The Golden State Warriors head to the Toyota Center tonight to take on the Houston Rockets.
Golden State coach Steve Kerr has been noncommittal about playing key veterans on a back-to-back but my Warriors vs Rockets predictions expect them to suit up and cover as road underdogs.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this Western Conference clash on Thursday, February 13 at 8 p.m. ET on TNT.
Warriors vs Rockets prediction
My best bet
Warriors +6 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
It's been an up-and-down season for the Golden State Warriors who are 27-27. However, Draymond Green returned from a two-week absence earlier this month and they added Jimmy Butler at the trade deadline. Since trading for Butler, the Dubs picked up double-digit wins against the Chicago Bulls and Milwaukee Bucks before falling short in Dallas last night.
That game against Dallas wrapped up early this morning, giving the Dubs a 2 a.m. flight to Houston and drawing the ire of coach Steve Kerr. Kerr lambasted the scheduling and indicated that he wasn't sure if he'd play veterans Steph Curry, Butler, and Green tonight.
That's why we've seen this spread jump from the Houston Rockets -1 to -6, but until I see a stronger indication that the Warriors will actually rest those players, that number is too steep.
The Rockets are fourth in the West with a 34-20 mark but things haven't looked great lately.
They snapped a six-game losing streak by winning their last two but they are still just 2-7 against the spread in their last nine. Likewise, while the Rockets are 17-8 SU in Houston this season, they are just 9-12 ATS as a home favorite.
Over the last 10 games, the Rockets are just 22nd in the NBA in offensive rating (111.6) while ranking 14th in defensive rating (113.8). That's enough for me to take the points with the visitors here.
Warriors vs Rockets same-game parlay
Warriors +6.5
Jimmy Butler Over 19.5 points
Alperen Sengun Over 19.5 points
Despite Kerr hinting that Curry and Butler might be rested today, books have released player props for both stars. That gives us an obvious parlay piece since the Dubs clearly have a much better chance of covering with Butler in the lineup. Butler has scored 20+ points in all three of his games with the Warriors while adding 5.5 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game.
The biggest weakness in the Warriors lineup is at center where Trayce-Jackson Davis has fallen out of the rotation. Second-round rookie Quinten Post is now starting and Kevon Looney's coming off the bench. Regardless of who is playing in the middle out of those three, Rockets center Alperen Sengun will have an appealing matchup.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365's early win payout
Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!
Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365's offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Warriors vs Rockets odds
Warriors vs Rockets live odds
Warriors vs Rockets opening odds
- Spread: Golden State +1 (-110) | Houston -1 (-110)
- Moneyline: Golden State -105 | Houston -115
- Over/Under: Over 220.5 (-110) | Under 220.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Warriors vs Rockets spread and Over/Under analysis
- The spread opened at Houston -1 but after Kerr's statements to the media following last night's game the line re-opened at -7.
- Likewise, the total initially opened at 220.5 before re-opening at 217 and has since ticked up to 218.5.
- These teams have clashed three times this season with the Warriors winning twice and their only defeat coming by a single point.
- The Rockets will continue to be without PG Fred VanVleet until after the All-Star break while PF Jabari Smith Jr. is also sidelined.
Warriors vs Rockets trend
The Warriors are 8-1 SU and ATS in the last nine meetings between these teams. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Rockets.
How to watch Warriors vs Rockets
| Location | Toyota Center, Houston, Texas |
| Date | Thursday, 2-13-2025 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | TNT, truTV, Max |
Warriors vs Rockets latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
