Coming off an upset loss that may cost Colorado a spot in the College Football Playoff, the Buffaloes look to close out their regular season against a struggling Oklahoma State program.
With the Cowboys 0-8 in Big 12 play, I’m expecting the Buffaloes’ offensive stars to dominate one of the worst defenses in the country in my Oklahoma State vs. Colorado player props and college football picks for Friday, November 29.
Oklahoma State vs Colorado props for Week 14
Travis Hunter Over 103.5 receiving yards (-115 at BetMGM)- Shedeur Sanders Over 334.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM)
Ollie Gordon Over 81.5 rushing yards (-115 at BetMGM)
Picks made on 11-29.
Read full analysis of each pick.
Oklahoma State vs Colorado college football player props
Prop bet #1: Travis Hunter Over 103.5 receiving yards
It’s almost a foregone conclusion that Travis Hunter will win the Heisman. The potential No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft has Heisman Trophy odds as short as -1000 to bring home college football’s top honor, implying a 90.91% probability he’ll be hoisting it.
Hunter has been an unstoppable force at wide receiver this season and sits Top 10 in the country in receiving yards (1,036) while averaging 94.1 receiving yards per game, despite exiting both the Kansas State and Arizona games early.
In his other nine games, he’s put up at least 104 receiving yards five times. He’s also coming off a dominant showing against Kansas with 125 yards and two scores on eight receptions.
Needing a win to at least have a chance to qualify for the Big 12 Championship, expect Pat Shurmur to feed his top playmaker. And you already know Shedeur Sanders will want to be looking in the direction of his WR1.
Quarterbacks have the 11th-best NFL QB rating in the country this season (141.6) when throwing Hunter’s way, per PFF. Plus, Sanders is among the best QBs in the country, and that will only help Hunter hit the Over on this number.
Oklahoma State’s defense doesn’t stand a chance with Hunter and Sanders being the key reason the Colorado Buffaloes are 25th in EPA per dropback this season. Meanwhile, the Pokes are just 102nd in EPA per dropback on defense and giving up 34.1 points per game, 118th out of 134 teams.
Both Hunter and Sanders are in for massive outings against arguably the worst defense in the Power 4.
Prop bet #2: Shedeur Sanders Over 334.5 passing yards
If Hunter’s eating, you just know Sanders is going to be putting up numbers that have social media abuzz. He’s already fifth in the country in passing yards (3,488) and has thrown for 335-plus yards in four games.
Normally, I’d probably take the Under on a number this high, but Oklahoma State has a generationally bad defense, and that’s saying something given the history of Big 12 defenses. The Cowboys are allowing the second-most yards per game in the country and the most in the Power 4 (503.3).
That includes giving up the sixth-most passing yards per game in the nation (271.7), and while the Pokes are even worse at stopping the run, we all know Colorado would much rather put the ball in the air than on the ground. That’s going to help this Over hit for Sanders.
He’s got a chance to be the top QB taken in April for a reason, and he’s proving why each week. Sanders is sixth in the country in big-time throws (22) and sixth in adjusted completion rate (81.9%), per PFF.
Deion’s son also rarely puts the ball in conflict, which will come in handy for sustaining drives and running up his passing yard numbers. He’s the only QB in the country with 17-plus big-time throws and fewer than eight turnover-worthy plays (5).
It certainly helps that he’s surrounded with NFL pass catchers, too. Beyond Hunter, he has LaJohntay Wester, Will Sheppard, and Drelon Miller making plays every week.
There’s just no way Mike Gundy’s defense stands a chance at containing Hunter and Sanders.
Prop bet #3: Ollie Gordon Over 81.5 rushing yards
The best shot Oklahoma State has at winning its first Big 12 game of the season is if Ollie Gordon continues to look more like the Heisman contender he’d been tabbed as in the summer.
After a slow start to the season, Gordon has come alive in recent weeks. He topped 81.5 rushing yards just once over the first six games of the season while averaging a measly 64 rushing yards per game.
However, in his last five games, he’s gone Over 81.5 rushing yards three times while averaging 97.2 rushing yards per game. He’s also coming off his most successful outing of the season with 156 rushing yards and three scores on just 15 carries against Texas Tech.
While his season has been a disappointment overall, Gordon has been running like a madman for over a month and is now top 40 in the country in rushing yards after contact (611), missed tackles forced (41), and first down runs (49).
That tackle-breaking and big play ability will serve him well against a Colorado defense that’s just 46th in EPA per rush and allowing the sixth-most rushing yards per game in the Big 12 (156.2).
Gundy and his staff know Gordon is the best player they have, so expect him to be used like a bell cow early and often.
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