N.C. State vs Florida State Odds, Picks and Predictions: Wolfpack Mentality

If the North Carolina State Wolfpack are going to better their position for the ACC postseason, they’ll need to be road warriors. 

They play three of their final four games away from home, starting with a trip to Tallahassee tonight. The college basketball odds have North Carolina State as a short road underdog visiting the Florida State Seminoles.

The Noles hope home court can stop them from sliding down the conference standings, having won just twice in their last eight games overall (2-5-1 ATS). As for NC State, it’s won four of the last seven (4-3 ATS) but the Wolfpack were at home for five of those contests. 

I break down the spread and Over/Under total for Tuesday’s tilt and give my best college basketball picks and predictions for North Carolina State at Florida State on February 27.

NC State vs Florida State best odds

NC State vs Florida State picks and predictions

North Carolina State guard DJ Horne is the engine behind the Wolfpack’s late-season push. 

The senior was averaging 27.5 points in the six games before Saturday’s win against Boston College but cooled off with only 13 points on 6-for-15 shooting, which included a 1-for-7 day from beyond the arc.

"I was shocked he didn't put up 30 tonight,” NC State head coach Kevin Keatts told the media of Horne’s recent efforts. “I don't know if I've seen a guy who has played as well as he has in a six-game period."

Horne played only 29 minutes against the Eagles, which was a significant decrease in his workload compared to his floor time during that sizzling six-game span (averaging more than 36 minutes). He attempted only 15 shots as well, versus 20, 21, and 22 FGAs over the three previous games.

That should have him fresh for tonight’s trip to Tallahassee. And that’s a good thing considering the pace of play the Florida State Seminoles inject into its matchups. 

The Seminoles run the fastest tempo in the ACC, which is fine by Horne. He’s had some of his biggest outputs in fast-paced games, versus Syracuse, Louisville, and Miami. Horne should also thrive from beyond the arc against Florida State. 

The Noles allow opponents to shoot 37.8% from distance inside the Donald L. Tucker Center, which pans out to almost nine 3-point makes allowed at home. Before Saturday’s 1-for-7 effort from outside, Horne hit 27 of 52 shots from 3-point range in that six-game streak (52%). 

Player projections for Horne have his scoring output past 22 points tonight while NCAA basketball player props post his point total at 20.5 Over/Under. Given the possible pace of this game and FSU’s soft perimeter defense, the Wolfpack’s top gun has a high ceiling on the scoreboard.

My best bet: DJ Horne Over 20.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

NC State vs Florida State same-game parlay

DJ Horne Over 20.5 Points

DJ Horne Over 2.5 3-Pointers

NC State team total Over 74.5 points

33% boost available

+350 +465 at DraftKings

Horne’s quiet day versus Boston College is keeping his scoring prop down. He doesn’t shrink on the road and will fill it up from outside.

Florida State is soft on the outside with visitors making almost nine triples per game. Horne was on fire from beyond the arc this month and had made three or more from distance in nine straight games before Saturday’s 1-for-7 outing.

The Noles’ up-tempo play will turn up the intensity and NC State will do damage from outside, leading to another strong offensive effort. The Wolfpack have gone past this number in four straight games.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

NC State vs Florida State spread and Over/Under analysis

Florida State opened as a 2-point home favorite and that line has ticked up to -2.5 as of Tuesday afternoon. Covers Consensus shows 69% of early picks laying the short spread with the home team.

The Seminoles have won only twice in their last eight games with both victories coming against Boston College. Florida State’s woes have stemmed from a downtick in offensive output, as FSU has averaged just over 71 points per game in the past six contests. 

Head coach Leonard Hamilton points to the lack of scoring depth for the Seminoles. They have just three players put up 10 or more points per night and when those scorers go cold, FSU can’t find production off the bench. The Noles average just over 73 points per home game despite playing the quickest tempo in the ACC. They’ve gone 6-8-1 ATS as a host this season.

North Carolina State rebounded from a bad loss to Syracuse thanks to Boston College showing up on the schedule this weekend. The Wolfpack picked up their third ATS win in the last four games, but the road hasn’t been profitable for bettors with NC State owning a 3-4-1 ATS mark as a visitor.

Tonight’s total opened at 150 points and has jumped to 151.5 with Covers Consensus showing 58% of picks on the Over as of Tuesday afternoon.

Florida State plays a quick tempo on offense, which has helped build a 15-11 Over/Under record, including a 9-6 O/U count inside the Donald L. Tucker Center. The Seminoles’ recent scoring woes have led to a 1-2 O/U mark in the past three games heading into Tuesday.

North Carolina State is 16-10-1 O/U on the season, but just 4-4 O/U as a visitor. The Wolfpack average just over 72 points away from home with an effective field goal rate of just 47.3% on the road. They are, however, riding a four-game Over streak into tonight.

NC State vs Florida State betting trend to know

North Carolina State has gone Over its team total in 18 of its last 31 games, for +3.30 units of profit. Find more college basketball betting trends for NC State vs. Florida State.

NC State vs Florida State game info

NC State vs Florida State key injuries

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