Today’s NBA Player Prop Picks: Backing Batum's Long-Range Bombs

The NBA markets are limited on Thursday night with just three games, so all the more important to make your bets count. Get our best NBA prop picks for tonight's action, including Nic Batum to keep bombing from deep.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 11, 2021 • 11:22 ET • 3 min read
Nicolas Batum Los Angeles Clippers NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

There are only three games on the NBA betting board this Veteran's Day but if you go beyond the side, total, and derivatives, there are still plenty of wagering options with NBA player prop bets.

Today we're backing a Rookie of the Year candidate, expecting some points from a guy better known for preventing them, and riding a hot hand on the West Coast.

Here are our best free NBA prop picks for Thursday, November 11. 

NBA player props for November 11

Picks made on 11/11/2021 at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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The Raptors are coming off an ugly loss in Boston last night and head to Philadelphia on the second night of a back-to-back. That sort of scheduling is never easy but it is made a bit softer by the fact that the 76ers will be missing Joel Embiid and Tobias Harris.

The Raptors received plenty of flak for drafting Scottie Barnes over Jalen Suggs, but the versatile forward has jumped to the top of the Rookie of the Year odds board. The 20-year-old looked shaky in the Raptors season opener against the Wizards but has been very productive since, scoring at least 17 points in six of his last nine games and averaging 17.6 points per game on 54.9 percent shooting over that span. 

The Raptors recently had last year's leading scorer, Pascal Siakam, return to the lineup but he's expected to rest today as he works back into game shape. Big man Khem Birch will also sit out for the third game in a row due to swelling in his knee. That should mean plenty of minutes, and shot attempts, for Barnes against a depleted Philly frontcourt. Take the Over on his points scored.

Pick: Scottie Barnes Over 14.5 points (-112 at PointsBet)

The Jazz host the struggling Pacers as 9.5-point favorites tonight. With a lineup featuring Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner, you might think Indiana was a tough team to score on inside, however, the Pacers rank 21st in the league with 46.7 points per game allowed in the paint. 

Utah center Rudy Gobert is once again dominating on the defensive end of the floor for Utah, but he hasn't been getting buckets lately. He has scored fewer than 10 points in three of his last six games. That said, those low numbers were due to a dip in his field-goal attempts, including just 3 FGA against Milwaukee on Halloween and 5 FGA versus Miami last Saturday.

That's a very low volume of shot attempts from Gobert, who is still averaging 14.6 ppg on the year and also averaged 15.1 ppg over the previous three seasons. Expect his shot attempts to get back to normal levels and take the Over 12.5 on his points total today.

Pick: Rudy Gobert Over 12.5 points (-130 at bet365)

In the final game tonight, the Miami Heat stick around in L.A. to face the Clippers. The Heat fell in overtime to the Lakers last night and will attempt to bounce back against a Clips squad that has won five in a row.

Forward Nic Batum has been a big reason for that winning streak, averaging 16.8 ppg over that five-game stretch. Batum was held to fewer than six points in three of his first four games to start the year but has since caught fire. 

He's shooting a sizzling 59.5 percent from three-point range this month, converting on at least four shots from beyond the arc in four of five contests. Grab the Over 2.5 three-pointers made prop on Batum at decent plus money.

Pick: Nic Batum Over 2.5 threes made (+155 at DraftKings)

NBA parlay

Did you know that if you played today’s NBA props as a parlay, you could win $78.75 on a $10 bet?

Use our NBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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