2024-25 Philadelphia 76ers Predictions, Odds and Betting Preview: Quality Over Quantity

Joel Embiid and the 76ers have made it clear that the regular season is merely a means to an end, making it tricky to predict their season-long futures. Jon Metler navigates the minefield and tells you how Embiid & Co. will fare in 2024-25.

Jon Metler - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Jon Metler • Betting Analyst
Oct 21, 2024 • 13:53 ET • 4 min read
Philadelphia 76ers NBA Joel Embiid
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia 76ers are eyeing an NBA Finals appearance following the addition of Paul George in the offseason, and we are conducting an in-depth analysis of their futures odds to see which NBA picks we should be backing for the 76ers this season. 

Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey form one of the deadliest duos in the NBA, and replacing Tobias Harris with George through free agency could make the Sixers even more potent.

While the 76ers are one of the last teams I'd want to face in the NBA Playoffs if they are healthy, the road to the playoffs with a healthy roster won't be easy for Nick Nurse and his team. 

Let's take a deeper dive into the Philadelphia 76ers odds.

2024-25 Philadelphia 76ers odds and outlook

  • 2023-24 record: 47-35
  • Key additions: Paul George, Andre Drummond, Caleb Martin, Reggie Jackson, Eric Gordon, Guerschon Yabusele, and Jared McCain
  • Key subtractions: Tobias Harris, Buddy Hield, Nicolas Batum, De'Anthony Melton, Cameron Payne and Paul Reed
  • NBA Championship odds: +1,000
  • Eastern Conference odds: +500
  • Atlantic Division odds: +500

Philadelphia 76ers projected lineup

Position Starter Reserve
Point Guard Tyrese Maxey Reggie Jackson
Shooting Guard Paul George Kyle Lowry
Small Forward Kelly Oubre Jr.  Eric Gordon
Power Forward Caleb Martin Guerschon Yabusele
Center Joel Embiid Andre Drummond

Philadelphia 76ers season win total prediction

Over  Under 
51.5 (-110) 51.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of Pinnacle.

The 76ers' win total is all over the place in the market, with the total ranging from 49.5 to 52.5, all thanks to the Sixers' plan to rest Joel Embiid. It's pretty rare not to see a consensus win total for a team this close to the start of the season, but there are a lot of questions regarding the 76ers and their plans for the regular season.

We know Embiid won't be playing in back-to-backs, and he will also have some periodic time off, but he isn't the only player we could see the 76ers resting this season.

During an NBA preseason broadcast, it was highlighted that Paul George might also not play in back-to-backs this season. To complicate matters, Tyrese Maxey left that preseason game with a hand injury. Reports indicate that Maxey will be fine and that he was removed from the game as a precaution, but the bottom line is that the Sixers are focused on being healthy for the NBA Playoffs rather than winning a bunch of regular-season games.

I believe the 76ers have a roster capable of exceeding a total of 51.5 wins in the Eastern Conference if they were planning on playing 82 games. However, given all the information we have on the 76ers and how they plan to handle this season, I'm going with the Under. There is a 52.5 available in the market at increased juice, but I think the Under 51.5 at Pinnacle offers the biggest edge with the juice sitting at -110.

76ers Prediction: Under 51.5 (-110 at Pinnacle)

76ers playoff prediction

Yes No
-5,000 +1,000

Odds courtesy of BetRivers.

Do I think the 76ers will actually miss the NBA Playoffs? No, but this isn’t even money on either side of the yes or no. The 76ers are -5,000 to make the NBA Playoffs, and given how they are planning to handle this season, they could very well find themselves in the Play-In Tournament once again.

So, would I want to hold a -5,000 ticket on a team trying to reach the NBA Playoffs via the Play-In Tournament? Absolutely not. A -5,000 price point implies that you’ll easily be one of the top teams in the Eastern Conference and nowhere near the Play-In Tournament, and I don’t think that’s an accurate statement for the 76ers.

My stance on the 76ers is that we need to view them in two different lights: the regular season version and the potentially healthy NBA Playoffs version. So when I say "No" regarding the NBA Playoffs, it’s purely because of the pricing. If the 76ers make the NBA Playoffs and are fully healthy, they are 100% a contender to win the NBA Finals with this roster.

76ers Prediction: No (+1,000 at BetRivers)

Joel Embiid prediction

Over  Under 
Next to score 60+ points (+750) N/A

Odds courtesy of DraftKings.

It's impossible to get anywhere near any season-long futures on Embiid to win an award because he isn't going to meet the 65-game threshold required to be eligible. Embiid himself has said he doesn't care about any awards and is focused on being healthy for the NBA Playoffs.

When you're looking at the markets for leading the NBA in scoring, rebounding, or even blocked shots, the threshold is lower at 58 games. But once again, how can you back Embiid in these markets when you know he plans on missing so many games?

I'm going to offer up a more unique market here on Embiid because he's forcing us to be creative with his plans for so much rest.

Embiid is at +750 to be the next player in the NBA to score 60+ points. There are two ways to look at it in my mind: it’s a bad bet because he will play fewer games than everyone else, or it’s more valuable given his rest plan, as he won't need to conserve energy in the games he does play since he knows he has designated days off. 

If it's the front end of a back-to-back, Nick Nurse might give him a couple of extra minutes so he can score 60+ points, knowing he has the following day off. The 76ers might also lean more heavily on Embiid in the games they do have him for.

Let’s face it, there are only a handful of players in the NBA capable of cashing a ticket like this, and Embiid is one of them. He scored 70 points against Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs last season, who, I might add, is a -155 favorite in the NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds.

76ers Prediction: Joel Embiid next to score 60+ points (+750 at DraftKings)

76ers awards futures prediction

Award Candidate Odds
MVP Joel Embiid  +4,200
Defensive Player of the Year Joel Embiid +10,000
Rookie of the Year Jared McCain +5,000
Sixth Man of the Year Eric Gordon +10,000
Coach of the Year Nick Nurse +2,500

Odds courtesy of Caesars.

If you're a 76ers fan looking to place a futures bet on your favorite team for the upcoming season, I would roll with Nurse for Coach of the Year. If Nurse is able to navigate all the difficulties of resting Embiid and George while still maintaining a top-four seed in the Eastern Conference, he could have a strong narrative for the award.

In terms of Sixth Man of the Year, keep an eye on the 76ers' rotations because there will be plenty of opportunities for their bench players to log upwards of 30 minutes on nights when they are resting Embiid or George. No one really stands out in this market right now for the 76ers, but that doesn't mean someone won't emerge.

My watchlist would include Andre Drummond, who isn't even listed in the market but could see extended minutes when Embiid doesn't play while still maintaining eligibility for Sixth Man of the Year since he will come off the bench more often than not. Another player to watch is Caleb Martin, if he doesn't start and is coming off the bench. Martin is also currently not listed in the Sixth Man of the Year market.

76ers Prediction: Nick Nurse for Coach of the Year (+2,500 at Caesars)

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Betting Analyst

Having played, coached, and officiated basketball, Jon immediately turned his attention to the NBA when he entered the sports betting space. Sports betting has been a part of his life for over 14 years, and he specializes in futures markets and player props, particularly in the NBA. In pursuit of value, he keeps a close eye on movements in the betting markets. He believes strongly in analytics and staying ahead of the curve and, when possible, lets the numbers do the talking.

Jon hosts the NBA Prop Picks show powered by EV Analytics, which airs on the Covers YouTube channel, and he is also a regular guest on Before You Bet with Joe Osborne.

Jon keeps his eye on the NBA betting markets 365 days a year and uses 10-plus sportsbooks to always shop around for the best price for whichever bet he is looking to place. If there are NBA games on for that current day, you can guarantee that Jon woke up way too early, has already had some caffeine, and is ready to begin placing bets on NBA player props.

His favorite sportsbooks are Pinnacle, Caesars, and Betano, with the first two being where he places the majority of his bets, while Betano sneaks into the top three because of their creative futures markets for the NBA.

Before joining Covers in December 2023, Jon worked as a sports betting analyst at Sportsbook Review. He also holds a Bachelor's degree from the University of Windsor, where he studied Human Kinetics with a focus on Sports Studies.

Jon's top piece of advice for sports bettors: "Any outcome is possible in sports betting; you're just hunting for one that is more probable than the sportsbooks have it priced."

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