It's Final Four weekend, and we're looking at some star players to snag the best bets available.
We'll be focusing on Johnell Davis in particular, as his Florida Atlantic team has March Madness odds and is set to take on fellow cinderella San Diego State in Houston.
For more March Madness picks, be sure to check out Rohit Ponnaiya's full betting analysis for Florida Atlantic vs. San Diego State.
Johnell Davis Final Four prop picks
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Davis Under 1.5 assists (-130 at DraftKings)
The most similar defense to San Diego State that Florida-Atlantic has faced thus far would be Tennessee. The Vols boasted the best defensive efficiency in the country (a stat that the Aztecs also rank very high in), and also played a physical brand of defense similar to the Aztecs.
In addition to that, this is another team that will look to cut off the snake of the Owls' offense. More often than not, that snake is Davis.
We will see Davis featured more off the ball in this matchup to utilize his scoring ability and, more importantly, his cutting ability. The Aztecs are a heavy-ball-pressure team, so it's unlikely Davis will initiate the offense too often on Saturday.
That's why he ended with just one assist against Tennessee, and I'd expect something similar here.
Davis Over 5.5 rebounds (-115 at DraftKings)
I'll be taking advantage of some market inefficiency here, as this is price juiced more heavily at other spots (-140 at FanDuel).
Davis is very much a bulldog, and rebounds seem to find him. It happened against the previously mentioned Tennessee team when he came down with six boards, and it's been a story throughout this tournament.
Davis has exceeded this number in four of his last five games and is averaging 7.6 rebounds per contest in the tournament. While San Diego State isn't a bad defensive rebounding team, it has had its issues allowing second-chance scores.
The Aztecs rank in the bottom 15% of put-back defense, and this is something that FAU head coach Dusty May will be looking to exploit.
No one does it more effectively for the Owls than Davis, so back him to cash this prop.
