Titans vs Dolphins MNF Prop Bets: Stopping Hill Too Tall a Task

Prop bet #1: Big play Tyreek

Tyreek Hill is known for his big play ability, and he will take every opportunity he can to shine in primetime. In his last such game, Hill had 11 catches for 88 yards in a Week 7 Sunday Night Football game against the Philadelphia Eagles. This will be the first Monday night game for Hill since he was a Chief.

The Titans defense is interesting in the fact that it does not give up a ton of points, but it does give up a ton of yards. It ranks 22nd in passing yards allowed despite ranking 10th in pass attempts allowed. The Titans allow 6.5 net yards per pass attempt, which ranks 27th in the NFL. 

Last week, the Titans allowed a 55-yard completion to the Colts, and three weeks ago allowed a 34-yard completion to the Jaguars. In fact, they have allowed at least one completion of more than 30 yards in 10 of their 12 games. Hill will be a likely candidate to add to that list. 

Tyreek has had a reception of more than 30 yards in eight of his 12 games this season. That includes three straight games and four of his last five. I like the Tyreek Hill odds of hitting another big one on Monday night.

Tyreek Hill prop: Longest reception Over 30.5 yards (-115 at bet365)

Prop bet #2: Long live the king

It’s been a down year for Derrick Henry odds bettors, but he has still barreled his way into the end zone in several games this season. He has found his stride as of late with four touchdowns on the ground in the last two weeks. 

Sometimes game script can be a problem for Henry, and this game is certainly a candidate for him to have a bad one. However, the Titans also know their chances of winning greatly increase when they get King Henry going. In games in which Henry had at least one rushing touchdown, the Titans are 3-3 with all three losses being one-possession games. 

The Dolphins do not allow a ton of rushing yards, as they rank eighth in the NFL allowing 96.6 yards per game. They also only allow 3.9 yards per rush attempt, which ranks seventh in the league. However, they have allowed 11 rushing touchdowns this year, and that ranks 18th in the NFL.

This pick will likely need to happen early, and you may be able to find good value on either first touchdown scorer or first half touchdown scorer. However, for our best bet, we will just do anytime touchdown scorer as the Titans will want to get Henry involved to stay in this game. 

Derrick Henry prop: Anytime TD (+145 at FanDuel)

Prop bet #3: Here's the kicker

We already talked about the strangeness of this Titans defense in their ability to give up so many yards without giving up that many points. Well, it isn’t because they force turnovers — they rank 30th in the NFL with only 10 takeaways. It’s because they force field goals instead of allowing touchdowns.

Tennessee ranks second in the NFL in red-zone scoring percentage on defense. They only allow 37.21% of redzone opportunities to be converted into touchdowns. Because of this, they also allow the second most field goal attempts per game at 2.7 attempts per game. 

Here we can grab favorable Jason Sanders odds on his field goal total at 1.5. While Sanders has not been extremely active this season outside of kicking extra points, he has needed to attempt six field goals in the last three games. The Titans will force him into a few more on Monday night. 

Jason Sanders prop: Over 1.5 field goals made (-105 at BetMGM)