UL Monroe vs Troy Picks and Predictions for December 17

UL Monroe is an ugly 0-10 SU this season and finds itself as a nearly four-touchdown underdog against a mediocre Troy squad on Thursday night.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Dec 14, 2020 • 13:13 ET
UL Monroe Warhawks Colby Suits NCAA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Editor's Note: This game has been cancelled due to COVID-19 concerns from UL Monroe.

There's one game on the college football betting board for Thursday, a Sun Belt battle between the UL Monroe Warhawks and the Troy Trojans.

Troy has slogged through a 5-6 season but is massive 26-point home favorites against the winless Warhawks.

We break down the college football odds with our best picks and predictions for UL Monroe vs. Troy on Thursday, December 17, with kickoff at 7 p.m. ET.

UL Monroe Warhawks at Troy Trojans Betting Preview

Weather

It's expected to be a cool evening at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Alabama, with temperatures between 33 and 45 degrees, breezes reaching up to 8.5 mph and a slim four percent chance of rain. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key Injuries

UL Monroe: Corey Straughter CB (Out).
Troy: Gunnar Watson QB (Questionable).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Under is 16-5 in the Warhawks' last 21 road games. Find more NCAA betting trends for UL Monroe vs. Troy.

 

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

There's no sugar coating the Warhawks ugly 2020 season: they've gone a pathetic 0-10 SU and 3-7 ATS with an average scoring margin of minus-25.7 points per game. That said, 26 points is a lot to spot them against a mediocre team like Troy that has lost four of its last five games.

Keep in mind that UL Monroe has lost four games this year by more than 25 points but three of those opponents (Army, Liberty and Louisiana) are far better than the Trojans.

Although Troy is coming off its best performance of the year in a 38-42 loss to undefeated Coastal Carolina on Saturday, it may have lost its best offensive player in quarterback Gunnar Watson. The sophomore signal-caller has completed 70.1 percent of his passes for 237.9 passing yards per game this season but was forced out in the fourth quarter after a late hit bounced his head off the turf. If Watson is unable to suit up on a short week it will be even more difficult for a Trojans side averaging just 27 ppg to cover this massive spread. 

With the Trojans just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite and coming off just four days of rest after a heart-breaking loss, back the Warhawks on the spread. 

PREDICTION: UL Monroe +26 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

Both teams have strong Under trends going into this matchup: the Under has gone 5-1-1 in Troy's last seven games as a favorite, while also cashing in five of UL Monroe's previous six contests as a road underdog.

As badly as UL Monroe has looked on defense, it has been even worse with the ball, averaging just 305.7 yards and 16.3 points per game. The Trojans have been solid on defense, holding opponents to a respectable 25.4 ppg.

We don't see the Warhawks' woefully weak offense being able to drag this total over 60 points. 

PREDICTION: Under 60 (-110)

UL Monroe vs Troy Betting Card

  • UL Monroe +26 (-110)
  • Under 60 (-110)
NCAA Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA UL Monroe vs. Troy picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on College Football?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NCAA football point spreads, Over/Under totals, derivative bets and even prop plays as well. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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