The Philadelphia 76ers are eyeing an NBA Finals appearance following the addition of Paul George in the offseason, and we are conducting an in-depth analysis of their futures odds to see which NBA picks we should be backing for the 76ers this season.
Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey form one of the deadliest duos in the NBA, and replacing Tobias Harris with George through free agency could make the Sixers even more potent.
While the 76ers are one of the last teams I'd want to face in the NBA Playoffs if they are healthy, the road to the playoffs with a healthy roster won't be easy for Nick Nurse and his team.
Let's take a deeper dive into the Philadelphia 76ers odds.
2024-25 Philadelphia 76ers odds and outlook
- 2023-24 record: 47-35
- Key additions: Paul George, Andre Drummond, Caleb Martin, Reggie Jackson, Eric Gordon, Guerschon Yabusele, and Jared McCain
- Key subtractions: Tobias Harris, Buddy Hield, Nicolas Batum, De'Anthony Melton, Cameron Payne and Paul Reed
- NBA Championship odds: +1,000
- Eastern Conference odds: +500
- Atlantic Division odds: +500
Philadelphia 76ers projected lineup
Position | Starter | Reserve |
Point Guard | Tyrese Maxey | Reggie Jackson |
Shooting Guard | Paul George | Kyle Lowry |
Small Forward | Kelly Oubre Jr. | Eric Gordon |
Power Forward | Caleb Martin | Guerschon Yabusele |
Center | Joel Embiid | Andre Drummond |
Philadelphia 76ers season win total prediction
Over | Under |
51.5 (-110) | 51.5 (-110) |
Odds courtesy of Pinnacle.
The 76ers' win total is all over the place in the market, with the total ranging from 49.5 to 52.5, all thanks to the Sixers' plan to rest Joel Embiid. It's pretty rare not to see a consensus win total for a team this close to the start of the season, but there are a lot of questions regarding the 76ers and their plans for the regular season.
We know Embiid won't be playing in back-to-backs, and he will also have some periodic time off, but he isn't the only player we could see the 76ers resting this season.
During an NBA preseason broadcast, it was highlighted that Paul George might also not play in back-to-backs this season. To complicate matters, Tyrese Maxey left that preseason game with a hand injury. Reports indicate that Maxey will be fine and that he was removed from the game as a precaution, but the bottom line is that the Sixers are focused on being healthy for the NBA Playoffs rather than winning a bunch of regular-season games.
I believe the 76ers have a roster capable of exceeding a total of 51.5 wins in the Eastern Conference if they were planning on playing 82 games. However, given all the information we have on the 76ers and how they plan to handle this season, I'm going with the Under. There is a 52.5 available in the market at increased juice, but I think the Under 51.5 at Pinnacle offers the biggest edge with the juice sitting at -110.
Prediction: Under 51.5 (-110 at Pinnacle)
76ers playoff prediction
Yes | No |
-5,000 | +1,000 |
Odds courtesy of BetRivers.
Do I think the 76ers will actually miss the NBA Playoffs? No, but this isn’t even money on either side of the yes or no. The 76ers are -5,000 to make the NBA Playoffs, and given how they are planning to handle this season, they could very well find themselves in the Play-In Tournament once again.
So, would I want to hold a -5,000 ticket on a team trying to reach the NBA Playoffs via the Play-In Tournament? Absolutely not. A -5,000 price point implies that you’ll easily be one of the top teams in the Eastern Conference and nowhere near the Play-In Tournament, and I don’t think that’s an accurate statement for the 76ers.
My stance on the 76ers is that we need to view them in two different lights: the regular season version and the potentially healthy NBA Playoffs version. So when I say "No" regarding the NBA Playoffs, it’s purely because of the pricing. If the 76ers make the NBA Playoffs and are fully healthy, they are 100% a contender to win the NBA Finals with this roster.
Prediction: No (+1,000 at BetRivers)
Joel Embiid prediction
Over | Under |
Next to score 60+ points (+750) | N/A |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings.
It's impossible to get anywhere near any season-long futures on Embiid to win an award because he isn't going to meet the 65-game threshold required to be eligible. Embiid himself has said he doesn't care about any awards and is focused on being healthy for the NBA Playoffs.
When you're looking at the markets for leading the NBA in scoring, rebounding, or even blocked shots, the threshold is lower at 58 games. But once again, how can you back Embiid in these markets when you know he plans on missing so many games?
I'm going to offer up a more unique market here on Embiid because he's forcing us to be creative with his plans for so much rest.
Embiid is at +750 to be the next player in the NBA to score 60+ points. There are two ways to look at it in my mind: it’s a bad bet because he will play fewer games than everyone else, or it’s more valuable given his rest plan, as he won't need to conserve energy in the games he does play since he knows he has designated days off.
If it's the front end of a back-to-back, Nick Nurse might give him a couple of extra minutes so he can score 60+ points, knowing he has the following day off. The 76ers might also lean more heavily on Embiid in the games they do have him for.
Let’s face it, there are only a handful of players in the NBA capable of cashing a ticket like this, and Embiid is one of them. He scored 70 points against Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs last season, who, I might add, is a -155 favorite in the NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds.
Prediction: Joel Embiid next to score 60+ points (+750 at DraftKings)
Popular NBA futures markets
76ers awards futures prediction
Award | Candidate | Odds |
MVP | Joel Embiid | +4,200 |
Defensive Player of the Year | Joel Embiid | +10,000 |
Rookie of the Year | Jared McCain | +5,000 |
Sixth Man of the Year | Eric Gordon | +10,000 |
Coach of the Year | Nick Nurse | +2,500 |
Odds courtesy of Caesars.
If you're a 76ers fan looking to place a futures bet on your favorite team for the upcoming season, I would roll with Nurse for Coach of the Year. If Nurse is able to navigate all the difficulties of resting Embiid and George while still maintaining a top-four seed in the Eastern Conference, he could have a strong narrative for the award.
In terms of Sixth Man of the Year, keep an eye on the 76ers' rotations because there will be plenty of opportunities for their bench players to log upwards of 30 minutes on nights when they are resting Embiid or George. No one really stands out in this market right now for the 76ers, but that doesn't mean someone won't emerge.
My watchlist would include Andre Drummond, who isn't even listed in the market but could see extended minutes when Embiid doesn't play while still maintaining eligibility for Sixth Man of the Year since he will come off the bench more often than not. Another player to watch is Caleb Martin, if he doesn't start and is coming off the bench. Martin is also currently not listed in the Sixth Man of the Year market.
Prediction: Nick Nurse for Coach of the Year (+2,500 at Caesars)
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