Broncos vs Ravens Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets: Denver's Stout Defense Keeps Baltimore Under Wraps

The Baltimore Ravens' are too inconsistent to be favored by 9.5 points, and Denver will do enough to cover.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Nov 2, 2024 • 19:02 ET • 4 min read
Ja'Quan McMillan Denver Broncos
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pictured: Ja'Quan McMillan celebrates with the ball.

We have a duel of 5-3 teams when the Denver Broncos head east to take on the Baltimore Ravens.

Baltimore's offense has been elite, but our Broncos vs. Ravens predictions expect Denver's stop unit to do enough to keep this game within single digits.

Find out more in my NFL picks for Sunday, November 3. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, with the game airing on CBS.

Broncos vs Ravens prediction

My best bet
Broncos +9.5 (-110 at BetMGM)

My analysis
The Denver Broncos are far better than they’re currently getting credit for. 

They have a below-par group of pass catchers and Javonte Williams isn’t an elite running back, but Sean Payton is getting the best from them and rookie quarterback Bo Nix.

Nix’s rookie season hasn’t been pretty at times, but he’s improving in every game and seems to be refining his play quicker than most. He’s also doing the most important thing: finding ways to win.

It's not all about Nix, though. This is an effort led, primarily at least, by the defense. Denver ranks fifth in defensive DVOA, one spot higher than the 49ers, and looks set to be a problem against the Baltimore Ravens. 

Only two teams give up fewer scrimmage yards than the Broncos. They rank fourth against the pass and seventh against the run, which gives them the tools to be able to slow down the juggernaut Baltimore offense. 

Denver is 6-2 against the spread this season, while the Ravens are 4-3-1. The Ravens are a great team but they’re inconsistent. The Broncos are riding high and have the tools to be a difficult matchup for Lamar Jackson & Co.

Back Payton’s team to cover the spread, even if the upset might be a little too much for them.

Broncos vs Ravens same-game parlay

Broncos +9.5

Bo Nix Over 213.5 passing yards

Javonte Williams Over 36.5 rushing yards

Last week’s 284 passing yards against the Panthers was a season-high for Nix, and Baltimore is one of few who give up more yardage through the air than Carolina. Nix has really stepped things up in October and averaged 217.5 passing yards per game in that span. 

The Ravens are the best team in the NFL against the run but they’re still allowing 69.9 yards per game on the ground.

Williams isn’t the best by any means, but he’s had Over 36.5 rushing yards in four of his past five games. Last week he had 17 carries, his highest amount this season. If he continues to see a high volume of carries he should cover with ease.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Broncos vs Ravens odds

Broncos vs Ravens live odds

Broncos vs Ravens opening odds

  • Spread: Denver +10.5 (-110) | Baltimore -10.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Denver +425 | Baltimore -575
  • Over/Under: Over 43 | Under 43

Odds courtesy of BetMGM

Broncos vs Ravens spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Baltimore opened as a 10.5-point favorite but has since been bet down to 9.5.
  • The total opened at 43 and was bet up all the way to 46.5.

Broncos vs Ravens betting trend to know

The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in 2024. Find more NFL betting trends for Broncos vs. Ravens.

Broncos vs Ravens game info

Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Date: Sunday, 11-3, 2024
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: CBS

Broncos vs Ravens latest injuries

Broncos vs Ravens weather

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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