Jimmy Butler's prop market on March 17.
Nuggets vs Warriors prediction
My best bet: Jimmy Butler Over 17.5 points (-120 at bet365)
My analysis
To say things have gone smoothly for the Golden State Warriors since acquiring Jimmy Butler in February would be an understatement. The Warriors have won 14 of their 16 games, and Butler has played an integral part in each of those wins.
He's scored at least 17 points in nine of those outings, in addition to playing facilitator. Butler has racked up at least five assists in 10 of those 16 games, with a total of seven, seven, and 10 over his last three outings.
Tonight, against the Denver Nuggets, the Warriors will need Butler to continue to provide offense in any way possible, which is why I'm targeting his points prop.
With an injury report listing Steph Curry, Nikola Jokic, and Jamal Murray questionable to play tonight, this is the kind of game where Butler can take advantage of A) more shots with Curry out or B) a weakened Nuggets team that already plays piss-poor defense.
Either way, the point prop is too low for Butler, so I am happily taking the Over.
Nuggets vs Warriors same-game parlay
Jimmy Butler Over 17.5 points
Jimmy Butler Over 3.5 first-quarter points
Warriors moneyline
There's no shame in backing one of the hottest teams in the Association, and at home, I expect them to keep their winning ways going.
Butler has a few paths to 20 points, and I believe he'll set the tone early in a playoff-type atmosphere.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Nuggets vs Warriors odds
Nuggets vs Warriors live odds
Nuggets vs Warriors opening odds
- Spread: Denver +5 | Golden State -5
- Moneyline: Denver +172 | Golden State -197
- Over/Under: Over 237 | Under 237
Odds courtesy of bet365.
Nuggets vs Warriors spread and Over/Under analysis
- The line opened up with the Warriors laying -5 points and has since dropped to -4 or -4.5, depending on the book.
- The total has dropped half a point with the possibility of key scorers missing tonight's contest.
- The Warriors have won 14 of their last 16 games, including the last seven games in a row.
Nuggets vs Warriors trend
The Golden State Warriors have hit the moneyline in nine of their last 10 games at home (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Warriors.
How to watch Nuggets vs Warriors
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Monday, 3-17-2025 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Nuggets vs Warriors latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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