LSU vs Texas A&M Player Props & Best Bets: Nussmeier Lets It Fly in College Station

A battle between top SEC programs goes down on Saturday, and Phil Naessens has you covered with his favorite prop picks for the highly-anticipated matchup at Kyle Field.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Oct 25, 2024 • 16:55 ET • 4 min read
Garrett Nussmeier LSU Tigers NCAAF
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Get set for one of the most important SEC matchups of the season when the LSU Tigers travel to the Lone Star State for a clash with the Texas A&M Aggies.

This conference battle features many highly skilled offensive players, and my LSU vs. Texas A&M props expect plenty of offense from key stars. Find out more in my college football picks for Saturday, October 26.

Make sure to also check out Douglas Farmer’s expert LSU vs. Texas A&M predictions before kickoff!

LSU vs Texas A&M props for Week 9

Picks made on 10-26.
Read full analysis of each pick.

LSU vs Texas A&M college football player props

Prop bet #1: Conner Weigman Over 15.5 rushing yards

-115 at BetMGM

Texas A&M Aggies quarterback Conner Wiegman scampered for 14 yards on three attempts last week at Mississippi State and has cleared his prop number in three of his four starts this season.

Wiegman may be forced to run the football against the LSU Tigers, as he now goes up against an elite front that boasts 24 sacks on the year. Throwing the football is how to beat LSU, and the Tigers' constant pressure will force him to run more often than he typically does. 

Prop bet #2: Garrett Nussmeier Over 275.5 passing yards

-115 at BetMGM

LSU signal-caller Garrett Nussmeier has become a force in the SEC. Nussmeier's 2,222 passing yards rank seventh in the nation, and he’s fueled those numbers by slinging the football for 285+ yards in six of seven starts. 

Texas A&M allows an average of 11.7 yards per completion, and Nussmeier has a loaded receiving corps that features four wideouts with over 27 receptions each. Boasting a 65% completion rate, the Tigers pivot should come out firing early and carve up the Aggies' defense. 

Prop bet #3: Caden Durham Over 56.5 rushing yards 

-115 at BetMGM

LSU freshman running back Caden Durham has been spectacular during his frosh season, busting loose for 382 rushing yards with six touchdowns. Durham most recently scampered for 101 yards and three TDs last week against Arkansas, marking the third time he’s cleared at least 98 yards in six games. 

The Aggies allow 3.76 yards per carry, last surrendering 136 to Mississippi State during Week 8. Durham averages 6.2 yards per attempt, and I expect to see LSU deploy their RB in the same manner as last time.

Considering A&M's rushing defense has only coughed up five rushing TDs in 2024, I'm playing Durham’s rushing prop rather than his anytime TD market.

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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