Duke will look to maintain its first-place standing as Stanford visits.
The Blue Devils finally dropped a conference game at Clemson last weekend. It was quite an entertaining game in which both teams had moments, but the Tigers got a signature six-point lead in the end.
Duke would rebound, though; they took care of another West Coast team in California midweek by 21, even though they failed to cover.
The Cardinal have had a decent start to their first season in the ACC but will come into this game amid a slump as losers of three of the last four.
I don't expect that to change here.
Read on for my Duke vs. Stanford predictions and college basketball picks for Saturday, February 15th.
Stanford vs Duke prediction
My best bet
Tyrese Proctor Over 1.5 made threes (-130 at bet365)
My analysis
I understand much of the market movement on this game. The steam to the Over makes sense, and the stream towards the Stanford Cardinals makes sense.
However, I don't understand how Tyrese Proctor's three-point total has remained the same over these last few games, given the volume he's started to get from deep. That leads me to my best bet of taking him over 1.5 threes.
Proctor has been unlocked over the last few games and becomes vital to the Duke Blue Devils point of attack. Part of that may be teams gathering more film on Cooper Flagg and furthering their game plans to stop him.
It also may be by design. Duke's coaching staff knows the true testament to how deep it can go in March will be based on its good guard play. Perhaps that's caused them to lean on it more. Regardless, the volume for Proctor from deep over the last few games has been way up:
Against California, he went 3-6 from deep.
Against Clemson, he went 4-8 from deep.
Against Syracuse, he went 4-10 from deep.
He's taken more threes over the last three games combined than the previous five combined before that. That may not be accurately reflected in this number.
My confidence is so high from a volume perspective that it's forced me to make this a two-unit play.
The volume is one thing, but the matchup is quite good, too.
Some of the deeper underlying numbers show that Stanford has struggled to defend players who create their own shots, specifically those who create threes for themselves.
The Cardinal have allowed 1.06 points per possession on dribble jumpers, which is near the bottom of the conference.
Those plays are "three-point shots off the dribble, IG isos, or players going under screens."
Few players in the ACC (outside of Louisville's Reyne Smith) are better equipped to attack an issue like this than Proctor.
Cooper Flagg pick: Cooper Connects
My best bet
Cooper Flagg Over 1.5 made threes (+140 at bet365)
My analysis
I'll take the bait in what is likely the only play you'll find on Flagg today that is not an alternate line and money.
The handicap follows the same logic as our best bet. Stanford has struggled to defend against players who create their own shots this season.
I don't need to tell you this, but Flagg knows how to do that. As teams sink the paint on him more and more, he's taken more deep ones lately, with three of his last four games seeing four or more three attempts.
Stanford vs Duke same-game parlay (SGP)
Tyrese Proctor Over 1.5 made threes
Over 140.5
We're pairing my best bet with the Over. Even after the movement, I see a slight value with my projected number of 142.
I've talked plenty about the offensive advantage that Duke has simply with multiple options of players that can create their shots.
However, Stanford has a direct half-court advantage.
One of the few weak points of Duke defensively is when you can drag their bigs from the rim and find your bigs for cutting options. They've just below average in defending plays defined as "big cuts and rolls."
Stanford can score here, as they've racked up just over a point per possession on such sets this season. In addition, we should see a favorable pace for scoring here, too.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365's early win payout
Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game CBB moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your school goes up by 18+ points!
Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365's offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Stanford vs Duke odds
Stanford vs Duke live odds
Stanford vs Duke opening odds
- Spread: Stanford +20 (-110) | Duke -20 (-110)
- Moneyline: Stanford (+1650) | Duke (-6601)
- Over/Under: Over 139.5 (-110) | Under 139.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of bet365
Stanford vs Duke betting trend to know
Duke has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+10.10 Units / 1% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Stanford vs. Duke.
How to watch Stanford vs Duke
| Location | Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC |
| Date | Saturday, 2-15-2025 |
| Tip-off | 4:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Stanford vs Duke key injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
