The Southwest Athletic Conference Championship is tonight in Atlanta, Georgia, and a berth into the NCAA Tournament is up for grabs between the Alabama State Hornets and the Jackson State Tigers.
Both teams like to launch up shots, but they do so at a poor percentage. Find out why my Alabama State vs. Jackson State predictions are bullish on a particular rebounder in my college basketball picks for Saturday, March 15.
Who will win Alabama State vs Jackson State?
Jackson State won their only matchup this season at home, 77-70. The Tigers took an interesting approach to their non-conference schedule by playing all road games against tougher opponents.
That 0-13 start clearly paid off once they got to face lesser opponents in conference play with a 14-4 record. They have been dominating this tournament thus far, and I expect them to continue with another win and punch their ticket to the NCAA Tournament.
Alabama State vs Jackson State prediction
My best bet: Romelle Mansel Over 7.5 rebounds (-115 at bet365)
The last time these two faced off, there were 65 total missed shots between the two teams. That was not an anomaly for either program.
The Alabama State Hornets shoot 40.9% on the season from the field, which ranks 347th, and the Jackson State Tigers shoot 42.3% (314th).
Those bad percentages are boosted by the fact that both teams like to play fast and get shots up. The Hornets rank 134th in KenPom’s adjusted tempo and take 63.4 shot attempts per game, which ranks 17th nationally.
The Tigers rank 110th in adjusted tempo and average 72.7 possessions per game (56th).
Alabama State allows their opponents to average 39.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 358th. They also have a 47.1% rebound percentage, ranking 312th. This is where I will look at the best rebounder for Jackson State to have a big game: Romelle Mansel.
Mansel averages 6.9 rebounds per game on the season and in conference play. He had nine rebounds in the semifinal game against Bethune-Cookman. He also had nine rebounds in the last matchup with Alabama State.
The sixth-year senior has plenty of experience and should show up in their most important game of the season. He has gotten at least eight rebounds in five of his last eight games and there will be plenty of opportunities for him to do so again tonight.
Alabama State vs Jackson State same-game parlay (SGP)
Romelle Mansel Over 7.5 rebounds
T.J. Madlock Over 8.5 rebounds
C.J. Hines Over 1.5 made threes
To go with our best bet, I am going to take a rebounder for Alabama State as well. The Tigers rank 286th in the country in rebounds allowed, so we will also take T.J. Madlock to go Over his total of 8.5.
He averages 7.8 rebounds per game in conference play and has gotten at least nine boards in three of his past four games.
Finally, I am going to add C.J. Hines to hit at least two threes. The Alabama State guard shot 2/5 from deep in their last matchup with Jackson State.
The Tigers allow their opponents 19.9 three-point attempts per game and to shoot 32.1% from deep.
Hines has made at least two threes in 10 of his last 14 games.
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Alabama State vs Jackson State odds
Alabama State vs Jackson State live odds
Alabama State vs Jackson State opening odds
- Spread: Alabama State +3.5 (-110) | Jackson State -3.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Alabama State (+125) | Jackson State (-155)
- Over/Under: Over 139.5 (-110) | Under 139.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Alabama State vs Jackson State betting trend to know
Jackson State have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 26 games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Alabama State vs. Jackson State.
How to watch Alabama State vs Jackson State
| Location | Gateway Center, College Park, GA |
| Date | Saturday, 3-15-2025 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPNU |
Alabama State vs Jackson State key injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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