Indiana vs Notre Dame Picks and Predictions: Hoosiers Can Take Advantage of Inconsistent Fighting Irish

Notre Dame may be fresh off a huge win against Kentucky, but they've been extremely inconsistent all season long, and the Hoosiers may have all the tools needed to take them down — as our college basketball betting preview suggests.

Jason Radowitz - Contributor at Covers.com
Dec 18, 2021 • 09:49 ET • 3 min read
Trayce Jackson-Davis Indiana Hoosiers college basketball
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Indiana Hoosiers will take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the Gainbridge Fieldhouse for the Crossroads Classic.  

Indiana has just two losses on the year, and both were extremely close until the final whistle. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has struggled and has a 4-4 record on the year. 

Still, Notre Dame just knocked off Kentucky last week and will look to use that win as momentum against Indiana. 

Here are our picks and predictions for the crossroads game between the Indiana Hoosiers and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. 

Indiana vs Notre Dame odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

The Indiana Hoosiers are currently a 4-point favorite after opening as a 3.5-point favorite. You can currently find 4.5’s floating around at some outlets as well. 

Meanwhile, the total opened at 137.5 and has been bet up to as high as 138.5. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

Indiana vs Notre Dame predictions

Predictions made on 12/18/2021 at 12:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Indiana vs Notre Dame game info

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
Date: Saturday, December 18, 2021
Tip-off: 2:30 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Indiana at Notre Dame betting preview

Injuries

Indiana: Logan Duncomb C (Out), Trey Galloway G (Out).
Notre Dame: Robby Carmody G (Out).

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Fighting Irish are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a SU win. Find more NCAA betting trends for Indiana vs. Notre Dame.

Indiana vs Notre Dame picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have already lost to four quality teams this year. Despite beating Kentucky, they haven’t looked all that great this season. 

Notre Dame is shooting an effective field goal percentage of 48.6% while also shooting 29.9% from long range on the year. The Fighting Irish are still solid inside, scoring 51.6% of buckets, however, Indiana has held opponents to a 40.1% effective field goal percentage. 

That’s because teams are shooting just 38.5% inside the arc against Indiana this season. The Hoosiers are currently the best team in the nation defending the two-point shot. On top of that, they’re limiting offensive rebounds to just 22.7%. 

On the other hand, Notre Dame has struggled defensively, holding teams to just a 52.3% effective field goal percentage. The Fighting Irish aren’t a huge threat when it comes to forcing turnovers and are allowing teams to shoot 38.8% from downtown on the season. 

That’s going to be helpful, knowing Indiana is shooting 37% from behind the arc this season. 

Therefore, I like Indiana to get quality looks and score at a high rate against Notre Dame. The Hoosiers have a very solid defense this season and Notre Dame doesn’t really have the pieces to beat Indiana. 

Prediction: Indiana -4 (-110)

I just talked about how great Indiana’s defense has been this year. While Notre Dame can limit turnovers, it’s going to be hard for the Fighting Irish to get quality looks in this game. 

The Fighting Irish take a lot of threes and struggle to earn offensive rebounds. There will be plenty of misses and very few second-chance points for Notre Dame. Meanwhile, Indiana is a much better shooting team, but it might not matter in this spot. 

I’ll grab the Under here. 

Prediction: Under 138.5 (-110)

For my best bet, I still like Indiana to cover the small number on a neutral court. Indiana’s defense has been spectacular, and Notre Dame has just been inconsistent this season. 

Notre Dame has scored just 68.6 points per game on the year and that number should get lower after facing a very good defensive Indiana team.

If Notre Dame wants to win this game, they’ll have to shoot lights out from long range, something I don’t see happening against Indiana’s perimeter defense. 

Pick: Indiana -4 (-110)

College basketball parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Indiana vs. Notre Dame picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college basketball parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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