It’s an AFC West showdown on Sunday as the Los Angeles Chargers visit the Denver Broncos.
With both defenses shining so far, my Chargers vs Broncos predictions expect a low-scoring affair in the Mile High City.
Here are my best NFL picks for Sunday, October 13.
Chargers vs Broncos prediction
My best bet
Under 35.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
My analysis
The Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers look ugly on offense, but they remain around .500 because of their dominance on the opposite side of the ball.
Denver allows 14.6 points per contest — second in the NFL — and gives up the third-fewest total yards while sitting fifth in least passing yards and 10th in rushing yards. Sean Payton’s defense is doing their job in every single way.
So, what about the Chargers? Well, they’re actually conceding the fewest number of points in the entire league at a mere 12.5. Yes, that makes it hard to believe they're just 2-2, but it’s because they simply haven’t clicked offensively yet.
Jim Harbaugh’s squad is also Top 10 in every notable defensively category.
The total is set at a relatively low 35.5 here, which could have some skeptical about betting the Under. However, all signs point to this being a gritty affair with minimal points on the board.
Chargers vs Broncos same-game parlay
Under 35.5
Bo Nix Over 189.5 passing yards
Courtland Sutton Over 4.5 receptions
Just because it’s going to be a low-scoring game doesn’t mean Bo Nix can’t continue to improve under center.
The rookie quarterback has definitely dealt with his struggles this season, throwing more interceptions (four) than touchdowns (three). However, he’s looked better over the last few weeks.
When it comes to this bet, Nix has hit the Over in three of his last four appearances, throwing for 206 yards in Week 5, 216 in Week 3, and 246 in Week 2. Week 4 was the only real stinker.
Josh Reynolds is dealing with a hand injury and will miss Sunday’s matchup. Enter Courtland Sutton. The wideout already leads Denver with 17 receptions for 224 yards and a touchdown. With Reynolds unavailable, I expect an even bigger role in the offense for the former SMU standout.
Sutton has only hit the Over 4.5 receptions once in Week 3, but he's definitely going to be targeted a lot more by Nix because of Reynolds’ absence. This bet does make a lot of sense given the current situation.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Chargers vs Broncos odds
Chargers vs Broncos live odds
Chargers vs Broncos opening odds
- Spread: Los Angeles -2.5 (-115) | Denver +2.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Los Angeles -150 | Denver +125
- Over/Under: Over 36 (-110) | Under 36 (-110)
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Chargers vs Broncos spread and Over/Under analysis
- Eleven of the last 13 Chargers contests against AFC opponents have hit the Under.
- The Broncos are 6-2 ATS at home in their last eight games.
- The Under has hit in five of the last seven meetings between L.A. and Denver.
Chargers vs Broncos betting trend to know
The Chargers have hit the team total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.15 Units / 27% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Chargers vs. Broncos.
Chargers vs Broncos game info
| Location: | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO |
| Date: | Sunday, 10-13, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 4:05 p.m. ET |
| TV: | CBS |
Chargers vs Broncos latest injuries
Chargers vs Broncos weather
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