Circa Million Week 3 Picks

Covers enters one of the top sports betting contests in the world with Adam Chernoff delivering his Week 3 picks for the Circa Million Football Contest.

Adam Chernoff - Senior Content Strategist at Covers.com
Adam Chernoff • Senior Content Strategist
Sep 23, 2021 • 18:59 ET • 4 min read

Covers is throwing an entry into the Circa Million Pro Football contest for the 2021 season and Adam Chernoff has been tabbed to make the weekly picks so let's dig right in.

Here are his five ATS picks for Week 3 of the Circa Million betting contest.

Week 2 record: 2-3
Season to date: 7-3
Place: T-345 / 4,086

Week 3 picks

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5
  • Seattle Seahawks -1.5
  • Arizona Cardinals -7.5
  • Cincinnati Bengals +3
  • Atlanta Falcons +3

Read on for a quick analysis of each play but watch the video above for more details.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5

Prior to the season and now through two weeks, while the Rams have been highly rated they haven't been on the same level as the defending champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers. So far in the 2021 season, home-field advantage has been worth roughly one point, so to pick the Rams would be to say you favor them on a neutral field. We aren't willing to go that far.

Seattle Seahawks -1.5

This is a play against a potential rift in the Vikings' locker room and the uneasy job status of head coach Mike Zimmer. With two heartbreakers in two weeks, Minnesota now must try and contain another dynamic offense after it was picked apart by the Cardinals in Week 2.

Arizona Cardinals -7.5

The Cardinals have greatly exceeded expectations on offense as Kyler Murray is emerging as a genuine MVP candidate. Against a problematic Jaguars defense, a unit incapable of getting off the field, Arizona will run them ragged in an easy win. On the other side, look for the Cardinals' defense to have another game-winning performance like in Week 1.

Cincinnati Bengals +3

Injuries continue to mount on both sides of the football for the Steelers, and now AFC North rivals the Bengals are on deck. Ben Roethlisberger sounds like, at best, he'll be severely limited due to a pectoral injury, and that compounds issues for an offense already struggling.

Atlanta Falcons +3

We're likely getting value here relative to where the market is going to close with the Falcons taking on the Giants. Atlanta put up a fight against the Buccaneers and now, against a poor Giants defense, it can really get rolling in the 2021 season. Trust the Falcons' offense to finally look the way we expected them to.

Football Contest Countdown

Before making your football contest picks, you'll want to watch the Covers Football Contest Countdown. Adam Chernoff brings on noted contest player Las Vegas Cris and they walk through the weekly odds — right after Circa releases their lines — with the goal of predicting the top consensus plays of the week. The show streams live on Thursdays at 1 p.m. ET / 10 a.m. PT each Thursday on YouTube and Twitter and is available on-demand at any time.

Where can I bet on the NFL?

You can bet on NFL odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of NFL prop odds. Head over to our best football betting sites for the top spots to bet on NFL odds in your area.

Pages related to this topic

Adam Chernoff - Covers
Senior Content Strategist

Senior Strategist for Covers. Five years setting NFL point spreads for an offshore sportsbook. Closing in on 15 years betting. My podcast The Simple Handicap has been downloaded by more than 1.25 million listeners around the world.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo