The Phoenix Suns and the Memphis Grizzlies will clash tonight in the tail end of a back-to-back for both squads at the FedExForum.
Kevin Durant has been showing out lately despite Phoenix’s struggles, and I explain why I expect that to continue here in my Suns vs Grizzlies predictions.
Keep reading for my NBA picks for March 10.
Suns vs Grizzlies prediction
My best bet
Kevin Durant Over 26.5 points (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
The Phoenix Suns may be having a disappointing season, much in part due to their poor defense, but Kevin Durant is certainly doing his part. The superstar is averaging 26.8 points per game in 51 outings, and as we’ve seen from his year after year, he continues to put up consistent numbers.
While Durant had just 21 points in a win over the depleted Dallas Mavericks on Sunday, he cashed Over 26.5 points in three of his last five appearances before that. So far in March, KD is averaging 27.5 points in four contests.
One of the other main reasons I’m eyeing this bet tonight is because KD plays well against the Memphis Grizzlies — averaging 29.7 ppg across three meetings this season. Yes, Memphis is a stout defensive squad, but we’re talking about one of the purest scorers to ever step foot on the hardwood.
Lastly, KD scores 26.2 ppg when playing in back-to-backs. After a bit of an off night on Sunday, I believe Durant will respond here and show out as the Suns search for their second victory amid the Play-In Tournament push.
Hammer the Over with confidence.
Suns vs Grizzlies same-game parlay
Kevin Durant Over 26.5 points
Desmond Bane Over 6.5 assists
Grizzlies moneyline
With Ja Morant missing a chunk of time this season with injuries, others have had to step up for Memphis. Alongside Jaren Jackson Jr., Desmond Bane has also played at a high level. Tonight, we’ll focus on his ability to pass the basketball.
Bane has dished out Over 6.5 assists in four of his last seven appearances and just had 30 points and nine dimes in a victory over the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. While Bane averages 5.3 assists on the season, that number jumps to 6.7 against the Suns.
Phoenix is 23rd in the Association in assists allowed and has given up an average of 34.3 dimes across their last three outings. This is the perfect opportunity for Bane to drop dimes against a team with no defensive identity.
The Grizz have had Phoenix’s number in recent memory, winning four straight meetings dating back to January 7 last year. Memphis is enjoying a two-game winning streak and sits fourth in the Western Conference with a 40-24 record.
Taylor Jenkins’ squad has an impressive 22-9 record on home court while the Suns are atrocious on the road, going 12-21. That’s enough for me to take the Grizzlies this evening.
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Suns vs Grizzlies odds
Suns vs Grizzlies live odds
Suns vs Grizzlies opening odds
- Spread: Phoenix +5 | Memphis -5
- Moneyline: Phoenix +165 | Memphis -200
- Over/Under: Over 244.5 | Under 244.5
Odds courtesy of bet365
Suns vs Grizzlies spread and Over/Under analysis
- Phoenix is 6-9 this season as an ATS road underdog.
- Memphis has a 16-12 record as an ATS home favorite.
- The Under has cashed in two of the last three meetings.
Suns vs Grizzlies trend
The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the moneyline in 38 of their last 59 games (+13.55 Units / 11% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Grizzlies.
How to watch Suns vs Grizzlies
| Location | FedExForum, Memphis, TN |
| Date | Monday, 3-10-2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Arizona's Family 3TV/Arizona's Family Sports, FanDuel Sports Network - Southeast - Memphis |
Suns vs Grizzlies latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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