London is calling with the New York Jets taking on the Minnesota Vikings.
Minnesota looks to remain undefeated with QB Sam Darnold getting a chance for redemption against his former team, but my Jets vs. Vikings predictions don't expect a happy ending for him.
Find out why in my NFL picks for Sunday, October 6.
Jets vs Vikings props
- Allen Over 32.5 rushing yards (-120 at BetMGM)
- Hall Over 27.5 receiving yards (-110 at BetMGM)
- Darnold Under 218.5 passing yards (-115 at BetMGM)
Read full analysis of each pick.
Jets vs Vikings props
Prop bet #1: Braelon Allen Over 32.5 rushing yards
When Braelon Allen was drafted in the fourth round of this year’s draft by the New York Jets, nobody expected much; after all, this is Breece Hall’s backfield. It hasn’t quite worked out like that.
Allen only got two touches in the opening week, but his role has increased week by week, with a minimum of seven carries in each game since.
His rushing yard line stands at 32.5 yards, and I'll happily take the Over. He’s hit this mark in each of the past three games and will again. Allen had eight touches to Hall’s 10 last week, and in terms of carries, it’s pretty much a 50/50 split now.
Prop bet #2: Breece Hall Over 27.5 receiving yards
The arrival of Allen isn’t necessarily the bad news some might think for Breece Hall. He's still one of the very best RBs in the NFL, and in many ways, he’s benefitting from the emergence of his fellow back.
It’s Allen making a lot of the hard yards now, freeing Hall up for high-value touches, which should help keep him healthy. Hall is the man New York is using in the passing game, and he’s led Allen five to one in targets.
Hall's cleared 27.5 receiving yards in all but one game this season and has averaged 33.5 receiving yards per game.
Prop bet #3: Sam Darnold Under 218.5 passing yards
Sam Darnold has been the story of the season so far. It’s taken him some time, but he’s finally looking like the player the Jets thought they were drafting when they took him third overall in 2018. However, I'm betting on a bad day at the office for Darnold this Sunday.
He’s hit the 218.5 threshold in 50% of his games this season, but this is a seriously tough matchup. The Jets’ secondary is arguably the best in the NFL, and only one team has allowed fewer passing yards than them this season.
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