It's an AFC East clash at Hard Rock Stadium with the New England Patriots visiting the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, November 24.
Miami can remain in the postseason conversation with a victory over New England, and our same-game parlay NFL picks and Patriots vs. Dolphins predictions expect the home team to make it three wins in a row.
Patriots vs Dolphins SGP for Week 12
Dolphins -7.5
Tyreek Hill Over 61.5 receiving yards
Rhamondre Stevenson 50+ rushing yards
- Dolphins -7.5
- Tyreek Hill Over 61.5 receiving yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson 50+ rushing yards
There is way more on the line for the Miami Dolphins this week, and the offense has been rolling since quarterback Tua Tagovailoa's return in Week 8.
Miami has generated the third-highest EPA per play, and Tagovailoa has connected on 77.7% of these throws for a respectable 7.4 yards per attempt, leading the Dolphins to a healthy 27.8 points per game during the stretch.
Regardless of the pair of opponents, Miami has allowed just 34 points and the seventh-lowest EPA per play across its past two games. It reinforces the improved health and strides the Dolphins stop unit is making.
Turning to the second leg of this same-game parlay, the New England Patriots have surrendered the fourth-highest EPA per dropback and rank 23rd in PFF coverage grade. The Pats have also allowed the 10th-highest yards per target to opposing wide receivers.
It's a great setup for Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill, and he already recorded 69 receiving yards on six receptions and 10 targets with backup QB Tyler Huntley under center against New England in Week 5.
Hill has had consecutive monster showings against the Pats at home the past two years, too. He hauled in eight of 12 targets for 94 yards in 2022 and was even better with eight catches for 112 yards on 13 targets last season.
Finally, I’m expecting the Pats to remain committed to the rush and lean on running back Rhamondre Stevenson to keep the clock ticking. He’s run for 147 yards over the past two games with 20 carries in each, and while his 3.7 yards per rush is nothing to write home about, he’s the clear No. 1 RB and set for another busy day on the ground.
Not intended for use in MA.
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