The Los Angeles Rams will collide with the Green Bay Packers as Week 15 of the NFL season draws to a close on Monday Night Football. It’s been a disappointing campaign for both teams, but there have been some bright spots for each side.
Specifically, Christian Watson has been a revelation for the Packers this year, and it will be interesting to see if he can keep his momentum going in this spot. Check out my three favorite Christian Watson NFL picks below.
Looking for more? You can also check out our MNF props betting card in addition to our full Monday Night Football picks.
Christian Watson MNF prop picks
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Christian Watson MNF props
Another score for Watson
Christian Watson has played only 10 games in his rookie season, but he’s among the league leaders in all-purpose touchdowns with nine. Seven have come through the air, and two were earned on the ground. I expect the North Dakota State product to cross the goal line once more on Monday night.
Watson has handled the ball a mere 30 times in 2022, meaning he’s scoring touchdowns at an eye-popping 30% rate. Only three other NFL players can say they’re recording scores at a better percentage.
Though Watson’s output may seem “fluky” at first blush, prop bettors should realize that his usage in the Green Bay Packers offense is skyrocketing. Targeted a mere 14 times by Aaron Rodgers over his first six games of the year, Watson has seen 27 balls head his way over his last four contests.
With the Packers willing to hand the ball off to Watson too, he’s that much more of a threat to tally a touchdown here. The price is more than fair.
Prop: Anytime TD (+160)
Watson can clear low receiving yards bar
Thanks to Rodgers’ willingness to target Watson more as the weeks go by, the reigning Rookie of the Month has realized a surge in receiving yardage. The line is set fairly low for him as NFL odds struggle to predict whether his upward trend will continue, and optimists should take advantage.
Watson has averaged 78.3 receiving yards over his last four games and has cleared the 47-yard plateau in each of those tilts. This comes despite his hauling in only 15 passes, so he’s making the most of his chances.
Watson has dropped only two throws in all of 2022, with one coming in Week 1. If Rodgers can find Watson for some better-quality targets, the ceiling could be fairly high for him on Monday night.
Bettors should expect the defending NFL MVP to get comfortable in this one, as the Rams pressure the opposing passer just 16% of the time, 31st in football. L.A. is also 21st in passing yards allowed per game (228.6), so Green Bay’s best bet on offense appears to be moving the ball through the air.
Prop: Over 46.5 receiving yards (-113)
Breaking off a big play
Rodgers has realized what a potent deep threat Watson can be as the weeks have progressed, so bettors should look for the pair to combine for a home run ball on MNF.
Watson is 10th in the NFL in average target depth, with Rodgers looking his way an average of 14.2 yards away from the line of scrimmage. He’s also played to an average of exactly 10 yards per target, 10th in the league.
The red-hot rookie has had two gigantic catches of 58 yards and 63 yards, respectively, over the last four games the Packers have played. Watson burned two strong pass defenses in Dallas and Philadelphia with those highlight-reel moments. That doesn’t even count the 46-yard TD run he had against the Bears in Week 14.
Watson faces a porous defense that may begin the process of mailing it in with the season effectively over. Count on him for at least one big play on Monday night.
Prop: Longest reception Over 21.5 yards (-115)
