Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Golden State Warriors are one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now, winners of seven straight. A big part of that has been the play of Jimmy Butler, which is why Chris Vasile is backing Butler for another big outing.

Chris Vasile - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Publishing Editor
Mar 17, 2025 • 15:59 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Golden State Warriors forward Jimmy Butler III (10) catches a pass.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Golden State Warriors forward Jimmy Butler III (10) catches a pass.

The Golden State Warriors are one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now, reeling off seven straight wins as make the ascension up the Western Conference standings. 

A home date against the Denver Nuggets will not be an easy proposition, despite the Warriors sitting as -4.5-point favorites in the NBA odds. 

My Nuggets vs. Warriors predictions forgo the side, instead focusing my NBA picks on Jimmy Butler's prop market on March 17. 

Nuggets vs Warriors prediction

My best bet: Jimmy Butler Over 17.5 points (-120 at bet365)

My analysis
To say things have gone smoothly for the Golden State Warriors since acquiring Jimmy Butler in February would be an understatement. The Warriors have won 14 of their 16 games, and Butler has played an integral part in each of those wins. 

He's scored at least 17 points in nine of those outings, in addition to playing facilitator. Butler has racked up at least five assists in 10 of those 16 games, with a total of seven, seven, and 10 over his last three outings. 

Tonight, against the Denver Nuggets, the Warriors will need Butler to continue to provide offense in any way possible, which is why I'm targeting his points prop. 

With an injury report listing Steph Curry, Nikola Jokic, and Jamal Murray questionable to play tonight, this is the kind of game where Butler can take advantage of A) more shots with Curry out or B) a weakened Nuggets team that already plays piss-poor defense. 

Either way, the point prop is too low for Butler, so I am happily taking the Over. 

Nuggets vs Warriors same-game parlay

Jimmy Butler Over 17.5 points

Jimmy Butler Over 3.5 first-quarter points

Warriors moneyline

There's no shame in backing one of the hottest teams in the Association, and at home, I expect them to keep their winning ways going. 

Butler has a few paths to 20 points, and I believe he'll set the tone early in a playoff-type atmosphere. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Nuggets vs Warriors odds

Nuggets vs Warriors live odds

Nuggets vs Warriors opening odds

  • Spread: Denver +5 | Golden State -5
  • Moneyline: Denver +172 | Golden State -197
  • Over/Under: Over 237 | Under 237

Odds courtesy of bet365.

Nuggets vs Warriors spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The line opened up with the Warriors laying -5 points and has since dropped to -4 or -4.5, depending on the book. 
  • The total has dropped half a point with the possibility of key scorers missing tonight's contest. 
  • The Warriors have won 14 of their last 16 games, including the last seven games in a row. 

Nuggets vs Warriors trend

The Golden State Warriors have hit the moneyline in nine of their last 10 games at home (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Warriors.

How to watch Nuggets vs Warriors

Location Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Date Monday, 3-17-2025
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Nuggets vs Warriors latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Vasile Covers.com
Publishing Editor

Chris Vasile has been in the betting industry for well over a decade honing his craft as a writer, editor and handicapper. A journalism graduate from Conestoga College in Kitchener, Ontario, Chris has contributed betting and non-betting content for online publications such as ProSportsDaily and The Hockey Writers, in addition to Covers. With a keen interest in soccer, Chris has been featured on Covers' 'Before You Bet' and runs his own YouTube channel — Game Day Wagers.

When it comes to daily sports betting, his sportsbook of choice is bet365 for the plethora of markets and great UX. Chris' top sports betting advice is to stick to what you know. Being a jack of all trades and master of none is a quick way to bust the bankroll. Find one or two sports you can devote your time to and trust the process.

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