Two teams that are far out of the AFC playoff picture will look to pick up a late-season win this weekend as the Jacksonville Jaguars host the New York Jets on Sunday afternoon.
New York has disappointed bettors all season long, but its offense should have enough punch to cover, as I’ll explain in my Jets vs. Jaguars predictions.
Keep reading for a full analysis of this game in my free NFL picks for Sunday, December 15.
Jets vs Jaguars prediction
My best bet
Jets -3.5 (-110 at BetMGM)
My analysis
It’s never easy to handicap a game between two terrible teams late in the season, as issues of motivation are often hard to parse. But in this case, I think we have a clear favorite, as only one of these teams has had a pulse in recent weeks.
The New York Jets have been let down in two ways this year. First, they never got the production they expected out of Aaron Rodgers. Second, they’ve also been disappointed by a mediocre defense that was supposed to be one of the best units in the NFL.
However, Rodgers and the Jets offense have shown signs of life in recent weeks. The output has been by no means great, but New York has averaged 24.7 ppg over the past three games. That production has come against defenses that are far better against the passing game than the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are the worst in the league in yards allowed per passing attempt (7.8) and opposing QB rating (105.9). I see Rodgers having perhaps his best game of the year on Sunday, as he’s still capable of throwing the ball even if he’s nowhere near a superstar anymore.
As for that Jets defense, it’s been better than its scoring figures suggest. New York is allowing just 5.2 yards per play — third-best in the NFL — and has been above average against both the run and the pass. That’s going to be a problem for Jacksonville, which is averaging just 10.8 ppg over its last four games with Mac Jones primarily behind center.
Just because both teams have 3-10 records doesn’t mean this should be a close game. The Jets are playing better on offense and still have a capable defense – neither of which we can say for the Jaguars. I’m taking New York to cover.
Jets vs Jaguars same-game parlay
Jets -3.5
Over 40.5
Aaron Rodgers Over 231.5 passing yards
The Jets offense should get an opportunity to shine against the Jaguars, and that’s forming the basis of my same-game parlay. Along with taking New York to cover, I’m putting a bet on the Over at a low total of just 40.5 points. Not only are both teams averaging totals higher than that number, I expect the Jets to have little trouble scoring against
Jacksonville — and the Jaguars should be able to put up at least a few points against a poor New York defense to get us Over the number.
I’ll also take Rodgers to hit his passing yardage total of 231.5 yards. Rodgers has hit that number in six games this year and gets to face perhaps the weakest pass defense in the league this weekend. Three of the last four quarterbacks to face the Jaguars have gone Over this total, and Rodgers will join them on Sunday.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Jets vs Jaguars odds
Jets vs Jaguars live odds
Jets vs Jaguars opening odds
- Spread: New York -3.5 | Jacksonville -3.5
- Moneyline: New York -170 | Jacksonville +145
- Over/Under: Over 44.5 | Under 44.5
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Jets vs Jaguars spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Jets are 4-9 against the spread this season. The Jaguars have fared better, going 7-5-1 ATS on the year.
- New York is on a four-game losing streak straight up, while Jacksonville has gone 1-5 over its last six games.
- The Over has a slight edge for both teams, going 7-5-1 when the Jets play and 7-6 in Jacksonville’s games.
- New York is playing to an average total of 42.2 ppg, with the Jaguars averaging a total of 44.8 ppg.
Jets vs Jaguars betting trend to know
The Jets have scored at least 21 points in five of their last six games, while the Jaguars have scored 10 points or less in three of their last four outings. Find more NFL betting trends for Jets vs. Jaguars.
Jets vs Jaguars game info
| Location: | EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL |
| Date: | Sunday, 12-15, 2024 |
| Kickoff: | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FOX |
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