Arizona vs Iowa State Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Tamin Lipsey has been crashing the boards, and our expert college basketball predictions expect that trend to continue tonight against Arizona.

Jeremy Jones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Jeremy Jones • Betting Analyst
Mar 1, 2025 • 12:49 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Tamin Lipsey of Iowa State Cyclones CBB
Photo By - Imagn Images.

These two Big 12 top contenders have been going in. different directions recently.

However, the Iowa State Cyclones look to be fully healthy again as they take on the Arizona Wildcats in Ames, Iowa.

The Wildcats won the first matchup this season at home in overtime.

Find out why my Arizona vs. Iowa State predictions see a similar style game with a likely different result in my college basketball picks for Saturday, March 1.

Arizona vs Iowa State prediction

My best bet
Tamin Lipsey Over 3.5 rebounds (-115 at bet365)

My analysis
These two teams met back in late January in Tucson. The Arizona Wildcats won that game in overtime in a fast-paced game with plenty of shots going up.

I think the pace is likely to continue over to this second matchup as well.

The Wildcats rank 54th in field goal attempts, 310th in field goal attempts allowed, and 53rd in possessions per game. They are also 51st in KenPom’s adjusted tempo.

Meanwhile, the Iowa State Cyclones rank 96th in possessions per game and 101st in adjusted tempo.

With a total of 131 shots in the last game and 74 combined misses, there were plenty of rebounding opportunities.

Both teams are good rebounding teams, with the Wildcats ranked 11th in rebounding percentage and the Cyclones ranked 37th. 

Arizona had 36 rebounds, and Iowa State had 35 rebounds in the last matchup.

The big advantage for the Cyclones could be on the offensive glass. The Wildcats rank 245th in offensive boards allowed despite being ranked 72nd in total rebounds allowed.

The Cyclones had 11 offensive boards in the last matchup. Two of those came from guard Tamin Lipsey.

Tamin Lipsey averages 3.1 rebounds per game in Big 12 play and 1.0 offensive boards per game.

He had four rebounds in the last matchup and has gotten at least four rebounds in four of his last five games and seven of his 17 Big 12 games. 

He also had at least one offensive board in 11 of those 17 conference games.

The biggest strength for the Iowa State defense is their two-point defense and the Wildcats rely heavily on scoring from inside the arc.

The opportunity for both offensive and defensive boards will be there for Lipsey. 

I like his odds of getting to at least four in another game and for him to stay hot in that category.

Arizona vs Iowa State same-game parlay (SGP)

Tamin Lipsey Over 3.5 rebounds

Iowa State -5.5

Milan Momcilovic Over 1.5 threes


To go with our best bet, I am going to take the Cyclones to cover the spread here at home. They are 14-1 at home this season and especially deadly when they are fully healthy as they will be today.

They have a similar offense to Arizona but a much better defense.  

Finally, I am going to add Iowa State forward Milan Momcilovic to make at least two threes.

Mom's missed the last game with Arizona, but the Wildcats allow 26.0 three-point attempts per game, and the Cyclones shot 7/24 from deep. 

Mom averages 5.6 three-point attempts per game, and I like his chances of getting two makes here.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Arizona vs Iowa State odds

Arizona vs Iowa State live odds

Arizona vs Iowa State opening odds

  • Spread: Arizona +6.5 (-110) | Iowa State -6.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Arizona XX | Iowa State XX
  • Over/Under: Over 150.5 (-110) | Under 150.5 (-110)

Odds courtesy of bet365

Arizona vs Iowa State betting trend to know

Iowa State has covered the Spread in 22 of their last 37 games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Arizona vs. Iowa State.

How to watch Arizona vs Iowa State

Location Hilton Coliseum, Ames, IA
Date Saturday, 3-1-2025
Tip-off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Arizona vs Iowa State key injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Jeremy Jones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jeremy Jones was born and raised in Lexington, Kentucky and has been a massive Wildcats fans since the moment he came into the world. He wrote his first sports article at the tender age of 11 after attending a local AHL hockey game, and a few years later was writing professionally for sites such as Sports Rants, BetAmerica, and TwinSpires.

Jeremy holds a Masters in Sports Administration from Eastern Kentucky University and utilizes all seven betting options available in Kentucky to shop for odds and promos and find the greatest EV in every wager he places.

His best piece of sports betting advice is to stick to consistent unit sizes for every wager. He acknowledges there will occasionally be a bet that has a huge EV and you can play multiple units in one bet, but cautions against raising your unit size, because you can quickly lose all your winnings if you hit a minor cold streak.

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