Are the Golden State Warriors back? Opening the season at 6-1 both outright and against the spread demands the question. Facing the defending champion Boston Celtics will test that, and it may test Steph Curry the most.
All due respect to the first-ballot Hall of Famer, but NBA odds are still giving him too much deference. My Warriors vs. Celtics predictions will take that value in fading Curry, any free NBA picks needing to acknowledge Boston’s defense may be perfectly designed to slow Steph.
Tip comes at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, November 6.
Warriors vs Celtics prediction
My best bet
Steph Curry Under 24.5 points (-125 at bet365)
My analysis
It may be tempting fate to doubt Steph Curry in a nationally televised matchup against the best team in the NBA. This is the kind of moment that turned Steph from a man into a myth and then from a myth into a legend.
But Curry injured his ankle again two weeks ago, costing him three games already this season. He returned on Monday with 24 points in 24 minutes, but that was against the Wizards. How much stock can anyone really put in Washington’s perimeter defense?
Even before his ankle injury, this prop was a bit lofty for Curry, averaging 18.3 points in his first three games, never scoring more than 20 points. Then again, those low tallies could be dismissed by the Golden State Warriors blowing out Portland and Utah in their first two games and Curry thus playing only 25 and 27 minutes, then injuring his ankle after 26:42 in a loss to the Clippers.
Every example of Steph not pouring in points this season can be explained away without much effort. Then why doubt him tonight?
Because he was going against lackluster defenses in each of those games. Reread the opponents: the Blazers, the Jazz, the Clippers (sans Kawhi Leonard), and the lowly Wizards.
The Boston Celtics are a cut above those. Even as Golden State tries to manufacture depth in its roster, Boston can run several excellent perimeter defenders at Curry. Jrue Holiday can yield to Derrick White, only to then defer to Jaylen Brown, and let’s not forget about Jayson Tatum.
With a balky wheel, Steph is going to struggle to get downhill against the Celtics’ defense. Boston is too good to be the likely breakout moment for anyone, let alone someone coming off a chronic injury that once nearly cost them their career.
Warriors vs Celtics same-game parlay
Steph Curry Under 24.5 points
Celtics -6
Under 229.5
It's a bit difficult to ascertain too much about any team and its standing against expectations this early in the season. Golden State is 6-1 against the spread, but none of those opponents are notable contenders.
To some degree, adding Celtics -6 here is an attempt to sell high on Golden State, and any bet fading Steph fits into the Under simultaneously cashing.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Warriors vs Celtics odds
Warriors vs Celtics live odds
Warriors vs Celtics opening odds
- Spread: Golden State +7.5 | Boston -7.5
- Moneyline: Golden State +260 | Boston -320
- Over/Under: Over 230.5 | Under 230.5
Odds courtesy of bet365.
Warriors vs Celtics spread and Over/Under analysis
- This spread opened with the Warriors as 7.5-point underdogs in Tuesday’s earliest hours, climbing as high as +8.0 before the market fully engaged and knocked it down to +7.0 on Tuesday evening.
- That spread kept falling as Wednesday became reality, reaching +6 before most office coffeemakers had been emptied.
- The total opened at 230.5 and fell throughout Tuesday, valleying at 228.5 before settling at 229.5 on Wednesday.
Warriors vs Celtics trend
Oddly, while Boston is eight games into the season, it has played only two games at home. Notably, it went 2-0 ATS as a multi-bucket favorite in those games. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Celtics.
How to watch Warriors vs Celtics
| Location: | TD Garden, Boston, MA |
| Date: | Wednesday, 11-6-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN |
Warriors vs Celtics latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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