Warriors vs Jazz Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Utah can't contain opposing point guards, which will open the door for Stephen Curry to light things up from all angles, making the Over 34.5 PRAs our best bet for Warriors vs. Jazz.

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst
Feb 5, 2025 • 12:11 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
UTA
40 %
GS
60 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Stephen Curry Over 34.5 pts+reb+ast (-110) Stephen Curry Over 34.5 pts+reb+ast (-110)
Read Analysis
Steph Curry Golden State Warriors NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The Golden State Warriors and Utah Jazz square off for the third and final time this season when they clash at Delta Center on Wednesday, February 5.

 Golden State won the last two by double digits, including a 41-point blowout in Salt Lake City. The shorthanded Jazz will look to get back on track in front of the home crowd.

My Warriors vs. Jazz predictions expect Steph Curry and Keyonte George to stuff the stat sheet and for Walker Kessler to crash the glass. Read my NBA picks to see why you should take the Over on three NBA player props.

Warriors vs Jazz prediction

My best bet
Stephen Curry Over 34.5 points + rebounds + assists (-110 at bet365)

My analysis
The 2024-25 campaign has been disappointing for Stephen Curry from a production standpoint. He’s averaging just 32.9 PRAs, and he’s failed to hit the Over on this line in seven straight. Despite his recent and season-long struggles, Curry is in a great place to cash this prop tonight at Delta Center.

The Golden State Warriors star point guard has hit the Over on this line in 15 of 40 games overall, including seven of 18 on the road. He’s averaged slightly more PRAs on the road than at Chase Center and, after losing three of four, we expect him to be aggressive against a flailing Utah Jazz team.

Curry finished with just 27 PRAs across 27 minutes against the Jazz in his first matchup of the season, but that contest was a blowout. We expect the score to be closer tonight, which means Curry should see north of 30 minutes. 

This season, the Jazz have allowed opposing PGs to average 41.9 PRAs, surrendering the fourth-most points and second-most assists. Over the last seven, Utah has given up 46.4 PRAs to PGs and the third-most points. The Jazz sport the third-worst defensive rating in the Association, and Utah has given up 118.4 points per game.

Curry has been in a slump over his last seven, shooting just 37.2% from the field and 30.8% from beyond the arc. Utah has allowed the fifth-highest shooting percentage (47.6) and the second-most made three-pointers (14.3) this season. I fully expect Curry to take advantage of a generous defense, break out of his slump, and guide his team to a much-needed victory in Salt Lake City.

Warriors vs Jazz same-game parlay

Stephen Curry Over 34.5 pts+reb+ast

Walker Kessler Over 11.5 rebounds

Keyonte George Over 23.5 pts+ast


Walker Kessler is having the best season of his young career, averaging 11.5 rebounds across 38 appearances. He’s pulled down at least 12 rebounds in two straight and four of six, reaching that mark 18 times overall. Over the last seven games, Golden State has allowed the fifth-most rebounds to opposing centers at 18.7.

With the “Young Bull” Collin Sexton out tonight, expect Keyonte George to handle more work as a scorer and facilitator. He’s averaging 22 points+assists this season, but he’s finished with 30 and 32 in two games with Sexton sidelined.

Over the last seven, the Warriors have allowed opposing SGs to average the fourth-most assists at 6.1. Expect George to be productive as a playmaker in this favorable home matchup.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Warriors vs Jazz odds

Warriors vs Jazz live odds

Warriors vs Jazz opening odds

  • Spread: Golden State -6.5 (-110) | Utah +6.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Golden State -270 | Utah +220
  • Over/Under: Over 231.5 (-110) | Under 231.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of bet365

Warriors vs Jazz spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Golden State has covered in four of its last six, and the team is 24-24-1 ATS this season. 
  • Despite losing nine of its last 10, Utah has covered the spread five times in that span.
  • The Warriors have hit the Over in four of six but are 23-26 to the Under this season.
  • The Jazz have hit the Over in five of 10 and 26 of 4.

Warriors vs Jazz trend

The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 away games (+13.60 Units / 29% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Jazz.

How to watch Warriors vs Jazz

Location Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah
Date Wednesday, 2-5-2025
Tip-off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV NBCSBA, KJZZ, NBAC

Warriors vs Jazz latest injuries

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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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